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Nara vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 73-79
18-24 16-21 19-10 20-24
Position#9
Record10-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.9
Nara
Japan
vs
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record17-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game77.6
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Shinshu
29 Dec 2024
NARA73
SHIN79
28 Dec 2024
NARA77
SHIN89
23 Nov 2014
NARA98
SHIN97
22 Nov 2014
NARA82
SHIN97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
86avg 69
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 69
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 69
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 69
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
61avg 69
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 69
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 69
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
62-73
62
73
-11
43avg 69
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 69
A22/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 69
H28/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
26-8
28-21
17-17
23-15
11-25
12-12
23-21
24-18
20-17
20-19
22-23
14-24
11-20
19-17
25-22
14-25
19-21
15-11
19-25
12-19
15-29
15-18
34-13
20-25
15-21
19-20
24-21
18-28
13-18
8-12
23-15
21-20
18-16
16-25
28-16
20-24
27-18
18-26
12-21
154.9Avg total
75.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.978.9154.7-3.037%
Season at home (14)73.980.3154.1-6.421%
Season away (13)78.177.3155.4+0.854%
Last 10 (10)75.579.4154.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)75.281.0156.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.080.0151.0-9.023%
vs Similar (9)82.880.0162.8+2.856%
vs Weaker (8)79.075.9154.9+3.150%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
W
105-72
105
72
+33
110avg 74
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
109avg 74
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
104-80
104
80
+24
103avg 74
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
108-58
108
58
+50
107avg 74
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
61avg 74
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 74
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 74
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
92-96
92
96
-4
92avg 74
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
96avg 74
H22/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
92avg 74
A28/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
36-21
27-15
27-24
28-16
27-27
25-23
21-7
26-10
25-23
30-23
23-24
24-10
30-11
31-19
23-18
10-27
23-18
23-26
17-19
18-22
19-28
26-22
14-17
16-11
28-23
16-27
19-26
26-31
27-20
25-26
14-19
22-21
16-28
22-18
25-18
24-20
18-27
26-18
21-12
173.5Avg total
92.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.877.6165.4+10.263%
Season at home (13)90.474.2164.6+16.277%
Season away (14)85.480.8166.2+4.650%
Last 10 (10)92.481.1173.5+11.360%
Last 5 (5)86.687.6174.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.282.2156.4-8.020%
vs Similar (6)85.282.5167.7+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.074.8164.8+15.274%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
NaraShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/12
B2.League
77.7Avg total
35.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.279.2-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.441.178.4-3.738%-
Last 30 away (14)40.939.280.1+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.977.7-6.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.679.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.841.176.8-5.331%-
vs Similar (9)42.040.182.1+1.956%-
vs Weaker (8)41.038.979.9+2.162%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/12
B2.League
86.4Avg total
45.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.680.8+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.437.283.6+9.279%-
Last 30 away (16)40.437.978.3+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.686.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.289.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.644.681.2-8.020%-
vs Similar (6)44.739.584.2+5.283%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.535.179.6+9.468%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.918.5
45.2%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.0
37.2%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
70.7%13.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.8
59.2%
51.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.5
35.0%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
70.7%14.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWLLLLLWLW
Shinshu
WWLLLLWWWW
#9
League position
#5
-5.3
Net rating
+14.8
101.2
Offensive rating
115.6
106.4
Defensive rating
100.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
56.3%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.2%
3-point %
35.0%
62.6%
Assist %
75.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 115.6Defence106.4 · 100.9Shooting48.9% · 56.3%3-point %37.2% · 35.0%Ball care19.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 24.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nara   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nara wins
5
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Nara v Shinshu77-89
26/11/24Shinshu v Nara82-63
25/11/24Shinshu v Nara66-68
23/11/14Nara v Shinshu98-97
22/11/14Nara v Shinshu82-97
20/10/13Shinshu v Nara83-81
19/10/13Shinshu v Nara92-88
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HShinshu77-89
22/12/24AFukushima83-77
21/12/24AFukushima62-73
18/12/24AKagoshima Rebnise78-87
15/12/24HShizuoka76-79
14/12/24HShizuoka67-82
08/12/24AFukui69-83
07/12/24AFukui86-77
01/12/24HKumamoto69-73
30/11/24HKumamoto88-74
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ANara89-77
22/12/24HToyama96-89 OT
21/12/24HToyama92-96
18/12/24AFukuoka79-87
15/12/24AAltiri Chiba77-89
14/12/24AAltiri Chiba73-90
08/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings108-58
07/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings104-80
01/12/24HKobe101-73
30/11/24HKobe105-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeWLLLL21%
AwayWLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %37%21%54%
Points / game75.973.978.1
Allowed / game78.980.377.3
Point differential-3.0-6.4+0.8
Avg total154.7154.1155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW63%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %63%77%50%
Points / game87.890.485.4
Allowed / game77.674.280.8
Point differential+10.2+16.2+4.6
Avg total165.4164.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %15%8%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2826293%92.877.1+15.7
2 Fukuoka2721678%83.773.4+10.3
3 Toyama2820871%89.179.1+10.0
4 Kagoshima Rebnise2819968%82.677.4+5.2
5 Fukui28181064%82.479.4+3.0
6 Shinshu27171063%87.877.6+10.2
7 Shizuoka27151256%76.975.6+1.4
8 Yamagata Wyverns28121643%81.183.7-2.6
9 Aomori28111739%78.287.1-9.0
10 Nara27101737%75.978.9-3.0
11 Kobe27101737%81.585.0-3.5
12 Kumamoto2872125%77.185.9-8.8
13 Fukushima2862221%72.982.5-9.6
14 Ehime Orange Vikings271264%73.592.9-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1816192073
Shinshu2421102479
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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