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Kumamoto vs Iwate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 78-70
16-21 24-16 20-18 18-15
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#13
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game78.7
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Iwate
29 Oct 2023
KUMA78
IWAT71
28 Oct 2023
KUMA78
IWAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
55-61
55
61
-6
no box
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
70avg 74
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 74
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 74
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 74
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 74
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 74
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
64-62
64
62
+2
52avg 74
H25/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
14-9
12-19
25-25
12-15
10-11
18-19
15-16
23-20
15-22
28-22
19-24
29-24
29-25
8-26
20-25
17-22
33-22
17-19
24-22
31-24
20-13
17-26
29-16
17-18
22-24
18-15
20-26
18-24
20-20
24-12
22-21
10-13
18-25
29-19
20-21
17-12
20-15
16-17
11-18
156.8Avg total
78.3Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.380.6162.9+1.757%
Season at home (3)80.382.3162.7-2.067%
Season away (4)83.879.2163.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.378.5156.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)79.875.8155.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.387.2155.6-18.95%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.975.1153.0+2.757%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Aomori
#11
W
111-57
111
57
+54
no box
H10/05
BJ League
Akita
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A23/05
BJ League
Shiga
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A24/05
BJ League
Aomori
#8
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
no box
A07/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 55
A08/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
49avg 55
H14/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 55
H15/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
74-64
74
64
+10
70avg 55
H21/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
67-71
67
71
-4
58avg 55
H22/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
52-91
52
91
-39
33avg 55
A25/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
29-19
25-10
32-15
17-15
19-21
11-23
21-25
14-35
15-17
23-17
23-13
17-25
23-15
15-18
17-14
26-24
19-13
15-22
8-18
21-20
15-22
17-10
10-28
18-16
15-23
23-31
16-14
18-15
22-15
19-19
15-15
19-25
14-17
19-17
15-12
16-30
16-25
12-18
8-18
150.3Avg total
72.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.978.7146.6-10.914%
Season at home (4)69.074.8143.8-5.825%
Season away (3)66.384.0150.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)72.977.4150.3-4.520%
Last 5 (5)65.678.0143.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.385.0147.3-22.70%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.671.7141.3-2.129%
vs Weaker (20)86.070.8156.8+15.380%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
KumamotoIwate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H02/05
NBL
Hiroshima D.
#9
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H03/05
NBL
Toyama
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A27/05
B League
Shiga
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H08/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/10
B2.League
76.8Avg total
39.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.041.175.1-7.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.341.977.1-6.636%-
Last 30 away (16)32.940.473.4-7.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.776.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)32.743.075.7-10.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.035.672.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/05
BJ League
Akita
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A23/05
BJ League
Shiga
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A24/05
BJ League
Aomori
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A08/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H15/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H21/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H22/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A25/10
B2.League
78.3Avg total
37.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.334.974.1+4.461%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.933.774.5+7.260%-
Last 30 away (13)37.536.273.7+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.578.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.676.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.745.379.0-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.734.672.3+3.143%-
vs Weaker (18)40.833.274.1+7.678%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.9 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
53.0%
52.4%40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.6
31.6%
33.6%25.7
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.2%
71.0%14.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 65.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.8 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.5
47.1%
52.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.4%
33.6%24.5
🏀 Free throws9.85.8
59.3%
71.0%5.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WLWLWWLLLL
Iwate
LLWLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#13
+1.9
Net rating
-16.4
106.1
Offensive rating
93.3
104.2
Defensive rating
109.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
46.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.15
31.6%
3-point %
30.4%
58.6%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 93.3Defence104.2 · 109.7Shooting50.7% · 46.5%3-point %31.6% · 30.4%Ball care17.3% · 20.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.15Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Iwate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
0
Iwate wins
No previous meetings.
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HNara64-62
22/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings77-78
21/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings84-77
15/10/23AFukushima77-83
14/10/23AFukushima97-79
08/10/23HShiga91-85
07/10/23HShiga86-100
27/05/18AToyama85-88
03/05/15HHiroshima D.55-61
02/05/15HHiroshima D.67-72
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AShiga52-91
22/10/23HShizuoka67-71
21/10/23HShizuoka74-64
15/10/23HAltiri Chiba72-84
14/10/23HAltiri Chiba63-80
08/10/23AAomori68-77
07/10/23AAomori79-84 OT
24/05/15AShiga75-82
23/05/15AAkita68-84
10/05/15HAomori111-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game82.380.383.8
Allowed / game80.682.379.2
Point differential+1.7-2.0+4.5
Avg total162.9162.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game67.969.066.3
Allowed / game78.774.884.0
Point differential-10.9-5.8-17.7
Avg total146.6143.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka98189%78.871.2+7.6
2 Kobe87188%87.277.4+9.9
3 Altiri Chiba87188%85.577.1+8.4
4 Koshigaya Alphas85362%86.076.1+9.9
5 Aomori85362%86.285.9+0.4
6 Shizuoka74357%81.176.7+4.4
7 Kumamoto74357%82.380.6+1.7
8 Yamagata Wyverns74357%83.184.7-1.6
9 Shiga84450%84.977.2+7.6
10 Ehime Orange Vikings83538%73.477.0-3.6
11 Fukushima72529%83.788.3-4.6
12 Iwate71614%67.978.7-10.9
13 Nara9090%69.683.0-13.4
14 Niigata7070%66.184.9-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto1624201878
Iwate2116181570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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