Kumamoto vs Sun Rockers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 77-90

16-31 16-29 24-18 21-12

Position#12

Record4-20

FormWLLLL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game91.9

Kumamoto

Sun Rockers 🏆

Position#8

Record5-19

FormLLLLW

Points / game72.7

Allowed / game84.5

NBLRound 13

Other2013-14

Meetings · Kumamoto v Sun Rockers

SUN 109

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sun Rockers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

85-99

-14

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

86-112

112

-26

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

75-81

-6

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

84-87

-3

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

83-86 OT

-3

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

88-74

+14

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

81-109

109

-28

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

85-97

-12

H08/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

77-87

-10

A14/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

71-91

-20

A15/12

NBL

22-31

15-22

34-19

14-27

24-32

19-22

21-28

22-30

26-17

14-27

18-23

17-14

24-17

17-21

26-19

17-30

21-19

14-13

27-27

14-17

26-22

14-23

21-13

27-16

26-28

13-30

25-33

17-18

22-20

16-27

25-24

22-26

16-20

23-17

21-27

17-23

21-22

18-22

16-14

16-33

173.8Avg total

81.5Scored

92.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	80.4	91.9	172.3	-11.5	17%
Season at home (12)	80.7	88.4	169.1	-7.8	25%
Season away (12)	80.1	95.4	175.5	-15.3	8%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	92.3	173.8	-10.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	91.6	172.0	-11.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	80.1	98.0	178.1	-17.9	6%
vs Similar (8)	80.9	79.8	160.6	+1.1	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sun Rockers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sun Rockers Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tochigi Brex

63-91

-28

A16/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

86-97

-11

A17/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

73-91

-18

H22/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

54-82

-28

H23/11

NBL

Alvark

84-98 OT

-14

A30/11

NBL

Alvark

61-88

-27

A01/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

72-87

-15

A07/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

71-72

-1

A08/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

87-97

-10

H14/12

NBL

Trians

79-75

H15/12

NBL

21-19

15-21

11-28

16-23

17-21

30-26

22-29

12-36

18-18

20-20

23-17

19-24

9-14

15-26

11-18

23-28

11-13

23-22

18-12

11-20

16-15

19-26

15-27

19-28

23-24

17-20

13-15

17-23

18-20

16-16

20-13

18-22

22-23

20-24

27-28

19-25

15-16

18-25

27-9

160.8Avg total

73.0Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	72.7	84.5	157.1	-11.8	21%
Season at home (12)	72.2	80.9	153.1	-8.8	42%
Season away (12)	73.2	88.0	161.2	-14.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.0	87.8	160.8	-14.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	83.8	157.8	-9.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	70.3	83.3	153.7	-13.0	13%
vs Similar (4)	74.2	75.0	149.2	-0.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	76.7	75.3	152.0	+1.3	67%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KumamotoSun Rockers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	21.2	23.0	44.3	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.6	24.2	45.8	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.4	44.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.1	24.6	45.6	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.1	36.8	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	24.6	42.2	-7.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	23.6	40.4	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	15.9	23.0	38.9	-7.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.2	22.7	37.9	-7.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.5	23.4	39.9	-6.9	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	22.4	38.7	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	23.8	40.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.4	24.4	40.8	-8.1	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.9	20.2	35.1	-5.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	17.8	33.7	-1.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.1	17.4	32.5	-2.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	18.1	34.7	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.5	34.9	-2.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	16.3	17.6	33.9	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	19.2	34.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	13.7	17.0	30.7	-3.3	0%	-

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-53

-16

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

43-54

-11

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

40-44

-4

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

41-38

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

35-32

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

40-45

-5

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

39-58

-19

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

38-47

-9

H08/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

39-37

A14/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

39-44

-5

A15/12

NBL

84.3Avg total

39.1Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	37.1	46.1	83.2	-9.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.2	44.6	80.8	-8.4	17%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.1	47.6	85.7	-9.5	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	45.2	84.3	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	46.2	85.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.4	49.0	86.4	-11.6	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	40.2	76.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sun Rockers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sun RockersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tochigi Brex

