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Shiga vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 101-104
28-25 21-17 29-30 23-32
Position#2
Record25-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game79.9
Shiga
Japan
vs
Kumamoto 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record24-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game81.1
JapanB2.League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shiga v Kumamoto
31 Jan 2024
SHIG101
KUMA104
24 Dec 2023
SHIG81
KUMA73
23 Dec 2023
SHIG105
KUMA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 84
H23/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 84
H24/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
H29/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
98avg 84
H30/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-89
100
89
+11
96avg 84
A05/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
87avg 84
A06/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
93avg 84
A20/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
81-92
81
92
-11
78avg 84
A21/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
105-89
105
89
+16
108avg 84
H27/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
H28/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
24-20
28-22
27-15
20-20
22-13
25-17
14-23
22-21
23-18
17-28
19-14
15-18
21-20
36-21
25-15
23-22
21-17
29-32
27-18
22-18
18-22
15-14
32-27
30-20
23-16
14-23
22-21
26-20
19-22
14-25
22-25
23-19
20-23
35-18
27-29
25-20
17-21
26-30
23-20
180.6Avg total
94.5Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)88.379.9168.1+8.474%
Season at home (17)88.178.5166.5+9.671%
Season away (17)88.581.3169.8+7.276%
Last 10 (10)94.586.1180.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)93.490.0183.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.578.5168.0+11.086%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
72avg 77
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 77
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
97avg 77
H30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 77
H31/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
89avg 77
H06/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
69avg 77
H07/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 77
A20/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
89-69
89
69
+20
78avg 77
A21/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 77
H27/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
100-83
100
83
+17
94avg 77
H28/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-24
22-28
15-27
20-20
13-22
17-25
23-14
21-20
28-18
25-22
27-27
30-22
21-13
16-18
22-21
30-21
23-15
22-18
12-12
24-16
21-16
15-16
14-11
29-18
14-11
15-16
19-25
20-21
24-15
21-13
24-20
22-24
24-17
30-25
26-23
35-17
22-17
16-23
27-26
165.8Avg total
87.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.281.1166.3+4.171%
Season at home (19)88.780.2168.9+8.589%
Season away (15)80.982.2163.1-1.347%
Last 10 (10)87.578.3165.8+9.280%
Last 5 (5)88.474.0162.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.592.7173.2-12.233%
vs Similar (22)86.177.3163.4+8.882%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
ShigaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H23/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H30/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A20/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H28/01
B2.League
83.6Avg total
44.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.982.5+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.581.1+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)44.739.383.9+5.473%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.284.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.049.083.0-15.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.438.182.5+6.279%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H31/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H06/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H07/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H28/01
B2.League
84.0Avg total
46.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.281.9+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.937.383.2+8.688%-
Last 30 away (13)38.541.880.2-3.346%-
Last 10 (10)46.737.384.0+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.034.481.4+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.248.888.0-9.733%-
vs Similar (22)43.736.980.5+6.877%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.7
58.8%
52.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.2%
71.0%18.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.724.1
60.7%
52.4%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.5
33.9%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.4
71.7%
71.0%13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
LWLWWWWWWW
Kumamoto
WWWWWWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+11.3
Net rating
+13.2
119.3
Offensive rating
117.4
107.9
Defensive rating
104.2
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
33.9%
71.2%
Assist %
60.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 117.4Defence107.9 · 104.2Shooting57.5% · 56.9%3-point %36.8% · 33.9%Ball care16.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Shiga   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shiga wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
24/12/23Shiga v Kumamoto81-73
23/12/23Shiga v Kumamoto105-83
08/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga91-85
07/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga86-100
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HFukushima105-108 OT
27/01/24HFukushima105-89
21/01/24ANiigata81-92
20/01/24ANiigata89-80
06/01/24AEhime Orange Vikings87-81
05/01/24AEhime Orange Vikings100-89
30/12/23HShizuoka97-74
29/12/23HShizuoka95-92 OT
24/12/23HKumamoto81-73
23/12/23HKumamoto105-83
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HYamagata Wyverns100-83
27/01/24HYamagata Wyverns102-89
21/01/24AKobe89-69
20/01/24AKobe77-70
07/01/24HNara74-59
06/01/24HNara87-66
31/12/23HFukushima89-74
30/12/23HFukushima101-87
24/12/23AShiga73-81
23/12/23AShiga83-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWWWL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %74%71%76%
Points / game88.388.188.5
Allowed / game79.978.581.3
Point differential+8.4+9.6+7.2
Avg total168.1166.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %71%89%47%
Points / game85.288.780.9
Allowed / game81.180.282.2
Point differential+4.1+8.5-1.3
Avg total166.3168.9163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3431391%88.075.2+12.8
2 Shiga3425974%88.379.9+8.4
3 Kumamoto34241071%85.281.1+4.1
4 Fukuoka34221265%78.074.8+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas34211362%83.274.1+9.1
6 Aomori34181653%85.086.9-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns34181653%82.685.3-2.7
8 Kobe34151944%78.478.8-0.4
9 Shizuoka34151944%80.080.4-0.4
10 Nara34142041%73.077.6-4.6
11 Fukushima34132138%80.884.9-4.1
12 Ehime Orange Vikings3492526%79.586.7-7.2
13 Iwate3482624%69.575.1-5.6
14 Niigata3452915%72.183.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga28212923101
Kumamoto25173032104
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