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Kretinga vs Vytis VDU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-84
11-15 26-26 21-21 15-22
Position#8
Record5-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#7
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game84.9
LithuaniaNKL· Sakiu sporto centras (Sakiai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Vytis VDU
28 Jan 2027
KRET v VYTI
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
KRET69
VYTI75
31 Mar 2026
KRET78
VYTI96
02 Oct 2025
KRET78
VYTI89
08 Mar 2025
KRET88
VYTI102
12 Dec 2024
KRET90
VYTI86
25 Nov 2023
KRET73
VYTI84
06 Dec 2022
KRET69
VYTI86
05 Mar 2022
KRET83
VYTI89
14 Oct 2021
KRET63
VYTI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 69
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
64avg 69
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 69
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
62avg 69
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
82avg 69
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
67avg 69
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 69
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
71avg 69
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 69
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 69
H23/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
27-13
14-27
17-29
14-22
18-26
16-25
29-25
20-21
13-26
13-18
18-17
24-19
7-26
15-34
23-17
29-12
18-18
20-18
17-25
19-22
23-26
20-29
18-17
24-27
18-16
12-23
19-15
24-26
17-20
18-6
24-22
16-20
20-11
25-21
29-16
21-18
21-24
18-19
12-20
159.8Avg total
76.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.882.3160.1-4.533%
Season at home (6)78.081.3159.3-3.333%
Season away (9)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)76.683.2159.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)79.679.6159.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.385.8156.1-15.518%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.482.9162.3-3.635%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 80
A10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
62avg 80
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 80
A26/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
103avg 80
H28/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
A31/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
72avg 80
H02/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 80
A04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 80
H16/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 80
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
72-71
72
71
+1
61avg 80
A23/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
23-13
21-17
20-22
19-19
25-20
24-15
5-25
24-18
21-20
21-20
27-21
36-15
23-27
19-26
29-30
22-20
29-23
15-24
18-17
17-25
22-12
19-23
17-23
17-28
22-25
26-11
31-25
28-25
22-16
21-19
22-17
24-26
29-19
26-22
23-25
25-22
12-15
14-19
21-15
174.0Avg total
89.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.084.9172.9+3.158%
Season at home (5)87.686.0173.6+1.640%
Season away (7)88.384.1172.4+4.171%
Last 10 (10)89.384.7174.0+4.670%
Last 5 (5)87.682.4170.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.981.3156.2-6.422%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.684.2166.8-1.536%
vs Weaker (10)88.681.6170.2+7.080%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
KretingaVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/11
NKL
79.8Avg total
38.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.781.0-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.242.580.6-4.323%-
Last 30 away (17)38.442.981.4-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.979.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.082.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.744.678.4-10.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.841.582.2-0.741%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A26/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H28/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H16/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/11
NKL
87.0Avg total
45.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.081.6+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.684.6+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.679.0-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.687.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.686.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.740.877.4-4.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.140.581.6+0.564%-
vs Weaker (10)46.638.885.4+7.880%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.8
48.6%
51.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
70.3%12.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.1
56.8%
51.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.2
37.6%
33.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.39.6
67.1%
70.3%9.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWWLLWLLLL
Vytis VDU
WWWWLWWWLL
#8
League position
#7
-8.4
Net rating
+4.3
103.1
Offensive rating
115.4
111.5
Defensive rating
111.2
48.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.3%
3-point %
37.6%
63.4%
Assist %
59.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 115.4Defence111.5 · 111.2Shooting48.6% · 56.6%3-point %32.3% · 37.6%Ball care17.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
5
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-90
14/01/23Vytis VDU v Kretinga100-67
06/12/22Kretinga v Vytis VDU69-86
05/03/22Kretinga v Vytis VDU83-89
12/02/22Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-90
09/12/21Vytis VDU v Kretinga107-60
14/10/21Kretinga v Vytis VDU63-66
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis72-81
18/11/23HNeptunas 290-68
16/11/23ANeptunas 283-74
11/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-81
09/11/23AJurbarkas80-94
04/11/23HKauno Atletas84-73
31/10/23ATelsiai69-96
28/10/23AUkmerges Stekas64-82
26/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 277-98
21/10/23ASilute74-85
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga72-71
18/11/23ASilute102-92
16/11/23HSilute93-77
04/11/23AUkmerges Stekas96-89
02/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 275-83
31/10/23AVilkaviskis104-99 OT
28/10/23HNeptunas 2107-98
26/10/23AKauno Atletas93-79
19/10/23AJurbarkas73-79
10/10/23ATelsiai78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game77.878.077.7
Allowed / game82.381.383.0
Point differential-4.5-3.3-5.3
Avg total160.1159.3160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%40%71%
Points / game88.087.688.3
Allowed / game84.986.084.1
Point differential+3.1+1.6+4.1
Avg total172.9173.6172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1412286%84.272.5+11.7
2 Suduva-Mantinga1210283%84.373.4+10.9
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1511473%81.072.1+8.9
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 2149564%79.673.1+6.5
5 Vilkaviskis138562%82.678.6+4.0
6 Vytis VDU127558%88.084.9+3.1
7 Jurbarkas148657%81.679.4+2.2
8 Delikatesas Joniskis147750%77.983.8-5.9
9 Ukmerges Stekas135838%72.878.7-5.8
10 Rytas 2145936%82.287.1-4.9
11 Silute1551033%78.983.3-4.4
12 Kretinga1551033%77.882.3-4.5
13 Kauno Atletas1431121%74.982.9-8.1
14 Neptunas 21521313%76.787.7-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1126211573
Vytis VDU1526212284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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