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Koshigaya Alphas vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 70-72
19-20 24-17 16-20 11-15
Position#20
Record8-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record18-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.8
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba
12 Nov 2025
KOSH89
CHIB90
12 Jan 2025
KOSH91
CHIB89
11 Jan 2025
KOSH70
CHIB72
11 Dec 2024
KOSH82
CHIB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 76
H11/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
73avg 76
A14/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
85avg 76
A15/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 76
H18/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
84-92
84
92
-8
70avg 76
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
80-96
80
96
-16
72avg 76
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
89-62
89
62
+27
85avg 76
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
88-78
88
78
+10
86avg 76
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
49avg 76
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 76
A05/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
26-21
17-23
16-19
24-22
18-23
25-23
11-22
25-29
26-18
19-13
16-29
15-19
12-23
25-19
17-10
21-12
15-37
29-16
19-27
24-21
16-26
18-25
22-24
21-18
26-29
17-4
25-11
22-21
30-17
15-21
21-19
9-23
9-25
21-16
15-25
8-14
27-23
21-20
21-22
161.7Avg total
78.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.181.8158.8-4.729%
Season at home (15)80.382.6162.9-2.333%
Season away (13)73.480.8154.2-7.423%
Last 10 (10)78.783.0161.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)77.680.8158.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.584.8159.4-10.311%
vs Similar (7)85.480.3165.7+5.157%
vs Weaker (4)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 74
A11/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 74
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
53-71
53
71
-18
42avg 74
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 74
H18/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 74
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 74
A22/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
75avg 74
H28/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
79avg 74
H29/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 74
H04/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
64-70
64
70
-6
47avg 74
H05/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
21-26
23-17
19-16
34-17
14-24
22-17
12-17
21-16
5-18
14-12
13-25
18-14
14-20
13-18
15-16
11-28
27-19
15-19
23-22
34-12
24-23
16-23
15-23
14-17
15-13
21-15
9-14
19-24
21-18
18-19
20-25
22-20
10-19
15-12
28-16
14-30
20-15
11-10
19-15
151.5Avg total
74.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.275.8156.0+4.464%
Season at home (16)79.874.1153.8+5.769%
Season away (12)80.878.2159.0+2.758%
Last 10 (10)74.277.3151.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)77.477.8155.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.593.0174.5-11.50%
vs Similar (15)80.576.3156.7+4.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.473.6151.0+3.862%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
Koshigaya AlphasChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H11/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A15/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H18/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A05/01
B League
83.9Avg total
39.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.282.2-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.083.1-0.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.481.3-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.283.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.481.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.143.279.3-7.116%-
vs Similar (7)49.141.390.4+7.971%-
vs Weaker (4)42.839.282.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H18/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A22/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H05/01
B League
77.5Avg total
37.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.479.7+0.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.538.177.6+1.431%-
Last 30 away (14)41.240.982.1+0.336%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.677.5-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (15)39.938.778.6+1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.838.078.8+2.838%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.3
51.4%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.7
32.0%
33.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.414.1
76.6%
72.7%14.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.6
31.5%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.210.0
61.7%
72.7%10.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWWLLLLLL
Chiba
LWLLWLLLWW
#20
League position
#5
-6.1
Net rating
-3.2
103.9
Offensive rating
103.0
110.0
Defensive rating
106.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.0%
3-point %
31.5%
68.9%
Assist %
63.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 103.0Defence110.0 · 106.2Shooting50.1% · 49.1%3-point %32.0% · 31.5%Ball care18.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
1
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba82-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa77-79
04/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa54-89
30/12/24AShiga88-78
29/12/24AShiga89-62
22/12/24HKyoto80-96
21/12/24HKyoto84-92
18/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex69-71
15/12/24ANeoPhoenix86-89
14/12/24ANeoPhoenix78-90
11/12/24HChiba82-84
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HHokkaido64-70
04/01/25HHokkaido75-67
29/12/24HShimane78-86
28/12/24HShimane81-85 OT
22/12/24AOsaka89-81
21/12/24AOsaka76-88
18/12/24HSendai60-68
15/12/24HGunma53-71
14/12/24HGunma82-75
11/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLWWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %29%33%23%
Points / game77.180.373.4
Allowed / game81.882.680.8
Point differential-4.7-2.3-7.4
Avg total158.8162.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeLLLWL69%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %64%69%58%
Points / game80.279.880.8
Allowed / game75.874.178.2
Point differential+4.4+5.7+2.7
Avg total156.0153.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2723485%91.578.9+12.6
2 Utsunomiya Brex2823582%84.375.5+8.9
3 Ryukyu2922776%83.274.6+8.7
4 Gunma2921872%78.871.2+7.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2820871%80.773.7+7.0
6 Alvark2920969%76.270.7+5.6
7 Chiba28181064%80.275.8+4.4
8 Shimane29181162%80.774.6+6.0
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya28171161%75.970.8+5.1
10 Diamond Dolphins29161355%81.981.4+0.5
11 Osaka29151452%81.380.3+1.0
12 Kyoto28141450%81.480.9+0.5
13 Akita28141450%72.272.2-0.0
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles28131546%74.979.5-4.6
15 Nagasaki30131743%73.576.0-2.5
16 Hiroshima D.30131743%77.281.9-4.8
17 Yokohama29111838%76.079.8-3.8
18 Hokkaido28101836%73.679.0-5.4
19 Saga2891932%73.877.0-3.2
20 Koshigaya Alphas2882029%77.181.8-4.7
21 Sendai2872125%72.379.1-6.8
22 Ibaraki Robots2872125%74.482.6-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2872125%75.485.5-10.0
24 Shiga282267%74.187.9-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas1924161170
Chiba2017201572
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