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Vilkaviskis vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 83-94
29-20 20-25 15-22 19-27
Position#7
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game85.1
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Kretinga
03 Oct 2026
VILK84
KRET65
08 Nov 2025
VILK83
KRET94
25 Jan 2025
VILK89
KRET87
19 Oct 2023
VILK79
KRET74
16 Feb 2023
VILK93
KRET61
08 Dec 2022
VILK56
KRET86
18 Nov 2021
VILK86
KRET73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 71
A17/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
94-72
94
72
+22
83avg 71
A02/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
77avg 71
H04/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 71
A09/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
76-64
76
64
+12
68avg 71
H11/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
85-91
85
91
-6
75avg 71
A16/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
92avg 71
H18/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
75avg 71
H23/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
82-90
82
90
-8
75avg 71
A30/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 71
A06/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-14
22-25
16-17
23-22
27-21
21-16
23-13
21-30
18-15
28-10
19-15
19-17
18-25
21-22
24-17
19-20
15-17
25-18
17-9
29-18
11-27
27-23
18-23
21-25
29-16
25-20
24-13
27-14
12-26
15-20
24-11
29-20
24-17
12-29
17-24
11-27
25-25
22-19
33-24
163.5Avg total
84.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.978.7164.6+7.267%
Season at home (4)84.869.8154.5+15.0100%
Season away (5)86.885.8172.6+1.040%
Last 10 (10)84.978.6163.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)87.084.2171.2+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.582.5158.0-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.677.6158.2+3.062%
vs Weaker (5)88.880.4169.2+8.460%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 77
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 77
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 77
A04/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
108avg 77
H09/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 77
A11/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 77
H16/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
86avg 77
A18/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 77
H25/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 77
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 77
H06/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-27
19-26
25-29
16-23
20-22
17-23
25-21
19-18
13-17
17-29
22-34
26-19
22-12
29-22
29-18
23-25
24-29
27-17
14-28
24-20
21-26
13-11
7-24
22-15
17-24
29-22
28-27
22-22
18-18
17-22
19-30
18-13
15-12
31-26
17-33
12-20
20-20
25-11
21-13
169.5Avg total
82.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.185.1167.2-3.033%
Season at home (6)80.780.2160.8+0.533%
Season away (3)85.095.0180.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)82.786.8169.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)79.281.8161.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.788.3166.0-10.610%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.781.9163.6-0.340%
vs Weaker (5)95.073.2168.2+21.8100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
VilkaviskisKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A02/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H04/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A09/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A16/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H18/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A30/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A06/11
NKL
83.4Avg total
41.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.079.7+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.937.477.3+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.340.481.8+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.883.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.086.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.238.277.5+1.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.838.378.0+1.548%-
vs Weaker (5)45.642.688.2+3.060%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H09/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A11/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/10
NKL
Silute
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H06/11
NKL
79.8Avg total
39.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.480.4+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.436.979.4+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)41.540.481.8+1.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.279.8-0.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.740.681.3+0.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.837.579.3+4.360%-
vs Weaker (5)45.237.082.2+8.280%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.3
53.0%
54.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
32.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.711.8
70.7%
69.3%11.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.0
51.8%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.6
29.8%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.112.9
64.2%
69.3%12.9
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LLWWLWWWWL
Kretinga
WLLWLLWLLL
#7
League position
#9
+7.9
Net rating
-4.3
111.9
Offensive rating
106.9
104.0
Defensive rating
111.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
29.8%
55.2%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 106.9Defence104.0 · 111.2Shooting52.7% · 48.9%3-point %34.9% · 29.8%Ball care16.3% · 15.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 32.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Vilkaviskis wins
4
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25AOmega-Tauras91-95
30/10/25ABC Olimpas Palanga82-90
23/10/25HPlunges Olimpas78-71
18/10/25HTelsiai99-74
16/10/25AMazeikiai85-91
11/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas 276-64
09/10/25ANeptunas 282-81
04/10/25HRytas 286-70
02/10/25AUkmerges Stekas94-72
17/04/25ATelsiai76-78
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HPlunges Olimpas78-64
30/10/25HMazeikiai81-84
25/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga76-92
18/10/25ASilute96-88
16/10/25HJurbarkas65-81
11/10/25AKedainiu SC88-99
09/10/25HAlytaus Alytus106-71
04/10/25ANeptunas 271-98
02/10/25HVytis VDU78-89
08/03/25HVytis VDU88-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game85.984.886.8
Allowed / game78.769.885.8
Point differential+7.2+15.0+1.0
Avg total164.6154.5172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game82.180.785.0
Allowed / game85.180.295.0
Point differential-3.0+0.5-10.0
Avg total167.2160.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC109190%95.286.1+9.1
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 286275%88.482.1+6.2
3 Vilkaviskis96367%85.978.7+7.2
4 Suduva-Mantinga96367%84.277.2+7.0
5 Vytis VDU96367%82.777.9+4.8
6 Telsiai96367%84.983.6+1.3
7 Omega-Tauras106460%91.887.9+3.9
8 Mazeikiai95456%82.881.7+1.1
9 Neptunas 2105550%76.976.8+0.1
10 Jurbarkas105550%74.076.4-2.4
11 Silute94544%84.386.7-2.3
12 Rytas 2104640%82.280.5+1.7
13 Kretinga93633%82.185.1-3.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%82.492.3-9.9
15 Alytaus Alytus92722%75.881.4-5.7
16 BC Olimpas Palanga102820%76.787.6-10.9
17 Plunges Olimpas112918%80.486.7-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2920151983
Kretinga2025222794
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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