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Nara vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 77-89
20-24 27-18 18-26 12-21
Position#9
Record10-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record16-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game77.7
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Shinshu
29 Dec 2024
NARA73
SHIN79
28 Dec 2024
NARA77
SHIN89
23 Nov 2014
NARA98
SHIN97
22 Nov 2014
NARA82
SHIN97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
63-82
63
82
-19
48avg 69
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
86avg 69
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 69
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 69
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 69
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
61avg 69
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 69
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 69
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
62-73
62
73
-11
43avg 69
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 69
A22/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-18
10-22
17-21
17-28
26-8
28-21
17-17
23-15
11-25
12-12
23-21
24-18
20-17
20-19
22-23
14-24
11-20
19-17
25-22
14-25
19-21
15-11
19-25
12-19
15-29
15-18
34-13
20-25
15-21
19-20
24-21
18-28
13-18
8-12
23-15
21-20
18-16
16-25
28-16
152.8Avg total
74.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.878.5154.3-2.638%
Season at home (13)73.679.6153.2-6.023%
Season away (13)78.177.3155.4+0.854%
Last 10 (10)74.178.7152.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)73.279.6152.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.579.2149.8-8.825%
vs Similar (10)84.081.1165.1+2.960%
vs Weaker (8)79.075.9154.9+3.150%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
82-63
82
63
+19
84avg 74
H26/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
105-72
105
72
+33
110avg 74
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
109avg 74
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
104-80
104
80
+24
103avg 74
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
108-58
108
58
+50
107avg 74
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
61avg 74
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 74
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 74
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
92-96
92
96
-4
92avg 74
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
96avg 74
H22/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-18
22-10
21-17
15-12
36-21
27-15
27-24
28-16
27-27
25-23
21-7
26-10
25-23
30-23
23-24
24-10
30-11
31-19
23-18
10-27
23-18
23-26
17-19
18-22
19-28
26-22
14-17
16-11
28-23
16-27
19-26
26-31
27-20
25-26
14-19
22-21
16-28
22-18
25-18
171.4Avg total
91.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.877.7165.4+10.162%
Season at home (13)90.474.2164.6+16.277%
Season away (13)85.281.1166.2+4.146%
Last 10 (10)91.779.7171.4+12.060%
Last 5 (5)83.490.2173.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.381.7155.0-8.317%
vs Similar (6)85.282.5167.7+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.174.7164.8+15.372%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
NaraShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/12
B2.League
76.3Avg total
34.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.379.2-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.741.077.7-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.139.580.7+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)34.741.676.3-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.477.4-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.841.075.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (10)42.240.582.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker (8)41.038.979.9+2.162%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/12
B2.League
85.0Avg total
45.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.380.4+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.937.483.3+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.337.377.6+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.539.585.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.886.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.843.880.7-7.017%-
vs Similar (6)44.739.584.2+5.283%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.734.479.1+10.272%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.1
43.4%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.8
36.1%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
70.7%13.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.1
58.6%
51.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.916.1
77.0%
70.7%16.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WLLLLLWLWL
Shinshu
WLLLLWWWWW
#9
League position
#5
-6.8
Net rating
+16.1
98.8
Offensive rating
114.7
105.5
Defensive rating
98.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
32.2%
64.1%
Assist %
75.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 114.7Defence105.5 · 98.6Shooting47.1% · 54.2%3-point %36.1% · 32.2%Ball care18.5% · 12.9%Off. rebounds31.7% · 24.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nara   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nara wins
4
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
26/11/24Shinshu v Nara82-63
25/11/24Shinshu v Nara66-68
23/11/14Nara v Shinshu98-97
22/11/14Nara v Shinshu82-97
20/10/13Shinshu v Nara83-81
19/10/13Shinshu v Nara92-88
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AFukushima83-77
21/12/24AFukushima62-73
18/12/24AKagoshima Rebnise78-87
15/12/24HShizuoka76-79
14/12/24HShizuoka67-82
08/12/24AFukui69-83
07/12/24AFukui86-77
01/12/24HKumamoto69-73
30/11/24HKumamoto88-74
26/11/24AShinshu63-82
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HToyama96-89 OT
21/12/24HToyama92-96
18/12/24AFukuoka79-87
15/12/24AAltiri Chiba77-89
14/12/24AAltiri Chiba73-90
08/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings108-58
07/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings104-80
01/12/24HKobe101-73
30/11/24HKobe105-72
26/11/24HNara82-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWLLL23%
AwayWLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%23%54%
Points / game75.873.678.1
Allowed / game78.579.677.3
Point differential-2.6-6.0+0.8
Avg total154.3153.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW62%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%77%46%
Points / game87.890.485.2
Allowed / game77.774.281.1
Point differential+10.1+16.2+4.1
Avg total165.4164.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %15%8%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2625196%92.876.4+16.4
2 Fukuoka2620677%84.073.4+10.6
3 Toyama2719870%88.579.1+9.3
4 Kagoshima Rebnise2819968%82.677.4+5.2
5 Fukui2617965%82.278.4+3.7
6 Shinshu26161062%87.877.7+10.1
7 Shizuoka27151256%76.975.6+1.4
8 Yamagata Wyverns27121544%81.483.8-2.4
9 Aomori27111641%78.186.4-8.3
10 Nara26101638%75.878.5-2.6
11 Kobe26101638%81.885.4-3.6
12 Kumamoto2762122%76.986.4-9.5
13 Fukushima2862221%72.982.5-9.6
14 Ehime Orange Vikings271264%73.592.9-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2027181277
Shinshu2418262189
← all games of the day
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