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Kretinga vs Vytis VDU Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record1-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game92.8
LithuaniaNKLRound 31· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kretinga v Vytis VDU
28 Jan 2027
KRET v VYTI
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
KRET69
VYTI75
31 Mar 2026
KRET78
VYTI96
02 Oct 2025
KRET78
VYTI89
08 Mar 2025
KRET88
VYTI102
12 Dec 2024
KRET90
VYTI86
25 Nov 2023
KRET73
VYTI84
06 Dec 2022
KRET69
VYTI86
05 Mar 2022
KRET83
VYTI89
14 Oct 2021
KRET63
VYTI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#10
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
19-19
24-22
19-25
21-19
21-31
17-27
17-14
27-22
13-21
12-17
13-24
20-22
19-21
28-27
18-28
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
23-16
24-23
17-10
20-23
15-25
21-23
13-25
21-17
16-25
22-24
23-23
24-29
23-21
18-19
25-27
13-19
170.6Avg total
80.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.289.9170.1-9.711%
Season at home (5)83.693.0176.6-9.40%
Season away (4)76.086.0162.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)80.789.9170.6-9.210%
Last 5 (5)80.287.4167.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.490.9169.4-12.512%
vs Similar (11)84.180.0164.1+4.173%
vs Weaker (3)97.390.7188.0+6.7100%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H18/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
101-91
101
91
+10
H23/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A25/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H28/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A01/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H06/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#12
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
104-92
104
92
+12
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
97-85
97
85
+12
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
16-14
21-23
28-22
24-24
24-31
27-22
26-14
17-25
31-16
20-23
19-14
19-26
21-17
25-22
21-10
22-25
17-21
23-17
18-17
26-17
16-24
26-23
20-20
24-26
20-21
23-18
29-31
30-19
33-28
25-23
16-22
34-21
25-16
14-22
24-26
21-24
22-26
18-25
25-22
181.2Avg total
92.7Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.092.8187.8+2.267%
Season at home (3)96.387.0183.3+9.3100%
Season away (3)93.798.7192.3-5.033%
Last 10 (10)92.788.5181.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)96.093.6189.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.0102.5197.5-7.50%
vs Similar (17)88.487.5175.9+0.959%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.589.2183.6+5.373%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
KretingaVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#12
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/10
NKL
86.0Avg total
41.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.981.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.241.682.8-0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.280.7-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.886.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.944.582.4-6.619%-
vs Similar (11)39.738.077.7+1.755%-
vs Weaker (3)50.742.393.0+8.3100%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H23/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/10
NKL
90.6Avg total
46.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.744.089.6+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.442.990.4+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.188.8-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)46.044.690.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.494.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.055.099.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (17)45.944.890.8+1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.540.686.2+4.964%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
30.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.013.7
62.3%
67.4%13.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.926.4
61.5%
54.3%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
30.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.811.6
65.2%
67.4%11.6
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLWLLLLLL
Vytis VDU
LWWLWWWWWL
#15
League position
#8
-10.7
Net rating
+5.3
90.6
Offensive rating
99.6
101.3
Defensive rating
94.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
56.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.6%
3-point %
33.3%
55.2%
Assist %
53.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 99.6Defence101.3 · 94.3Shooting51.3% · 56.9%3-point %30.6% · 33.3%Ball care14.8% · 14.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kretinga wins
7
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga90-85
08/04/26Kretinga v Vytis VDU69-75
04/04/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga103-107 OT
31/03/26Kretinga v Vytis VDU78-96
27/03/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga91-95
29/01/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-79
02/10/25Kretinga v Vytis VDU78-89
08/03/25Kretinga v Vytis VDU88-102
06/03/25Vytis VDU v Kretinga94-93
12/12/24Kretinga v Vytis VDU90-86
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HJurbarkas79-86
24/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 285-101
22/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai70-90
17/10/26AKauno Atletas84-72
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99
08/10/26APlunges Olimpas85-98
03/10/26AVilkaviskis65-84
01/10/26HNeptunas 276-91
10/04/26AVytis VDU85-90
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ASilute86-97
22/10/26HKauno Atletas97-85
17/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 2104-92
15/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai105-110 OT
06/10/26HNeptunas 288-84
01/10/26AUkmerges Stekas90-89 OT
28/04/26HVilkaviskis86-75
25/04/26AVilkaviskis87-78
23/04/26HVilkaviskis101-91
18/04/26HNeptunas 283-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game80.283.676.0
Allowed / game89.993.086.0
Point differential-9.7-9.4-10.0
Avg total170.1176.6162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game95.096.393.7
Allowed / game92.887.098.7
Point differential+2.2+9.3-5.0
Avg total187.8183.3192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %33%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai990100%87.970.8+17.1
2 Jurbarkas880100%90.173.5+16.6
3 BC Olimpas Palanga97278%90.978.4+12.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga75271%93.480.4+13.0
5 Silute75271%84.078.1+5.9
6 Omega-Tauras96367%88.783.2+5.4
7 Neptunas 296367%77.074.2+2.8
8 Vytis VDU64267%95.092.8+2.2
9 Plunges Olimpas95456%80.378.7+1.7
10 Vilkaviskis84450%82.583.9-1.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 294544%95.295.4-0.2
12 Alytaus Patriotai94544%84.487.9-3.4
13 Kedainiai BC94544%78.282.2-4.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%81.990.8-8.9
15 Kretinga91811%80.289.9-9.7
16 Mazeikiai91811%74.286.3-12.1
17 Rytas 29090%73.385.8-12.4
18 Kauno Atletas8080%76.096.6-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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