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Kumamoto vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 64-62
17-12 20-15 16-17 11-18
Position#5
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#11
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game89.2
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Nara
30 Mar 2025
KUMA112
NARA57
29 Mar 2025
KUMA64
NARA67
03 Nov 2024
KUMA71
NARA85
02 Nov 2024
KUMA86
NARA94
07 Jan 2024
KUMA74
NARA59
06 Jan 2024
KUMA87
NARA66
25 Oct 2023
KUMA64
NARA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A25/04
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
55-61
55
61
-6
no box
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
70avg 78
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 78
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 78
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 78
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 78
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 78
A22/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
24-21
11-20
12-22
16-19
14-9
12-19
25-25
12-15
10-11
18-19
15-16
23-20
15-22
28-22
19-24
29-24
29-25
8-26
20-25
17-22
33-22
17-19
24-22
31-24
20-13
17-26
29-16
17-18
22-24
18-15
20-26
18-24
20-20
24-12
22-21
10-13
18-25
29-19
20-21
158.2Avg total
78.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.383.7169.0+1.750%
Season at home (2)88.592.5181.0-4.050%
Season away (4)83.879.2163.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.080.2158.2-2.230%
Last 5 (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.987.0155.9-18.25%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.277.3157.5+2.850%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
H18/04
BJ League
Ryukyu
#5
L
54-89
54
89
-35
no box
H19/04
BJ League
Shimane
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/04
BJ League
Shimane
#12
L
56-87
56
87
-31
no box
A26/04
BJ League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
66avg 58
A07/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 58
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 58
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
58-96
58
96
-38
48avg 58
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
48avg 58
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 58
H22/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
21-21
10-26
28-20
9-16
16-30
12-15
17-28
23-22
9-21
23-11
15-23
–
–
–
–
13-28
19-25
22-25
26-17
25-19
20-24
19-24
12-16
13-17
11-20
27-22
15-18
17-25
10-19
19-24
12-28
16-26
18-21
22-21
10-28
16-15
22-30
21-21
19-22
155.0Avg total
67.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.789.2159.8-18.50%
Season at home (4)67.089.2156.2-22.20%
Season away (2)78.089.0167.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)67.387.7155.0-20.40%
Last 5 (5)68.888.0156.8-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)68.883.2152.0-14.38%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.289.0167.2-10.817%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.1-5.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.1-5.1
KumamotoNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A25/04
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/10
B2.League
77.9Avg total
39.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.841.575.3-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.942.777.6-7.929%-
Last 30 away (16)32.940.473.4-7.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.777.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.082.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.642.875.5-10.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.037.074.0+0.033%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H18/04
BJ League
Ryukyu
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H19/04
BJ League
Shimane
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/04
BJ League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A07/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/10
B2.League
76.6Avg total
32.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.140.774.8-6.631%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.540.172.6-7.625%-
Last 30 away (13)36.141.477.5-5.338%-
Last 10 (9)32.044.676.6-12.611%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.276.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.541.874.3-9.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.236.576.7+3.783%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.0
54.5%
52.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
32.0%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.3
71.9%
71.0%15.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.717.7
45.7%
52.4%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.7
29.2%
33.6%20.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.7
70.4%
71.0%14.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LWLWWLLLLL
Nara
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#11
+1.3
Net rating
-24.0
108.3
Offensive rating
94.3
107.0
Defensive rating
118.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
45.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.0%
3-point %
29.2%
59.4%
Assist %
52.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 94.3Defence107.0 · 118.3Shooting51.7% · 45.0%3-point %32.0% · 29.2%Ball care17.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds31.6% · 28.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
0
Nara wins
No previous meetings.
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings77-78
21/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings84-77
15/10/23AFukushima77-83
14/10/23AFukushima97-79
08/10/23HShiga91-85
07/10/23HShiga86-100
27/05/18AToyama85-88
03/05/15HHiroshima D.55-61
02/05/15HHiroshima D.67-72
25/04/15AAlvark61-79
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HShiga78-88
21/10/23HShiga66-96
15/10/23HKobe58-96
14/10/23HKobe66-77
08/10/23AAltiri Chiba76-83
07/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-95
26/04/15AShimane56-87
25/04/15AShimane70-77
19/04/15HRyukyu54-89
18/04/15HRyukyu69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.388.583.8
Allowed / game83.792.579.2
Point differential+1.7-4.0+4.5
Avg total169.0181.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.767.078.0
Allowed / game89.289.289.0
Point differential-18.5-22.2-11.0
Avg total159.8156.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kobe660100%89.075.7+13.3
2 Fukuoka65183%80.771.8+8.8
3 Altiri Chiba65183%83.376.7+6.7
4 Aomori65183%86.282.7+3.5
5 Koshigaya Alphas64267%83.574.2+9.3
6 Shiga63350%85.280.0+5.2
7 Kumamoto63350%85.383.7+1.7
8 Shizuoka63350%78.277.5+0.7
9 Yamagata Wyverns63350%78.380.5-2.2
10 Fukushima62433%84.386.7-2.3
11 Ehime Orange Vikings62433%72.775.7-3.0
12 Iwate61517%70.576.7-6.2
13 Niigata6060%65.582.5-17.0
14 Nara6060%70.789.2-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto1720161164
Nara1215171862
← all games of the day
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