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Chiba vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 74-68
12-14 23-13 14-20 25-21
Position#5
Record29-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.7
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#20
Record14-30
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game81.0
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Chiba v Koshigaya Alphas
08 Apr 2026
CHIB92
KOSH78
26 Mar 2025
CHIB74
KOSH68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 75
H02/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 75
A08/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
104-86
104
86
+18
109avg 75
A09/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
98-96
98
96
+2
99avg 75
A01/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
65avg 75
A02/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
75-68
75
68
+7
61avg 75
H05/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
74avg 75
H12/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 75
A19/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
89-93
89
93
-4
88avg 75
A22/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
95-80
95
80
+15
101avg 75
A23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-15
15-15
22-18
25-22
22-23
21-15
24-22
24-19
32-19
28-18
20-30
26-26
23-27
27-20
22-23
29-25
21-18
11-20
7-22
34-17
17-16
11-17
13-18
24-19
17-25
21-10
23-17
21-23
27-13
21-19
17-15
22-20
24-31
24-17
19-25
26-23
21-26
28-10
20-21
167.0Avg total
86.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)82.077.7159.7+4.266%
Season at home (20)78.973.1152.0+5.870%
Season away (24)84.581.6166.1+2.962%
Last 10 (10)86.880.2167.0+6.680%
Last 5 (5)86.076.4162.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.593.0174.5-11.50%
vs Similar (10)78.980.4159.3-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.478.4160.8+4.067%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
65-76
65
76
-11
57avg 74
H02/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
76avg 74
A08/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
61avg 74
A09/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 74
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
64-59
64
59
+5
55avg 74
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 74
A05/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
91avg 74
H12/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
70-88
70
88
-18
65avg 74
A19/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-92
67
92
-25
58avg 74
A22/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
50avg 74
A23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-22
11-23
12-11
24-15
19-21
20-24
14-20
25-14
14-33
12-15
19-15
11-19
22-24
27-23
27-14
14-15
13-14
15-8
22-22
18-18
29-23
14-20
18-23
22-26
21-20
15-10
20-22
17-22
25-31
10-22
18-13
13-27
22-20
14-22
18-23
14-18
19-8
14-22
10-14
150.7Avg total
72.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)76.881.0157.8-4.232%
Season at home (21)80.083.0163.0-3.033%
Season away (23)73.879.2153.0-5.430%
Last 10 (10)72.977.8150.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)73.281.2154.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.483.0160.4-5.617%
vs Similar (10)82.878.7161.5+4.160%
vs Weaker (2)88.570.0158.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
ChibaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A08/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A09/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A01/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A02/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H05/03
B League
Saga
#18
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A22/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A23/03
B League
90.4Avg total
47.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.983.3-0.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.438.275.5-0.831%-
Last 30 away (17)44.544.789.2-0.235%-
Last 10 (10)47.443.090.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.689.2+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (10)40.439.680.0+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.141.883.8+0.333%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/02
B League
Osaka
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A05/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A19/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A22/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A23/03
B League
79.4Avg total
38.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.583.7+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.341.486.6+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.781.1-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.079.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.441.781.1-2.339%-
vs Similar (10)45.741.086.7+4.750%-
vs Weaker (2)49.542.592.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.4
58.8%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
33.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
72.7%15.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.914.9
42.7%
51.2%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.4
38.8%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
72.7%13.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WLWWWLWWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#20
+7.8
Net rating
-8.1
114.8
Offensive rating
97.9
107.0
Defensive rating
106.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
22.6%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.1%
3-point %
38.8%
65.8%
Assist %
68.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 97.9Defence107.0 · 106.0Shooting56.6% · 49.1%3-point %36.1% · 38.8%Ball care17.8% · 22.6%Off. rebounds28.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Chiba   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chiba wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba91-89 OT
11/01/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba70-72
11/12/24Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba82-84
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AShiga95-80
22/03/25AShiga89-93
19/03/25AGunma86-70
12/03/25HSaga85-71
05/03/25HIbaraki Robots75-68
02/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa68-85
01/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa98-96
09/02/25AHiroshima D.104-86
08/02/25AHiroshima D.92-82
02/02/25HYokohama76-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AGunma57-62
22/03/25AGunma67-92
19/03/25ANagasaki70-88
12/03/25HAkita93-80 OT
05/03/25AHokkaido79-84
02/03/25AIbaraki Robots64-59
01/03/25AIbaraki Robots87-80
09/02/25AOsaka70-77
08/02/25AOsaka77-80
02/02/25HHiroshima D.65-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442024
Win %66%70%62%
Points / game82.078.984.5
Allowed / game77.773.181.6
Point differential+4.2+5.8+2.9
Avg total159.7152.0166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%35%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)33% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game76.880.073.8
Allowed / game81.083.079.2
Point differential-4.2-3.0-5.4
Avg total157.8163.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%24%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)20% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %7%10%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4338588%93.579.8+13.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex4436882%86.076.3+9.7
3 Alvark44321273%76.871.1+5.7
4 Ryukyu44311370%84.077.0+7.0
5 Gunma44311370%78.371.7+6.6
6 SeaHorses Mikawa44291566%82.075.0+7.0
7 Chiba44291566%82.077.7+4.2
8 Shimane44281664%80.074.1+5.9
9 Diamond Dolphins44251957%81.780.5+1.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya44242055%74.371.5+2.8
11 Osaka44232152%82.582.1+0.4
12 Kyoto44222250%80.779.7+1.0
13 Akita44212348%73.874.7-0.9
14 Nagasaki44212348%76.377.7-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.44212348%79.882.8-3.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles44202445%78.180.4-2.3
17 Yokohama44182641%75.979.7-3.8
18 Hokkaido44162836%74.679.1-4.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas44143032%76.881.0-4.2
20 Brave Thunders44143032%78.186.1-8.0
21 Saga44133130%74.978.9-4.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4483618%73.181.5-8.4
23 Sendai4483618%73.583.8-10.3
24 Shiga4353812%76.490.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba1223142574
Koshigaya Alphas1413202168
← all games of the day
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