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Koshigaya Alphas vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 89-90
24-25 25-18 25-28 15-19
Position#19
Record6-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#6
Record14-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game72.3
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba
12 Nov 2025
KOSH89
CHIB90
12 Jan 2025
KOSH91
CHIB89
11 Jan 2025
KOSH70
CHIB72
11 Dec 2024
KOSH82
CHIB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
64-62
64
62
+2
57avg 70
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
67-73
67
73
-6
65avg 70
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
94-78
94
78
+16
99avg 70
A25/10
B League
Saga
#12
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 70
A26/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
78-66
78
66
+12
76avg 70
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
62avg 70
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 70
H02/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 70
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
69-85
69
85
-16
59avg 70
A08/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 70
A09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
16-9
19-20
12-18
14-25
25-25
11-10
17-13
25-17
26-23
20-20
23-18
19-20
29-22
16-23
9-11
15-27
23-20
23-7
17-12
20-11
18-22
18-24
9-11
20-21
8-15
14-19
17-22
18-21
24-10
14-19
20-15
22-23
11-20
21-25
15-17
18-13
22-17
20-13
22-21
144.1Avg total
72.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.774.4145.1-3.740%
Season at home (9)65.975.2141.1-9.322%
Season away (6)78.073.2151.2+4.867%
Last 10 (10)72.771.4144.1+1.350%
Last 5 (5)70.271.8142.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.780.2148.9-11.520%
vs Similar (13)70.672.8143.5-2.254%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
80-79
80
79
+1
74avg 76
H18/10
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
85avg 76
H19/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
79avg 76
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
95-72
95
72
+23
96avg 76
H26/10
B League
Akita
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
70avg 76
A29/10
B League
Alvark
#8
L
69-78
69
78
-9
62avg 76
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
74avg 76
A02/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 76
A05/11
B League
Shimane
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
77avg 76
H08/11
B League
Shimane
#14
W
96-82
96
82
+14
100avg 76
H09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
16-21
21-21
20-17
24-16
20-23
22-18
18-13
19-17
27-21
18-12
20-13
34-11
21-20
25-23
15-18
18-15
21-12
26-13
4-10
13-17
29-25
17-18
10-18
22-13
17-22
23-22
19-12
13-20
25-18
19-23
26-18
21-20
19-16
22-16
16-12
23-22
15-21
30-23
28-16
152.5Avg total
81.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.272.3156.5+11.993%
Season at home (8)87.071.9158.9+15.1100%
Season away (7)81.072.7153.7+8.386%
Last 10 (10)81.970.6152.5+11.390%
Last 5 (5)81.474.4155.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)80.372.6152.9+7.779%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.768.7151.4+14.094%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
Koshigaya AlphasChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A25/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A26/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A09/11
B League
76.6Avg total
39.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.338.974.2-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.637.371.8-2.750%-
Last 30 away (12)36.341.377.7-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.676.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.670.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.340.175.4-4.733%-
vs Similar (13)34.337.872.2-3.546%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H18/10
B League
Gunma
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H26/10
B League
Akita
#26
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A29/10
B League
Alvark
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/11
B League
Shimane
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/11
B League
Shimane
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H09/11
B League
79.0Avg total
42.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.977.4+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.675.3+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.538.179.6+3.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.878.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)39.536.776.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.537.078.5+4.562%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.2
49.1%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.310.3
72.0%
73.1%10.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.8
51.0%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.212.4
76.5%
73.1%12.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
WLWLLWLWLW
Chiba
WWWWLWWWWW
#19
League position
#6
+2.1
Net rating
+16.7
98.8
Offensive rating
115.8
96.8
Defensive rating
99.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
21.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
36.6%
67.3%
Assist %
72.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 115.8Defence96.8 · 99.1Shooting51.3% · 52.6%3-point %36.0% · 36.6%Ball care21.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds28.0% · 35.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
3
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Chiba v Koshigaya Alphas74-68
12/01/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba91-89 OT
11/01/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba70-72
11/12/24Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba82-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles82-64
08/11/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles69-85
05/11/25HBrave Thunders76-65
02/11/25HRyukyu59-77
01/11/25HRyukyu65-68
29/10/25AToyama78-66
26/10/25ASaga73-76
25/10/25ASaga94-78
19/10/25HKyoto67-73
18/10/25HKyoto64-62
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HShimane96-82
08/11/25HShimane78-64
05/11/25ASeaHorses Mikawa83-79
02/11/25AAlvark81-69
01/11/25AAlvark69-78
29/10/25AAkita69-50
26/10/25HSun Rockers Shibuya95-72
25/10/25HSun Rockers Shibuya84-63
19/10/25HGunma84-70
18/10/25HGunma80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLLLW22%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%22%67%
Points / game70.765.978.0
Allowed / game74.475.273.2
Point differential-3.7-9.3+4.8
Avg total145.1141.1151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%11%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game84.287.081.0
Allowed / game72.371.972.7
Point differential+11.9+15.1+8.3
Avg total156.5158.9153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%88%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba1514193%84.272.3+11.9
2 Nagasaki1513287%92.878.1+14.7
3 Diamond Dolphins1513287%86.072.2+13.8
4 Utsunomiya Brex1512380%85.177.9+7.2
5 Hokkaido1511473%86.182.9+3.2
6 Ryukyu159660%82.975.9+7.0
7 Gunma159660%81.375.2+6.1
8 SeaHorses Mikawa159660%84.579.3+5.3
9 Hiroshima D.159660%88.183.8+4.3
10 Shimane159660%81.179.3+1.8
11 Alvark159660%79.578.7+0.8
12 Shiga158753%81.381.9-0.7
13 NeoPhoenix157847%79.379.1+0.3
14 Sendai157847%79.381.8-2.5
15 Osaka156940%81.983.2-1.3
16 Altiri Chiba156940%80.783.9-3.3
17 Koshigaya Alphas156940%70.774.4-3.7
18 Saga156940%80.784.3-3.7
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya156940%75.381.6-6.3
20 Yokohama1551033%80.384.5-4.3
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1551033%79.183.7-4.6
22 Kyoto1551033%74.079.0-5.0
23 Toyama1551033%82.289.6-7.4
24 Ibaraki Robots1521313%74.481.5-7.1
25 Brave Thunders1521313%75.586.7-11.1
26 Akita1521313%68.383.8-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2425251589
Chiba2518281990
← all games of the day
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