PythiaBasketballBETA
Suomen CupSuomen Cup - Quarter-finals· MLL AreenaThe Suomen Cup clash on 17 November 2026 pits Kataja against Kouvot Kouvola, with Kataja the model favourite as the Pythia predicts a 57% chance of victory versus 43% for the home side, projecting a final score of 80-83 and a total of 163 points, with a 5% probability of overtime. Kouvot Kouvola enters the game 2-1 for the season, averaging 85.7 points scored and 79.0 allowed per game, and sits third in the league, while Kataja is also 2-1, averaging 80.7 points scored and 80.7 allowed, positioned sixth. At home Kouvot has a perfect 1-0 record, 85.0 points for and 73.0 against, whereas Kataja is unbeaten on the road with a 1-0 record, 77.0 points for and 73.0 against. In the last five games Kouvot went 2-3, losing to Kataja 76-80 and to Helsinki Seagulls 80-98, while Kataja went 4-1, beating KTP Kotka Basket 92-55, Kouvot 80-76, and UU-Korihait 87-78. Their head-to-head record stands at 10 meetings, with Kataja winning six and Kouvot four, the most recent encounter ending 80-76 in Kataja's favour on 11 November 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 85.7 | 79.0 | 164.7 | +6.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 85.0 | 73.0 | 158.0 | +12.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 86.0 | 82.0 | 168.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.7 | 90.8 | 177.5 | -4.1 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.0 | 91.6 | 180.6 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 84.2 | 91.0 | 175.2 | -6.8 | 31% |
| vs Similar (8) | 88.2 | 88.2 | 176.5 | +0.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 88.8 | 86.0 | 174.8 | +2.8 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 80.7 | 80.7 | 161.3 | +0.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.5 | 84.5 | 167.0 | -2.0 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 77.0 | 73.0 | 150.0 | +4.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.7 | 81.8 | 166.5 | +2.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.8 | 74.6 | 162.4 | +13.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 73.5 | 79.8 | 153.2 | -6.2 | 50% |
| vs Similar (10) | 83.8 | 76.7 | 160.5 | +7.1 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 85.3 | 81.0 | 166.3 | +4.3 | 58% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.7 | 45.2 | 88.9 | -1.4 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.8 | 41.7 | 85.5 | +2.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.7 | 48.6 | 92.3 | -4.9 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.4 | 45.4 | 89.8 | -1.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.2 | 45.0 | 90.2 | +0.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 41.8 | 46.3 | 88.1 | -4.5 | 31% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 45.8 | 45.1 | 90.9 | +0.6 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 46.2 | 42.2 | 88.3 | +4.0 | 83% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.2 | 41.4 | 84.6 | +1.8 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 46.9 | 40.8 | 87.6 | +6.1 | 75% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 39.0 | 42.1 | 81.1 | -3.1 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 42.7 | 85.7 | +0.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.0 | 38.8 | 85.8 | +8.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 38.6 | 41.5 | 80.1 | -2.9 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 46.3 | 38.5 | 84.8 | +7.8 | 90% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 43.7 | 43.7 | 87.3 | +0.0 | 42% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.1 | 20.5 | 53.8% | - | 41.0 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.7 | 11.1 | 36.2% | - | 33.3 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.8 | 14.3 | 76.1% | - | 14.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.9 | 18.3 | 49.6% | - | 36.6 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.8 | 10.6 | 34.4% | - | 31.8 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 14.7 | 78.6% | - | 14.7 |
Kouvot Kouvola
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | Kataja v Kouvot Kouvola | 80-76 |
| 16/10/26 | Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja | 95-76 |
| 10/03/26 | Kataja v Kouvot Kouvola | 112-88 |
| 08/02/26 | Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja | 85-79 |
| 09/12/25 | Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja | 90-108 |
| 08/10/25 | Kataja v Kouvot Kouvola | 107-109 OT |
| 21/12/24 | Kataja v Kouvot Kouvola | 92-87 |
| 01/11/24 | Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja | 68-94 |
| 12/01/24 | Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja | 84-69 |
| 11/11/23 | Kataja v Kouvot Kouvola | 105-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Salon Vilpas | 98-90 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Kataja | 76-80 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Helsinki Seagulls | 80-98 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Pyrinto Tampere | 86-90 |
| 30/10/26 | H | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 105-100 |
| 23/10/26 | A | KTP Kotka Basket | 75-99 |
| 21/10/26 | H | KTP Kotka Basket | 89-95 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Kataja | 95-76 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Lahti Basketball | 83-91 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Kipina | 80-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | KTP Kotka Basket | 92-55 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Kouvot Kouvola | 80-76 |
| 07/11/26 | H | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 87-78 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Karhu Basket | 101-80 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Pyrinto Tampere | 79-84 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Pyrinto Tampere | 62-80 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Kouvot Kouvola | 76-95 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Honka | 99-108 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Lahti Basketball | 85-91 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Bisons Loimaa | 86-71 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 85.7 | 85.0 | 86.0 |
| Allowed / game | 79.0 | 73.0 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | +6.7 | +12.0 | +4.0 |
| Avg total | 164.7 | 158.0 | 168.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWW | 67% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 80.7 | 82.5 | 77.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.7 | 84.5 | 73.0 |
| Point differential | +0.0 | -2.0 | +4.0 |
| Avg total | 161.3 | 167.0 | 150.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salon Vilpas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 99.7 | 78.7 | +21.0 |
| 2 |  KTP Kotka Basket | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.7 | 80.0 | +15.7 |
| 3 | Kouvot Kouvola | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 79.0 | +6.7 |
| 4 |  Karhu Basket | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 82.3 | +3.0 |
| 5 |  Helsinki Seagulls | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 80.3 | +1.7 |
| 6 | Kataja | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.7 | 80.7 | +0.0 |
| 7 |  UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 85.0 | 87.7 | -2.7 |
| 8 |  Bisons Loimaa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 91.7 | -17.7 |
| 9 |  Lahti Basketball | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 76.5 | 81.0 | -4.5 |
| 10 |  Kipina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 81.0 | 89.0 | -8.0 |
| 11 |  Pyrinto Tampere | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 70.5 | 82.0 | -11.5 |
| 12 |  Honka | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 77.0 | 94.5 | -17.5 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
