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Kumamoto vs Altiri Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 79-99
23-26 17-28 16-22 23-23
Position#5
Record32-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#1
Record46-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game77.1
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Altiri Chiba
06 Oct 2024
KUMA85
ALTI107
05 Oct 2024
KUMA78
ALTI96
24 Mar 2024
KUMA79
ALTI99
23 Mar 2024
KUMA83
ALTI109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Altiri Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 77
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-106
95
106
-11
90avg 77
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 77
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 77
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 77
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 77
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
83-109
83
109
-26
70avg 77
H23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
21-16
24-17
15-28
15-27
23-22
18-25
17-24
27-25
24-27
26-28
18-26
21-22
13-18
22-21
26-21
26-25
20-10
22-27
18-23
24-15
28-23
14-21
12-17
15-20
23-28
25-16
25-30
13-21
22-18
22-23
20-25
22-24
19-33
26-13
20-14
28-28
18-27
19-27
18-27
178.4Avg total
86.0Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)85.383.9169.2+1.464%
Season at home (24)89.483.0172.4+6.488%
Season away (26)81.584.7166.2-3.242%
Last 10 (10)86.092.4178.4-6.450%
Last 5 (5)82.690.0172.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)89.098.1187.1-9.138%
vs Similar (21)86.181.2167.3+4.971%
vs Weaker (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
102-78
102
78
+24
112avg 90
A18/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
98-73
98
73
+25
100avg 90
H24/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
106-95
106
95
+11
99avg 90
H25/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
105-75
105
75
+30
104avg 90
A02/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 90
A03/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 90
H09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
79avg 90
H10/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
93avg 90
H16/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 90
H17/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
109-83
109
83
+26
112avg 90
A23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
24-19
34-22
26-14
27-15
22-23
25-18
24-17
25-27
27-24
28-26
26-18
28-12
23-23
24-24
30-16
27-20
24-20
30-21
20-34
29-27
12-20
23-15
29-21
20-18
23-21
17-19
24-32
21-22
24-29
27-16
28-28
21-14
20-26
17-18
27-20
28-28
27-18
27-19
27-18
182.8Avg total
98.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)91.777.1168.9+14.692%
Season at home (26)91.574.8166.2+16.792%
Season away (24)92.079.7171.8+12.392%
Last 10 (10)98.384.5182.8+13.890%
Last 5 (5)94.285.8180.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)94.678.4173.0+16.293%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
KumamotoAltiri Chiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H23/03
B2.League
87.9Avg total
42.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.584.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.539.686.1+6.877%-
Last 30 away (17)40.042.982.9-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.287.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.489.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.648.191.8-4.525%-
vs Similar (21)42.839.482.1+3.457%-
vs Weaker (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H24/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H25/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A02/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A23/03
B2.League
89.9Avg total
47.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.640.489.0+8.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.640.588.1+7.276%-
Last 30 away (13)49.840.390.1+9.569%-
Last 10 (10)47.042.989.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.689.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)48.640.489.0+8.273%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.9
57.7%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
33.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.713.8
66.7%
71.0%13.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.827.9
59.6%
52.4%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.97.2
38.1%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws27.820.3
73.0%
71.0%20.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LWLLWWWLLW
Altiri Chiba
WWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-9.4
Net rating
+18.6
111.9
Offensive rating
127.2
121.3
Defensive rating
108.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
58.9%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
39.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.3%
3-point %
38.1%
65.0%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 127.2Defence121.3 · 108.6Shooting54.3% · 58.9%3-point %33.3% · 38.1%Ball care18.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds32.8% · 39.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Altiri Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
3
Altiri Chiba wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Kumamoto v Altiri Chiba83-109
25/02/24Altiri Chiba v Kumamoto106-95
24/02/24Altiri Chiba v Kumamoto98-73
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HAltiri Chiba83-109
17/03/24ANara87-84
16/03/24ANara77-87
10/03/24AYamagata Wyverns88-94
09/03/24AYamagata Wyverns78-76
03/03/24HShizuoka86-85
02/03/24HShizuoka108-101 OT
25/02/24AAltiri Chiba95-106
24/02/24AAltiri Chiba73-98
18/02/24HKobe85-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AKumamoto109-83
17/03/24HAomori85-78
16/03/24HAomori100-95
10/03/24HKobe84-90
09/03/24HKobe93-83
03/03/24ANiigata101-95
02/03/24ANiigata105-75
25/02/24HKumamoto106-95
24/02/24HKumamoto98-73
18/02/24AAomori102-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %64%88%42%
Points / game85.389.481.5
Allowed / game83.983.084.7
Point differential+1.4+6.4-3.2
Avg total169.2172.4166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Altiri Chiba
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW92%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game91.791.592.0
Allowed / game77.174.879.7
Point differential+14.6+16.7+12.3
Avg total168.9166.2171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%69%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5046492%91.777.1+14.6
2 Shiga50361472%87.279.8+7.4
3 Fukuoka50331766%78.174.7+3.4
4 Kumamoto50321864%85.383.9+1.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas51302159%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori50262452%85.587.2-1.7
7 Yamagata Wyverns50242648%81.485.4-3.9
8 Kobe51242747%79.478.1+1.2
9 Shizuoka50222844%80.481.2-0.8
10 Fukushima51203139%80.884.6-3.8
11 Nara50193138%74.077.6-3.6
12 Ehime Orange Vikings50183236%78.984.2-5.3
13 Iwate51153629%71.175.5-4.4
14 Niigata5074314%73.886.7-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2317162379
Altiri Chiba2628222399
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