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Nara vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 84-87
24-22 33-19 13-26 14-20
Position#11
Record19-29
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#5
Record31-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.4
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Kumamoto
01 Dec 2024
NARA69
KUMA73
30 Nov 2024
NARA88
KUMA74
17 Mar 2024
NARA84
KUMA87
16 Mar 2024
NARA87
KUMA77
20 Dec 2023
NARA86
KUMA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
54avg 66
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
89avg 66
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 66
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 66
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
no box
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
91-75
91
75
+16
90avg 66
H02/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
64-78
64
78
-14
53avg 66
H03/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 66
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
62-75
62
75
-13
49avg 66
A10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 66
H16/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
7-29
19-18
17-13
26-30
25-19
21-24
22-24
28-20
15-25
27-18
25-12
17-11
26-14
14-10
11-21
12-17
16-12
19-21
15-12
29-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
12-22
20-15
15-16
17-25
12-15
20-22
19-9
19-23
27-17
14-25
11-15
10-18
21-13
18-22
23-22
25-20
151.3Avg total
76.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)73.877.4151.1-3.640%
Season at home (23)76.179.8155.9-3.748%
Season away (25)71.775.1146.8-3.432%
Last 10 (10)76.474.9151.3+1.550%
Last 5 (5)74.874.8149.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.478.3151.7-4.930%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.676.2149.7-2.644%
vs Weaker (2)94.586.0180.5+8.550%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 77
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 77
H17/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 77
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-106
95
106
-11
90avg 77
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 77
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 77
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 77
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
20-15
19-22
20-21
17-15
21-27
34-23
26-24
25-23
21-16
24-17
15-28
15-27
23-22
18-25
17-24
27-25
24-27
26-28
18-26
21-22
13-18
22-21
26-21
26-25
20-10
22-27
18-23
24-15
28-23
14-21
12-17
15-20
23-28
25-16
25-30
13-21
22-18
22-23
20-25
177.1Avg total
86.6Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)85.383.4168.6+1.965%
Season at home (23)89.781.9171.5+7.891%
Season away (25)81.384.7166.0-3.440%
Last 10 (10)86.690.5177.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)87.488.6176.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.996.6186.4-6.743%
vs Similar ◀ (21)85.881.0166.8+4.971%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
NaraKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H02/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H03/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/03
B2.League
76.5Avg total
38.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.975.1-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.377.9-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)34.138.572.6-4.419%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.176.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.676.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.038.173.1-3.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.738.474.1-2.733%-
vs Weaker (2)47.047.094.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H17/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/03
B2.League
84.1Avg total
41.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.583.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.738.784.4+7.077%-
Last 30 away (17)40.441.982.3-1.635%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.484.1-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.347.190.4-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.538.781.2+3.857%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.7
49.7%
52.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.0
32.7%
33.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
71.0%15.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.1
55.1%
52.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.5
32.1%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
71.0%14.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WLWLWLWWLL
Kumamoto
LLWWWLLWWL
#11
League position
#5
+2.0
Net rating
-10.1
105.7
Offensive rating
108.0
103.8
Defensive rating
118.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.7%
3-point %
32.1%
67.8%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 108.0Defence103.8 · 118.1Shooting49.5% · 52.1%3-point %32.7% · 32.1%Ball care16.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.8% · 32.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Nara   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nara wins
3
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Nara v Kumamoto87-77
07/01/24Kumamoto v Nara74-59
06/01/24Kumamoto v Nara87-66
20/12/23Nara v Kumamoto86-78
25/10/23Kumamoto v Nara64-62
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HKumamoto87-77
10/03/24AShizuoka62-75
09/03/24AShizuoka70-69
03/03/24HIwate64-78
02/03/24HIwate91-75
24/02/24AKobe70-71 OT
23/02/24AKobe68-56
18/02/24HNiigata95-75
17/02/24HNiigata94-97
10/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings63-76
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ANara77-87
10/03/24AYamagata Wyverns88-94
09/03/24AYamagata Wyverns78-76
03/03/24HShizuoka86-85
02/03/24HShizuoka108-101 OT
25/02/24AAltiri Chiba95-106
24/02/24AAltiri Chiba73-98
18/02/24HKobe85-84
17/02/24HKobe98-89
10/02/24AFukuoka78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW40%
HomeLWWLW48%
AwayLWLWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %40%48%32%
Points / game73.876.171.7
Allowed / game77.479.875.1
Point differential-3.6-3.7-3.4
Avg total151.1155.9146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)60% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %65%91%40%
Points / game85.389.781.3
Allowed / game83.481.984.7
Point differential+1.9+7.8-3.4
Avg total168.6171.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%35%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4844492%91.577.0+14.5
2 Shiga47341372%87.780.4+7.2
3 Fukuoka49331667%78.074.5+3.5
4 Kumamoto48311765%85.383.4+1.9
5 Koshigaya Alphas49282157%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori48262254%85.887.0-1.2
7 Yamagata Wyverns48232548%81.785.7-4.0
8 Kobe48212744%79.178.5+0.6
9 Shizuoka49212843%80.281.2-1.0
10 Fukushima49202941%81.184.7-3.6
11 Nara48192940%73.877.4-3.6
12 Ehime Orange Vikings48163233%78.885.0-6.2
13 Iwate47153232%71.575.1-3.6
14 Niigata4864212%73.686.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2433131484
Kumamoto2219262087
← all games of the day
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