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Kumamoto vs Iwate Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 78-71
20-17 17-19 23-14 18-21
Position#5
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#13
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game78.6
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Iwate
29 Oct 2023
KUMA78
IWAT71
28 Oct 2023
KUMA78
IWAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
55-61
55
61
-6
no box
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
70avg 74
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 74
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 74
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 74
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 74
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 74
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
64-62
64
62
+2
52avg 74
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 74
H28/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
10-11
18-19
15-16
23-20
15-22
28-22
19-24
29-24
29-25
8-26
20-25
17-22
33-22
17-19
24-22
31-24
20-13
17-26
29-16
17-18
22-24
18-15
20-26
18-24
20-20
24-12
22-21
10-13
18-25
29-19
20-21
17-12
20-15
16-17
11-18
16-21
24-16
20-18
18-15
157.7Avg total
79.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.879.2161.0+2.562%
Season at home (4)79.879.2159.0+0.575%
Season away (4)83.879.2163.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)79.478.3157.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)76.074.0150.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)68.287.7155.9-19.55%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.974.5152.4+3.462%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Akita
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A23/05
BJ League
Shiga
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A24/05
BJ League
Aomori
#8
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
no box
A07/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 56
A08/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
49avg 56
H14/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 56
H15/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
74-64
74
64
+10
70avg 56
H21/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
67-71
67
71
-4
58avg 56
H22/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
52-91
52
91
-39
33avg 56
A25/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 56
A28/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
19-21
11-23
21-25
14-35
15-17
23-17
23-13
17-25
23-15
15-18
17-14
26-24
19-13
15-22
8-18
21-20
15-22
17-10
10-28
18-16
15-23
23-31
16-14
18-15
22-15
19-19
15-15
19-25
14-17
19-17
15-12
16-30
16-25
12-18
8-18
21-16
16-24
18-20
15-18
148.3Avg total
68.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.178.6146.8-10.512%
Season at home (4)69.074.8143.8-5.825%
Season away (4)67.282.5149.8-15.20%
Last 10 (10)68.879.5148.3-10.710%
Last 5 (5)67.077.6144.6-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.385.0147.3-22.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.672.5142.1-2.925%
vs Weaker (19)85.970.1156.0+15.879%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
KumamotoIwate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
B2.League
78.7Avg total
40.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.441.075.3-6.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.041.677.6-5.643%-
Last 30 away (16)32.940.473.4-7.525%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.678.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.943.176.0-10.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.435.873.1+1.650%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A23/05
BJ League
Shiga
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A24/05
BJ League
Aomori
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A08/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H15/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H21/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H22/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A25/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/10
B2.League
77.4Avg total
36.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.534.974.4+4.661%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.633.274.8+8.464%-
Last 30 away (14)37.436.573.9+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.377.4-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.276.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.745.379.0-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.635.272.9+2.438%-
vs Weaker (17)41.432.874.2+8.682%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.2
53.8%
52.4%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.2%
33.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.2%
71.0%15.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.9 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.9 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.4
47.1%
52.4%34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.9%
33.6%25.3
🏀 Free throws10.05.9
58.6%
71.0%5.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WWLWLWWLLL
Iwate
LLLWLLLLLL
#5
League position
#13
+3.0
Net rating
-15.7
106.7
Offensive rating
94.2
103.7
Defensive rating
110.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.16
32.2%
3-point %
31.9%
59.4%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 94.2Defence103.7 · 110.0Shooting51.6% · 47.4%3-point %32.2% · 31.9%Ball care17.8% · 20.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Iwate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
0
Iwate wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Kumamoto v Iwate78-70
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HIwate78-70
25/10/23HNara64-62
22/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings77-78
21/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings84-77
15/10/23AFukushima77-83
14/10/23AFukushima97-79
08/10/23HShiga91-85
07/10/23HShiga86-100
27/05/18AToyama85-88
03/05/15HHiroshima D.55-61
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AKumamoto70-78
25/10/23AShiga52-91
22/10/23HShizuoka67-71
21/10/23HShizuoka74-64
15/10/23HAltiri Chiba72-84
14/10/23HAltiri Chiba63-80
08/10/23AAomori68-77
07/10/23AAomori79-84 OT
24/05/15AShiga75-82
23/05/15AAkita68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game81.879.883.8
Allowed / game79.279.279.2
Point differential+2.5+0.5+4.5
Avg total161.0159.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game68.169.067.2
Allowed / game78.674.882.5
Point differential-10.5-5.8-15.2
Avg total146.8143.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba98189%86.778.7+8.0
2 Fukuoka98189%78.871.2+7.6
3 Kobe97278%83.077.8+5.2
4 Koshigaya Alphas96367%85.473.1+12.3
5 Shizuoka85362%81.174.5+6.6
6 Kumamoto85362%81.879.2+2.5
7 Aomori85362%86.285.9+0.4
8 Yamagata Wyverns95456%83.482.8+0.7
9 Shiga94544%85.679.3+6.2
10 Ehime Orange Vikings83538%73.477.0-3.6
11 Fukushima82625%80.687.4-6.8
12 Iwate81712%68.178.6-10.5
13 Niigata91811%68.384.8-16.4
14 Nara9090%69.683.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2017231878
Iwate1719142171
← all games of the day
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