36-40

-4

A16/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

34-42

-8

A17/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

30-54

-24

H22/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

28-38

-10

H23/11

NBL

Alvark

34-41

-7

A30/11

NBL

Alvark

27-35

-8

A01/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

42-52

-10

A07/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

35-43

-8

A08/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

40-45

-5

H14/12

NBL

Trians

34-41

-7

H15/12

NBL

77.1Avg total

34.0Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.7	38.5	72.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.1	38.8	72.9	-4.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.3	38.2	71.5	-4.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	43.1	77.1	-9.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	43.2	78.8	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	33.3	39.1	72.4	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.2	37.5	72.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	34.7	35.0	69.7	-0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	24.1	23.0	47.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	25.3	22.8	48.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.9	23.2	46.2	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.7	46.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	24.8	24.5	49.3	+0.3	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.3	42.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	16.9	22.0	38.9	-5.2	13%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	17%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.1	24.6	43.7	-5.5	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.4	41.7	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.0	24.1	41.1	-7.1	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.9	40.5	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.7	40.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	19.7	21.2	41.0	-1.5	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	42.4	45.1	87.5	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	42.4	85.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.0	47.8	89.8	-5.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	46.1	87.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.4	86.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.8	48.6	90.4	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	38.2	81.8	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	42.2	79.7	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	39.8	77.7	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	44.3	81.4	-7.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.4	80.5	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.6	79.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	36.6	43.3	79.9	-6.7	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	42.0	40.3	82.3	+1.7	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kumamoto wins

Sun Rockers wins

No previous meetings.

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/13	A	Tochigi Brex	71-91
14/12/13	A	Tochigi Brex	77-87
08/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	85-97
07/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	81-109
01/12/13	H	Kobe	88-74
30/11/13	H	Kobe	83-86 OT
24/11/13	A	Tsukuba	84-87
23/11/13	A	Tsukuba	75-81
17/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	86-112
16/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	85-99

Sun Rockerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/13	H	Trians	79-75
14/12/13	H	Kobe	87-97
08/12/13	A	Diamond Dolphins	71-72
07/12/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	72-87
01/12/13	A	Alvark	61-88
30/11/13	A	Alvark	84-98 OT
23/11/13	H	Brave Thunders	54-82
22/11/13	H	Brave Thunders	73-91
17/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	86-97
16/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	63-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	17%
Home	LLWLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	17%	25%	8%
Points / game	80.4	80.7	80.1
Allowed / game	91.9	88.4	95.4
Point differential	-11.5	-7.8	-15.3
Avg total	172.3	169.1	175.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Sun Rockers

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	21%
Home	WLLLW	42%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	21%	42%	0%
Points / game	72.7	72.2	73.2
Allowed / game	84.5	80.9	88.0
Point differential	-11.8	-8.8	-14.8
Avg total	157.1	153.1	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	26	24	2	92%	88.8	74.3	+14.5
2	SeaHorses Mikawa	25	23	2	92%	86.7	73.4	+13.3
3	Trians	23	16	7	70%	85.7	75.6	+10.1
4	Alvark	25	17	8	68%	82.4	71.5	+11.0
5	Diamond Dolphins	25	15	10	60%	79.9	75.3	+4.6
6	Hokkaido	25	14	11	56%	77.6	75.7	+1.8
7	Tochigi Brex	25	13	12	52%	79.9	79.0	+0.8
8	Kobe	24	6	18	25%	74.4	84.0	-9.7
9	Tsukuba	25	6	19	24%	69.1	85.1	-16.0
10	Sun Rockers	24	5	19	21%	72.7	84.5	-11.8
11	Chiba	25	5	20	20%	68.2	76.4	-8.2
12	Kumamoto	24	4	20	17%	80.4	91.9	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kumamoto	16	16	24	21	77
Sun Rockers	31	29	18	12	90

← all games of the day

Kumamoto vs Sun Rockers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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