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Shizuoka vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 80-72
23-16 18-16 18-20 21-20
Position#9
Record15-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#5
Record25-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game81.7
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shizuoka v Kumamoto
26 Mar 2025
SHIZ86
KUMA78
27 Oct 2024
SHIZ82
KUMA75
26 Oct 2024
SHIZ89
KUMA75
04 Feb 2024
SHIZ83
KUMA100
03 Feb 2024
SHIZ80
KUMA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
90avg 72
H24/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
A29/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 72
A30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
92-103 OT
92
103
-11
no box
H06/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 72
H07/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
57avg 72
H20/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 72
H21/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 72
A27/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
81-93
81
93
-12
80avg 72
A28/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
56-90
56
90
-34
42avg 72
A31/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
24-16
25-18
23-20
21-22
18-23
28-17
14-19
18-15
20-21
21-36
15-25
20-19
18-29
24-19
26-21
16-28
21-21
16-24
21-8
10-19
12-17
20-19
24-20
26-20
26-12
10-20
13-19
25-23
21-19
24-21
16-19
14-21
18-23
27-23
22-26
22-31
8-19
12-21
14-19
164.5Avg total
78.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.380.7160.0-1.343%
Season at home (19)80.578.8159.4+1.753%
Season away (16)77.982.8160.7-4.931%
Last 10 (10)78.486.1164.5-7.730%
Last 5 (5)72.882.2155.0-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.093.6170.6-16.60%
vs Similar ◀ (23)80.077.0156.9+3.057%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 78
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
97avg 78
H30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 78
H31/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
89avg 78
H06/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
69avg 78
H07/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 78
A20/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
89-69
89
69
+20
78avg 78
A21/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 78
H27/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
100-83
100
83
+17
94avg 78
H28/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
104-101
104
101
+3
101avg 78
A31/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
13-22
17-25
23-14
21-20
28-18
25-22
27-27
30-22
21-13
16-18
22-21
30-21
23-15
22-18
12-12
24-16
21-16
15-16
14-11
29-18
14-11
15-16
19-25
20-21
24-15
21-13
24-20
22-24
24-17
30-25
26-23
35-17
22-17
16-23
27-26
25-28
17-21
30-29
32-23
167.5Avg total
89.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.881.7167.4+4.171%
Season at home (19)88.780.2168.9+8.589%
Season away (16)82.383.4165.7-1.150%
Last 10 (10)89.677.9167.5+11.790%
Last 5 (5)94.482.4176.8+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.993.9177.7-10.043%
vs Similar ◀ (21)86.277.3163.5+8.981%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
ShizuokaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H24/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A29/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H06/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H20/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H21/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A28/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A31/01
B2.League
79.2Avg total
37.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.679.2-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.978.2+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.380.1-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.879.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.877.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.645.084.6-5.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.638.077.5+1.652%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H31/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H06/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H07/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H28/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A31/01
B2.League
83.5Avg total
46.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.482.2+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.937.383.2+8.688%-
Last 30 away (13)38.842.280.9-3.446%-
Last 10 (10)46.337.283.5+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.884.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.648.988.4-9.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)44.036.580.5+7.481%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.4
52.6%
52.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.5
33.2%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.110.0
76.3%
71.0%10.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.024.1
60.2%
52.4%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.8%
71.0%13.8
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
LLWWLLLLLW
Kumamoto
WWWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#5
-9.2
Net rating
+16.3
103.6
Offensive rating
119.8
112.8
Defensive rating
103.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
57.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
35.2%
67.0%
Assist %
60.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 119.8Defence112.8 · 103.5Shooting51.4% · 57.3%3-point %33.2% · 35.2%Ball care17.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shizuoka wins
2
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka81-78
02/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka69-65
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AAltiri Chiba56-90
28/01/24AAomori81-93
27/01/24AAomori86-82
21/01/24HNara75-71
20/01/24HNara66-75
07/01/24HYamagata Wyverns74-81
06/01/24HYamagata Wyverns92-103 OT
30/12/23AShiga74-97
29/12/23AShiga92-95 OT
24/12/23HFukuoka88-74
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AShiga104-101
28/01/24HYamagata Wyverns100-83
27/01/24HYamagata Wyverns102-89
21/01/24AKobe89-69
20/01/24AKobe77-70
07/01/24HNara74-59
06/01/24HNara87-66
31/12/23HFukushima89-74
30/12/23HFukushima101-87
24/12/23AShiga73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLLLW53%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %43%53%31%
Points / game79.380.577.9
Allowed / game80.778.882.8
Point differential-1.3+1.7-4.9
Avg total160.0159.4160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%26%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %11%11%12%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %71%89%50%
Points / game85.888.782.3
Allowed / game81.780.283.4
Point differential+4.1+8.5-1.1
Avg total167.4168.9165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3633392%88.574.4+14.1
2 Kumamoto35251071%85.881.7+4.1
3 Shiga36251169%88.181.2+6.8
4 Fukuoka36241267%78.474.9+3.5
5 Koshigaya Alphas36221461%83.874.7+9.1
6 Aomori36191753%85.487.2-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns36191753%82.384.9-2.7
8 Kobe35161946%78.978.5+0.4
9 Shizuoka35152043%79.380.7-1.3
10 Fukushima36142239%81.084.9-3.8
11 Nara36142239%73.278.1-4.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings36102628%79.386.8-7.5
13 Iwate3692725%69.775.1-5.4
14 Niigata3553014%72.583.2-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shizuoka2318182180
Kumamoto1616202072
← all games of the day
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