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KTP Kotka Basket vs BC Nokia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-86
27-22 25-21 15-28 18-15
Position#11
Record10-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#5
Record13-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game85.0
FinlandKorisliiga· Steveco-Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v BC Nokia
04 Mar 2025
KTP 85
NOK86
12 Nov 2024
KTP 82
NOK77
28 Nov 2023
KTP 93
NOK98
18 Oct 2022
KTP 92
NOK74
19 Nov 2021
KTP 87
NOK59
30 Oct 2020
KTP 90
NOK95
06 Mar 2020
KTP 78
NOK101
22 Nov 2019
KTP 97
NOK79
01 Feb 2019
KTP 94
NOK89
16 Nov 2018
KTP 88
NOK68
23 Mar 2018
KTP 69
NOK93
24 Oct 2017
KTP 90
NOK93
13 Jan 2017
KTP 87
NOK76
09 Oct 2016
KTP 88
NOK71
20 Feb 2016
KTP 94
NOK86
20 Jan 2016
KTP 84
NOK80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 78
H03/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
65avg 78
A07/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
83-114
83
114
-31
71avg 78
H14/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 78
A18/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
98-61
98
61
+37
104avg 78
A28/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 78
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 78
H08/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
76avg 78
A12/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
87-67
87
67
+20
73avg 78
H26/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
95avg 78
A28/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
19-21
14-21
33-22
16-25
22-16
22-23
16-26
25-34
22-18
17-25
19-37
14-13
22-20
21-27
19-26
22-18
27-16
18-12
31-15
29-20
17-22
20-18
22-12
15-18
21-22
29-15
19-21
18-24
20-13
25-33
25-14
18-18
15-20
27-7
27-22
28-27
17-19
23-19
26-24
168.8Avg total
85.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.886.6172.4-0.836%
Season at home (14)85.382.5167.8+2.850%
Season away (14)86.490.7177.1-4.421%
Last 10 (10)85.982.9168.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)88.277.6165.8+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.896.3185.2-7.517%
vs Similar ◀ (20)87.085.9172.9+1.140%
vs Weaker (4)86.587.5174.0-1.050%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
78avg 76
A03/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
90-76
90
76
+14
81avg 76
H07/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
80-98
80
98
-18
70avg 76
A14/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 76
H18/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
104-88
104
88
+16
99avg 76
H25/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
61-98
61
98
-37
40avg 76
H28/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
79-71
79
71
+8
80avg 76
A31/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 76
A08/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
95-84
95
84
+11
103avg 76
H12/02
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 76
A01/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
20-17
20-27
19-17
25-16
16-22
23-22
26-16
24-18
22-25
12-24
22-31
25-24
20-18
20-22
17-11
27-19
34-20
18-29
25-20
18-22
16-27
12-18
15-31
24-13
21-12
10-26
24-20
27-25
22-21
17-22
25-9
23-26
27-15
32-18
13-25
19-15
20-24
28-27
18-28
170.1Avg total
84.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.285.0169.2-0.946%
Season at home (14)85.782.7168.4+3.064%
Season away (14)82.687.4170.0-4.729%
Last 10 (10)84.885.3170.1-0.560%
Last 5 (5)82.284.8167.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.785.7166.3-5.067%
vs Similar ◀ (20)83.586.7170.2-3.235%
vs Weaker (6)86.777.5164.2+9.283%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
KTP Kotka BasketBC Nokia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H03/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H14/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A18/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A28/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H08/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/02
Korisliiga
81.6Avg total
40.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.286.5+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.583.8-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)46.342.889.1+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.081.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.049.897.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.141.383.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker (4)42.242.584.8-0.250%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A03/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H18/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H25/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H28/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A31/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A08/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H12/02
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A01/03
Korisliiga
86.2Avg total
45.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.684.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.642.386.9+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.342.983.2-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.086.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.083.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.348.384.7-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.844.287.0-1.540%-
vs Weaker (6)45.534.780.2+10.883%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.7
53.1%
51.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.0
35.8%
34.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.212.5
77.2%
73.9%12.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.9
52.8%
51.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.0
35.4%
34.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.312.2
79.7%
73.9%12.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
WWWWWWLLLL
BC Nokia
LWWWLWWLWL
#11
League position
#5
+3.8
Net rating
-0.7
114.8
Offensive rating
112.3
111.1
Defensive rating
113.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.8%
3-point %
35.4%
53.7%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 112.3Defence111.1 · 113.0Shooting53.4% · 52.9%3-point %35.8% · 35.4%Ball care15.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds35.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ BC Nokia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
KTP Kotka Basket wins
6
BC Nokia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AHonka94-89
26/02/25HHonka87-67
12/02/25AKobrat88-84
08/02/25HKouvot Kouvola84-76
31/01/25HPyrinto Tampere88-72
28/01/25ABC Nokia98-61
18/01/25AKobrat76-86
14/01/25HHelsinki Seagulls83-114
07/01/25ABC Nokia76-90
03/01/25HPyrinto Tampere85-90
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AKouvot Kouvola85-94
12/02/25HHonka95-84
08/02/25APyrinto Tampere91-77
31/01/25AKobrat79-71
28/01/25HKTP Kotka Basket61-98
25/01/25HKouvot Kouvola104-88
18/01/25HSalon Vilpas82-75
14/01/25AKouvot Kouvola80-98
07/01/25HKTP Kotka Basket90-76
03/01/25AHonka81-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW36%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLWWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%50%21%
Points / game85.885.386.4
Allowed / game86.682.590.7
Point differential-0.8+2.8-4.4
Avg total172.4167.8177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%64%29%
Points / game84.285.782.6
Allowed / game85.082.787.4
Point differential-0.9+3.0-4.7
Avg total169.2168.4170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2825389%96.782.9+13.8
2 Karhu Basket2819968%83.680.1+3.5
3 Kataja28171161%88.785.2+3.5
4 Pyrinto Tampere28151354%84.084.7-0.7
5 Salon Vilpas27141352%85.385.3+0.0
6 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki28141450%82.183.1-1.0
7 Bisons Loimaa27131448%81.181.1+0.0
8 BC Nokia28131546%84.285.0-0.9
9 Kouvot Kouvola28131546%83.885.6-1.8
10 Honka28111739%83.988.2-4.4
11 KTP Kotka Basket28101836%85.886.6-0.8
12 Kobrat2832511%78.089.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket2725151885
BC Nokia2221281586
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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