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Kouvot Kouvola vs Kataja Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game91.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.5
FinlandKorisliiga· MLL Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja
09 Jan 2027
KOUV v KAT
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
KOUV v KAT
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
KOUV95
KAT76
08 Feb 2026
KOUV85
KAT79
09 Dec 2025
KOUV90
KAT108
01 Nov 2024
KOUV68
KAT94
12 Jan 2024
KOUV84
KAT69
17 Mar 2023
KOUV78
KAT102
22 Nov 2022
KOUV67
KAT79
13 Apr 2022
KOUV60
KAT73
08 Apr 2022
KOUV86
KAT68
04 Apr 2022
KOUV88
KAT86
04 Dec 2021
KOUV105
KAT94
06 Jan 2021
KOUV88
KAT86
31 Jan 2020
KOUV81
KAT73
09 Dec 2019
KOUV84
KAT88
05 Apr 2019
KOUV97
KAT78
03 Jan 2019
KOUV75
KAT61
21 Jan 2018
KOUV105
KAT86
20 Oct 2017
KOUV87
KAT74
10 Mar 2017
KOUV77
KAT93
30 Dec 2016
KOUV93
KAT82
19 Feb 2016
KOUV89
KAT84
22 Nov 2015
KOUV91
KAT94
15 Apr 2015
KOUV97
KAT84
30 Dec 2014
KOUV68
KAT90
08 Mar 2014
KOUV93
KAT85
04 Oct 2013
KOUV64
KAT84
27 Jan 2013
KOUV61
KAT91
17 Oct 2012
KOUV67
KAT66
08 Jan 2012
KOUV60
KAT62
02 Oct 2011
KOUV66
KAT80
02 Apr 2011
KOUV68
KAT75
05 Mar 2011
KOUV66
KAT78
01 Dec 2010
KOUV79
KAT77
15 Apr 2010
KOUV80
KAT72
11 Apr 2010
KOUV75
KAT94
07 Apr 2010
KOUV86
KAT62
27 Jan 2010
KOUV77
KAT75
10 Oct 2009
KOUV94
KAT80
18 Feb 2009
KOUV78
KAT105
02 Jan 2009
KOUV72
KAT90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kouvot Kouvola win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kouvot KouvolaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKouvola
Date
Competition
Kipina
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
63avg 75
H06/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 75
A14/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 75
H16/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
89-95
89
95
-6
72avg 75
H21/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
75-99
75
99
-24
65avg 75
A23/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
105-100
105
100
+5
100avg 75
H30/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A03/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A06/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
98-90
98
90
+8
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
29-26
14-11
20-27
11-16
30-30
21-18
21-27
23-15
27-23
19-24
26-14
23-20
23-31
22-22
21-22
12-21
23-22
20-27
20-29
31-26
25-15
26-32
23-27
22-26
28-18
13-23
23-23
24-21
15-24
15-21
26-32
21-21
22-21
19-21
14-17
22-23
16-30
30-17
30-20
177.5Avg total
86.7Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.991.3178.2-4.427%
Season at home (6)90.287.8178.0+2.350%
Season away (5)83.095.4178.4-12.40%
Last 10 (10)86.790.8177.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)89.091.6180.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)84.291.0175.2-6.831%
vs Similar (8)88.288.2176.5+0.050%
vs Weaker (6)88.886.0174.8+2.850%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 75
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 75
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 75
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 75
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 75
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 75
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 75
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
92-55
92
55
+37
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
26-19
21-11
18-12
27-13
166.5Avg total
84.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.982.5169.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)93.381.3174.7+12.067%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.781.8166.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar (10)83.876.7160.5+7.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.381.0166.3+4.358%
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Kouvot KouvolaKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kouvot KouvolaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kipina
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H06/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H21/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A23/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H30/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A03/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H14/11
Korisliiga
89.8Avg total
44.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.745.288.9-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.841.785.5+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.748.692.3-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.489.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.090.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.846.388.1-4.531%-
vs Similar (8)45.845.190.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)46.242.288.3+4.083%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.887.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.181.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.885.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%-
vs Similar (10)46.338.584.8+7.890%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.743.787.3+0.042%-
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kouvot Kouvolatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvot Kouvola: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.5
53.8%
54.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.3
76.1%
75.8%14.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kouvot Kouvola
WLLLWLLWLL
Kataja
WWWWLLLLLW
#11
League position
#7
-1.6
Net rating
-2.1
96.7
Offensive rating
95.2
98.3
Defensive rating
97.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.5%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.2%
3-point %
34.4%
56.3%
Assist %
55.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 95.2Defence98.3 · 97.3Shooting54.0% · 50.5%3-point %36.2% · 34.4%Ball care15.9% · 12.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Kouvot Kouvola   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kouvot Kouvola wins
6
Kataja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSalon Vilpas98-90
11/11/26AKataja76-80
06/11/26AHelsinki Seagulls80-98
03/11/26APyrinto Tampere86-90
30/10/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki105-100
23/10/26AKTP Kotka Basket75-99
21/10/26HKTP Kotka Basket89-95
16/10/26HKataja95-76
14/10/26ALahti Basketball83-91
06/10/26HKipina80-89
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket92-55
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kouvot Kouvola
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW27%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game86.990.283.0
Allowed / game91.387.895.4
Point differential-4.4+2.3-12.4
Avg total178.2178.0178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.993.377.2
Allowed / game82.581.384.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-7.0
Avg total169.4174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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