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Kumamoto vs Altiri Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 83-109
28-28 18-27 19-27 18-27
Position#5
Record32-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.4
Kumamoto
Japan
vs
Altiri Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#1
Record45-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game77.0
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Altiri Chiba
06 Oct 2024
KUMA85
ALTI107
05 Oct 2024
KUMA78
ALTI96
24 Mar 2024
KUMA79
ALTI99
23 Mar 2024
KUMA83
ALTI109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Altiri Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 78
H17/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 78
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 78
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-106
95
106
-11
90avg 78
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 78
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 78
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 78
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 78
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 78
A17/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
21-27
34-23
26-24
25-23
21-16
24-17
15-28
15-27
23-22
18-25
17-24
27-25
24-27
26-28
18-26
21-22
13-18
22-21
26-21
26-25
20-10
22-27
18-23
24-15
28-23
14-21
12-17
15-20
23-28
25-16
25-30
13-21
22-18
22-23
20-25
22-24
19-33
26-13
20-14
177.9Avg total
87.5Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)85.383.4168.7+2.065%
Season at home (23)89.781.9171.5+7.891%
Season away (26)81.584.7166.2-3.242%
Last 10 (10)87.590.4177.9-2.960%
Last 5 (5)83.285.2168.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)89.996.6186.4-6.743%
vs Similar (21)86.181.2167.3+4.971%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
105-96
105
96
+9
106avg 90
A17/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
102-78
102
78
+24
112avg 90
A18/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
98-73
98
73
+25
100avg 90
H24/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
106-95
106
95
+11
99avg 90
H25/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
105-75
105
75
+30
104avg 90
A02/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 90
A03/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 90
H09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
79avg 90
H10/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
93avg 90
H16/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 90
H17/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
25-27
27-19
24-22
18-23
24-19
34-22
26-14
27-15
22-23
25-18
24-17
25-27
27-24
28-26
26-18
28-12
23-23
24-24
30-16
27-20
24-20
30-21
20-34
29-27
12-20
23-15
29-21
20-18
23-21
17-19
24-32
21-22
24-29
27-16
28-28
21-14
20-26
17-18
27-20
183.7Avg total
97.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)91.477.0168.4+14.492%
Season at home (26)91.574.8166.2+16.792%
Season away (23)91.379.6170.9+11.791%
Last 10 (10)97.985.8183.7+12.190%
Last 5 (5)92.688.2180.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)94.678.9173.5+15.793%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
KumamotoAltiri Chiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H17/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A17/03
B2.League
85.8Avg total
41.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.8+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.538.384.8+8.283%-
Last 30 away (18)40.442.883.2-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.985.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.347.190.4-3.929%-
vs Similar (21)42.839.482.1+3.457%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A17/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H24/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H25/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A02/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/03
B2.League
90.7Avg total
46.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.540.288.6+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.640.588.1+7.276%-
Last 30 away (13)49.539.889.3+9.869%-
Last 10 (10)46.943.890.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)48.540.288.6+8.373%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.4
56.7%
52.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.814.9
68.3%
71.0%14.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.328.2
59.6%
52.4%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.9
37.1%
33.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws27.920.2
72.4%
71.0%20.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WLLWWWLLWW
Altiri Chiba
WWLWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-7.1
Net rating
+16.3
112.0
Offensive rating
125.6
119.1
Defensive rating
109.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
58.5%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
38.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.42
34.1%
3-point %
37.1%
63.9%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 125.6Defence119.1 · 109.3Shooting54.3% · 58.5%3-point %34.1% · 37.1%Ball care18.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.5% · 38.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Altiri Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
2
Altiri Chiba wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Altiri Chiba v Kumamoto106-95
24/02/24Altiri Chiba v Kumamoto98-73
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ANara87-84
16/03/24ANara77-87
10/03/24AYamagata Wyverns88-94
09/03/24AYamagata Wyverns78-76
03/03/24HShizuoka86-85
02/03/24HShizuoka108-101 OT
25/02/24AAltiri Chiba95-106
24/02/24AAltiri Chiba73-98
18/02/24HKobe85-84
17/02/24HKobe98-89
Altiri Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HAomori85-78
16/03/24HAomori100-95
10/03/24HKobe84-90
09/03/24HKobe93-83
03/03/24ANiigata101-95
02/03/24ANiigata105-75
25/02/24HKumamoto106-95
24/02/24HKumamoto98-73
18/02/24AAomori102-78
17/02/24AAomori105-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %65%91%42%
Points / game85.389.781.5
Allowed / game83.481.984.7
Point differential+2.0+7.8-3.2
Avg total168.7171.5166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Altiri Chiba
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492623
Win %92%92%91%
Points / game91.491.591.3
Allowed / game77.074.879.6
Point differential+14.4+16.7+11.7
Avg total168.4166.2170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%69%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4945492%91.477.0+14.4
2 Shiga49361373%87.379.5+7.8
3 Fukuoka49331667%78.074.5+3.5
4 Kumamoto49321765%85.383.4+2.0
5 Koshigaya Alphas49282157%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori49262353%85.687.0-1.4
7 Yamagata Wyverns49232647%81.185.5-4.4
8 Kobe49222745%79.278.3+0.8
9 Shizuoka49212843%80.281.2-1.0
10 Fukushima49202941%81.184.7-3.6
11 Nara49193039%74.077.6-3.6
12 Ehime Orange Vikings49173235%78.884.4-5.6
13 Iwate49153431%70.975.2-4.3
14 Niigata4964312%73.686.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2818191883
Altiri Chiba28272727109
← all games of the day
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