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Kretinga vs Vytis VDU Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 31· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kretinga v Vytis VDU
28 Jan 2027
KRET v VYTI
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
KRET69
VYTI75
31 Mar 2026
KRET78
VYTI96
02 Oct 2025
KRET78
VYTI89
08 Mar 2025
KRET88
VYTI102
12 Dec 2024
KRET90
VYTI86
25 Nov 2023
KRET73
VYTI84
06 Dec 2022
KRET69
VYTI86
05 Mar 2022
KRET83
VYTI89
14 Oct 2021
KRET63
VYTI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
95-99
95
99
-4
89avg 74
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 74
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 74
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
56avg 74
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
85-101
85
101
-16
74avg 74
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 74
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
73avg 74
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
98-107
98
107
-9
no box
A12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
23-16
24-23
17-10
20-23
15-25
21-23
13-25
21-17
16-25
22-24
23-23
24-29
23-21
18-19
25-27
13-19
18-22
14-19
18-14
25-17
19-27
23-21
18-18
26-34
21-22
21-25
20-19
17-25
17-28
24-28
28-24
29-27
174.0Avg total
83.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.590.7172.2-9.215%
Season at home (6)84.094.2178.2-10.20%
Season away (7)79.487.7167.1-8.329%
Last 10 (10)83.490.6174.0-7.220%
Last 5 (5)83.491.2174.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.991.9171.8-12.018%
vs Similar (10)83.981.7165.6+2.260%
vs Weaker (3)97.390.7188.0+6.7100%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
85avg 82
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
104-92
104
92
+12
104avg 82
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 82
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
63avg 82
A29/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
88-91
88
91
-3
76avg 82
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
A03/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
no box
A05/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
98-90
98
90
+8
no box
H07/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
107-98
107
98
+9
no box
H12/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
20-21
23-18
29-31
30-19
33-28
25-23
16-22
34-21
25-16
14-22
24-26
21-24
22-26
18-25
25-22
12-20
23-27
23-25
30-19
21-23
24-21
35-19
27-18
26-21
26-21
17-20
32-15
21-19
25-23
22-24
30-24
28-17
28-24
24-28
27-29
23-22
17-19
22-15
20-19
187.1Avg total
97.5Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.189.1185.2+7.075%
Season at home (6)97.090.0187.0+7.083%
Season away (6)95.288.2183.3+7.067%
Last 10 (10)97.589.6187.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)99.084.2183.2+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.594.5184.0-5.00%
vs Similar (13)87.285.9173.1+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)97.389.7187.0+7.573%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
KretingaVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
NKL
86.7Avg total
40.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.982.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.342.683.9-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.743.281.9-4.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.186.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.486.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.945.383.2-7.412%-
vs Similar (10)40.139.079.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)50.742.393.0+8.3100%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A05/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H12/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/11
NKL
92.1Avg total
48.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.989.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.243.590.7+3.659%-
Last 30 away (13)43.044.387.3-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)48.343.892.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.089.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.548.587.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)44.044.888.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.542.489.9+5.167%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.3
54.2%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.014.8
64.3%
67.1%14.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.426.0
61.3%
54.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
31.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.810.5
62.5%
67.1%10.5
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLWLLLWLL
Vytis VDU
WWWWWLLWWL
#16
League position
#5
-9.7
Net rating
+4.7
89.2
Offensive rating
99.3
98.9
Defensive rating
94.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.1%
3-point %
34.0%
60.1%
Assist %
52.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 99.3Defence98.9 · 94.6Shooting51.0% · 57.0%3-point %31.1% · 34.0%Ball care16.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
8
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
12/11/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga107-98
10/04/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga90-85
08/04/26Kretinga v Vytis VDU69-75
04/04/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga103-107 OT
31/03/26Kretinga v Vytis VDU78-96
27/03/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga91-95
29/01/26Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-79
02/10/25Kretinga v Vytis VDU78-89
08/03/25Kretinga v Vytis VDU88-102
06/03/25Vytis VDU v Kretinga94-93
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AVytis VDU98-107
07/11/26ARytas 279-91
05/11/26HBC Olimpas Palanga86-100
31/10/26AOmega-Tauras75-72
29/10/26HJurbarkas79-86
24/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 285-101
22/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai70-90
17/10/26AKauno Atletas84-72
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOmega-Tauras82-75
12/11/26HKretinga107-98
07/11/26HKedainiai BC98-90
05/11/26AMazeikiai101-77
03/11/26AVilkaviskis107-81
31/10/26HTelsiai88-91
29/10/26ASilute86-97
22/10/26HKauno Atletas97-85
17/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 2104-92
15/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai105-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%0%29%
Points / game81.584.079.4
Allowed / game90.794.287.7
Point differential-9.2-10.2-8.3
Avg total172.2178.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game96.197.095.2
Allowed / game89.190.088.2
Point differential+7.0+7.0+7.0
Avg total185.2187.0183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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