PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kumamoto vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 59-72
14-13 21-19 12-19 12-21
Position#8
Record11-22
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record22-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game76.7
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Shinshu
26 Jan 2025
KUMA59
SHIN72
25 Jan 2025
KUMA79
SHIN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
108-82
108
82
+26
112avg 75
A18/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
65avg 75
H21/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 75
H22/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
87avg 75
H28/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 75
H29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 75
A04/01
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 75
A05/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 75
A11/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
82-61
82
61
+21
86avg 75
A12/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
68avg 75
H25/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
25-21
25-17
31-23
21-27
20-15
19-19
11-30
24-22
20-22
16-12
21-20
28-29
22-22
22-18
18-23
19-25
21-25
17-10
24-11
27-18
30-20
14-18
19-18
18-23
27-17
21-15
21-11
24-26
25-30
17-9
15-15
16-18
26-11
19-4
21-28
15-19
27-15
14-26
23-22
162.5Avg total
85.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.183.8161.9-5.833%
Season at home (16)78.083.6161.6-5.631%
Season away (17)78.284.1162.2-5.935%
Last 10 (10)85.077.5162.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)83.872.6156.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.587.7160.2-15.217%
vs Similar (18)77.182.1159.2-5.128%
vs Weaker (6)87.878.3166.2+9.583%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 76
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
92-96
92
96
-4
92avg 76
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
96avg 76
H22/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
92avg 76
A28/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
83avg 76
A29/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
99-72
99
72
+27
107avg 76
H04/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
93-76
93
76
+17
91avg 76
H05/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
66-75
66
75
-9
55avg 76
H11/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
83-60
83
60
+23
83avg 76
H12/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
80avg 76
A25/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
28-23
16-27
19-26
26-31
27-20
25-26
14-19
22-21
16-28
22-18
25-18
24-20
18-27
26-18
21-12
24-18
21-16
10-19
24-20
24-18
29-17
23-19
23-18
17-21
34-20
20-21
22-14
8-24
20-16
21-16
17-19
26-14
22-19
25-13
10-14
19-15
15-27
26-14
22-23
164.2Avg total
85.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.176.7163.8+10.467%
Season at home (17)89.273.4162.6+15.876%
Season away (16)84.880.2165.0+4.656%
Last 10 (10)85.878.4164.2+7.470%
Last 5 (5)84.672.4157.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.089.5164.5-14.50%
vs Similar (8)82.578.8161.2+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.873.0163.8+17.885%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
KumamotoShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A18/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H21/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H28/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A04/01
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A05/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A11/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A12/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/01
B2.League
88.8Avg total
46.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.583.1-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.842.482.1-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.783.9-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.688.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.486.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.343.882.2-5.517%-
vs Similar (18)40.142.582.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (6)44.341.385.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A29/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H04/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H11/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H12/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
B2.League
84.2Avg total
43.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.081.4+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.037.383.3+8.776%-
Last 30 away (13)42.436.679.0+5.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.684.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.281.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.047.582.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (8)43.038.881.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.035.281.2+10.775%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.626.0
54.6%
51.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.4
32.8%
32.9%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.713.2
63.8%
70.7%13.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.9
53.6%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.3
35.1%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
70.7%17.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LWWWWWLWLW
Shinshu
WWLWWWWWLL
#8
League position
#5
+9.7
Net rating
+10.1
111.6
Offensive rating
110.6
101.9
Defensive rating
100.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.0%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.8%
3-point %
35.1%
64.5%
Assist %
75.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.6Defence101.9 · 100.5Shooting53.1% · 53.2%3-point %32.8% · 35.1%Ball care18.7% · 19.0%Off. rebounds39.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
1
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Kumamoto v Shinshu79-82
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HShinshu79-82
12/01/25AFukushima82-61
11/01/25AFukushima81-80
05/01/25AKobe87-66
04/01/25AKobe90-74
29/12/24HYamagata Wyverns81-71
28/12/24HYamagata Wyverns90-92
22/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise81-76
21/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise71-91
18/12/24AEhime Orange Vikings108-82
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AKumamoto82-79
12/01/25HShizuoka83-60
11/01/25HShizuoka66-75
05/01/25HFukushima93-76
04/01/25HFukushima99-72
29/12/24ANara79-73
28/12/24ANara89-77
22/12/24HToyama96-89 OT
21/12/24HToyama92-96
18/12/24AFukuoka79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL33%
HomeLWLWL31%
AwayWWWWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%31%35%
Points / game78.178.078.2
Allowed / game83.883.684.1
Point differential-5.8-5.6-5.9
Avg total161.9161.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%76%56%
Points / game87.189.284.8
Allowed / game76.773.480.2
Point differential+10.4+15.8+4.6
Avg total163.8162.6165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%65%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%6%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3331294%91.975.6+16.3
2 Fukuoka3425974%83.173.9+9.3
3 Kagoshima Rebnise3324973%83.076.4+6.6
4 Toyama34241071%89.479.5+9.9
5 Shinshu33221167%87.176.7+10.4
6 Fukui33201361%82.680.5+2.2
7 Shizuoka33191458%77.275.3+1.9
8 Aomori33141942%79.486.4-7.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns33122136%80.284.4-4.2
10 Kobe34122235%79.984.4-4.4
11 Kumamoto33112233%78.183.8-5.8
12 Nara34112332%74.981.0-6.1
13 Fukushima3472721%72.682.8-10.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings342326%74.092.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto1421121259
Shinshu1319192172
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.