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Kumamoto vs Altiri Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 78-96
21-27 20-27 22-24 15-18
Position#8
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Altiri Chiba
06 Oct 2024
KUMA85
ALTI107
05 Oct 2024
KUMA78
ALTI96
24 Mar 2024
KUMA79
ALTI99
23 Mar 2024
KUMA83
ALTI109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Altiri Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
63avg 78
A30/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
87avg 78
A31/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
80-89
80
89
-9
76avg 78
H06/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 78
H07/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
92-106
92
106
-14
86avg 78
H13/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
91-85
91
85
+6
94avg 78
H14/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 78
A20/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 78
A21/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
80-108
80
108
-28
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
18-18
18-20
25-26
19-20
14-30
27-24
29-24
24-21
20-19
17-23
19-26
18-23
24-22
16-20
23-23
21-34
28-25
28-23
15-24
22-18
26-22
22-25
21-20
16-28
29-22
26-21
18-22
25-16
18-27
17-19
23-22
16-28
25-28
13-22
16-22
17-30
13-28
24-21
26-29
176.9Avg total
82.8Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.894.1176.9-11.310%
Last 5 (5)82.694.0176.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.1101.8185.9-17.612%
vs Similar (22)86.087.6173.6-1.745%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 90
H13/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 90
H14/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
101-68
101
68
+33
108avg 90
A20/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
112-78
112
78
+34
120avg 90
A21/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H03/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H04/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
83avg 90
H11/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
60avg 90
H12/05
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
92-72
92
72
+20
94avg 90
H18/05
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
97-79
97
79
+18
101avg 90
H19/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
26-16
16-27
17-18
23-25
23-17
15-30
22-7
31-16
26-18
22-18
22-16
14-16
32-27
37-14
29-21
25-17
18-29
28-16
20-16
24-17
23-22
27-17
19-20
25-22
16-27
29-21
14-14
19-17
14-22
16-16
23-20
24-16
24-27
27-18
17-11
30-19
26-22
18-18
23-20
170.6Avg total
92.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.178.5170.6+13.680%
Last 5 (5)89.479.8169.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)95.380.7176.0+14.690%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
KumamotoAltiri Chiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A30/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H13/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A20/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A03/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A04/05
B2.League
89.0Avg total
40.5Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.845.887.5-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.044.489.4+0.646%-
Last 30 away (17)39.346.886.1-7.512%-
Last 10 (10)40.548.589.0-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.449.490.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.153.295.4-11.10%-
vs Similar (22)41.643.084.7-1.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H13/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H14/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A20/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A21/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/05
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/05
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H18/05
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H19/05
B2.League
88.5Avg total
47.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.341.889.1+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)46.843.089.8+3.863%-
Last 30 away (11)48.139.787.8+8.473%-
Last 10 (10)47.141.488.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.341.889.1+5.567%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.7
54.5%
51.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
70.7%15.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.3
55.1%
51.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.2
39.8%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.6
73.5%
70.7%13.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLLLWLLLLL
Altiri Chiba
WWLLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-10.4
Net rating
+18.7
110.3
Offensive rating
116.3
120.7
Defensive rating
97.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
56.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
39.8%
72.5%
Assist %
68.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 116.3Defence120.7 · 97.7Shooting52.2% · 56.7%3-point %32.7% · 39.8%Ball care16.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.0% · 37.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Altiri Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
4
Altiri Chiba wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Kumamoto v Altiri Chiba79-99
23/03/24Kumamoto v Altiri Chiba83-109
25/02/24Altiri Chiba v Kumamoto106-95
24/02/24Altiri Chiba v Kumamoto98-73
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AKoshigaya Alphas80-108
03/05/24AKoshigaya Alphas70-100
21/04/24AKobe83-84
20/04/24AKobe89-93
14/04/24HFukuoka91-85
13/04/24HFukuoka92-106
07/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings81-88
06/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings80-89
31/03/24AAomori89-98
30/03/24AAomori73-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24HYamagata Wyverns97-79
18/05/24HYamagata Wyverns92-72
12/05/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-75
11/05/24HKoshigaya Alphas93-97 OT
04/05/24HShizuoka93-76
03/05/24HShizuoka91-78
21/04/24ANiigata112-78
20/04/24ANiigata101-68
14/04/24HKoshigaya Alphas83-79
13/04/24HKoshigaya Alphas87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Altiri Chiba
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2120221578
Altiri Chiba2727241896
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