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Kumamoto vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 86-85
26-25 20-10 22-27 18-23
Position#5
Record29-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#9
Record19-25
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game82.0
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Shizuoka
29 Jan 2025
KUMA76
SHIZ63
26 Nov 2024
KUMA74
SHIZ71
25 Nov 2024
KUMA51
SHIZ60
03 Mar 2024
KUMA86
SHIZ85
02 Mar 2024
KUMA108
SHIZ101
03 Dec 2023
KUMA81
SHIZ78
02 Dec 2023
KUMA69
SHIZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
W
104-101
104
101
+3
101avg 77
A31/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 77
A03/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
102avg 77
A04/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
54-75
54
75
-21
39avg 77
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 77
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 77
H17/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 77
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-106
95
106
-11
90avg 77
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
17-21
30-29
32-23
16-23
16-18
20-18
20-21
30-18
16-24
32-21
22-20
20-18
12-20
13-21
9-16
19-27
20-15
19-22
20-21
17-15
21-27
34-23
26-24
25-23
21-16
24-17
15-28
15-27
23-22
18-25
17-24
27-25
24-27
26-28
18-26
21-22
13-18
22-21
26-21
176.9Avg total
86.7Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)85.683.2168.7+2.466%
Season at home (22)89.881.7171.5+8.191%
Season away (22)81.384.6165.9-3.341%
Last 10 (10)86.790.2176.9-3.550%
Last 5 (5)91.895.6187.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.996.6186.4-6.743%
vs Similar ◀ (21)86.181.0167.2+5.171%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
56-90
56
90
-34
42avg 73
A31/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
79avg 73
H03/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
83-100
83
100
-17
79avg 73
H04/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
82-100
82
100
-18
68avg 73
A10/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
63avg 73
A11/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 73
A17/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
93-98
93
98
-5
93avg 73
A18/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 73
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 73
H25/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
no box
A02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
8-19
12-21
14-19
23-16
18-16
18-20
21-20
18-30
24-16
21-32
20-22
22-26
16-21
19-21
25-32
12-24
26-18
15-19
22-17
20-21
18-19
23-20
27-19
25-23
31-19
21-29
16-27
18-20
23-20
30-19
16-20
25-17
21-20
26-17
20-18
22-21
18-13
21-22
21-26
171.3Avg total
83.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)80.882.0162.9-1.243%
Season at home (23)81.479.2160.6+2.257%
Season away (21)80.285.1165.4-4.929%
Last 10 (10)83.787.6171.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)92.287.2179.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.093.7170.7-16.70%
vs Similar ◀ (23)82.482.8165.3-0.448%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
KumamotoShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A31/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H17/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/03
B2.League
83.2Avg total
39.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.483.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.239.184.3+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.882.1-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.483.2-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.485.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.347.190.4-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.738.681.2+4.162%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A31/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H03/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A17/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A18/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H25/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A02/03
B2.League
82.0Avg total
41.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.680.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.238.377.5+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)40.242.682.9-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.682.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.746.184.9-7.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)40.138.979.0+1.252%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.2
55.5%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
33.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.315.9
68.2%
71.0%15.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.8
51.6%
52.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
71.0%10.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WLLWWLLWLW
Shizuoka
LWWLWLLLWL
#5
League position
#9
-3.9
Net rating
-6.2
115.0
Offensive rating
109.6
119.0
Defensive rating
115.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.6%
3-point %
37.1%
64.4%
Assist %
70.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 109.6Defence119.0 · 115.8Shooting54.6% · 53.2%3-point %35.6% · 37.1%Ball care16.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kumamoto wins
1
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka108-101 OT
04/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto83-100
03/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto80-72
03/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka81-78
02/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka69-65
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HShizuoka108-101 OT
25/02/24AAltiri Chiba95-106
24/02/24AAltiri Chiba73-98
18/02/24HKobe85-84
17/02/24HKobe98-89
10/02/24AFukuoka78-85
09/02/24AFukuoka54-75
04/02/24AShizuoka100-83
03/02/24AShizuoka72-80
31/01/24AShiga104-101
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AKumamoto101-108 OT
25/02/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-72
24/02/24HEhime Orange Vikings87-79
18/02/24AFukushima93-98
17/02/24AFukushima88-79
11/02/24AShiga75-78
10/02/24AShiga82-100
04/02/24HKumamoto83-100
03/02/24HKumamoto80-72
31/01/24AAltiri Chiba56-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW66%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %66%91%41%
Points / game85.689.881.3
Allowed / game83.281.784.6
Point differential+2.4+8.1-3.3
Avg total168.7171.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game80.881.480.2
Allowed / game82.079.285.1
Point differential-1.2+2.2-4.9
Avg total162.9160.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%26%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)60% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %11%9%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4441393%91.275.8+15.5
2 Shiga44321273%88.380.9+7.4
3 Fukuoka44301468%77.974.2+3.6
4 Kumamoto44291566%85.683.2+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas44261859%83.874.4+9.3
6 Aomori44242055%85.586.8-1.4
7 Yamagata Wyverns44202445%81.586.4-4.8
8 Kobe44192543%78.778.1+0.6
9 Shizuoka44192543%80.882.0-1.2
10 Fukushima44182641%81.384.7-3.4
11 Nara44172739%74.177.6-3.5
12 Ehime Orange Vikings44143032%78.385.1-6.9
13 Iwate44133130%70.674.7-4.1
14 Niigata4463814%72.786.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2620221886
Shizuoka2510272385
← all games of the day
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