Kumamoto vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 66-74

11-14 19-27 11-17 25-16

Position#11

Record6-39

FormLWWLL

Points / game68.9

Allowed / game85.0

Kumamoto

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Position#3

Record36-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game72.2

NBLRound 27

Other2014-15

Meetings · Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

52-105

105

-53

H07/03

NBL

Alvark

76-105

105

-29

H08/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

56-90

-34

A14/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

62-94

-32

A15/03

NBL

Chiba

71-87

-16

H21/03

NBL

Chiba

71-80

-9

H22/03

NBL

Trians

#13

81-73

A25/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

79-70

A28/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

67-77

-10

A29/03

NBL

Tochigi Brex

61-94

-33

H04/04

NBL

10-43

15-25

16-20

11-17

11-25

18-21

32-29

15-30

8-25

8-23

22-24

18-18

15-27

6-22

19-22

22-23

14-18

18-26

16-19

23-24

19-12

15-24

22-15

15-29

25-18

12-21

27-15

17-19

15-16

18-17

20-13

26-24

16-12

17-16

10-17

24-32

18-21

10-22

21-29

12-22

155.1Avg total

67.6Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (45)	68.9	85.0	153.9	-16.0	13%
Season at home (22)	70.7	86.6	157.4	-15.9	9%
Season away (23)	67.2	83.3	150.5	-16.2	17%
Last 10 (10)	67.6	87.5	155.1	-19.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	78.8	150.6	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	68.2	86.5	154.7	-18.3	4%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	76.2	154.2	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker (3)	75.0	69.7	144.7	+5.3	67%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobe

#10

97-68

+29

A22/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

88-70

+18

A07/03

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

93-64

+29

A08/03

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

68-65

H14/03

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

73-88

-15

H15/03

NBL

Hiroshima D.

69-65

A21/03

NBL

Hiroshima D.

91-67

+24

A22/03

NBL

Trians

#13

100-57

100

+43

H28/03

NBL

Trians

#13

95-61

+34

H29/03

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

94-61

+33

A04/04

NBL

28-10

17-18

27-15

25-25

19-21

20-17

23-17

26-15

31-15

24-18

24-13

14-18

22-16

14-19

21-13

11-17

18-17

22-25

12-23

21-23

9-18

17-26

23-11

20-10

30-14

20-20

21-16

20-17

24-14

25-10

29-13

22-20

22-14

20-16

31-16

22-15

21-18

22-10

29-21

22-12

153.4Avg total

86.8Scored

66.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (46)	84.5	72.2	156.8	+12.3	78%
Season at home (22)	83.6	75.1	158.7	+8.5	68%
Season away (24)	85.4	69.6	155.0	+15.8	88%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	66.6	153.4	+20.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	62.2	152.0	+27.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	79.4	78.0	157.4	+1.4	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	87.7	66.0	153.6	+21.7	95%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KumamotoTochigi Brex

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	21.5	37.4	-5.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.9	21.5	37.4	-5.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	21.7	36.8	-6.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.8	34.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	14.9	22.7	37.7	-7.8	9%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.8	37.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.2	39.9	+5.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	15.7	38.1	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.6	36.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.7	16.3	38.0	+5.4	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.3	20.1	35.3	-4.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.2	19.8	36.1	-3.6	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	14.5	20.2	34.8	-5.7	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.7	21.7	35.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	20.0	34.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	14.5	20.4	34.9	-6.0	13%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	19.7	36.0	-3.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.5	34.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	16.4	35.1	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	16.6	34.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.4	37.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.1	16.0	35.1	+3.1	64%	-

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

25-68

-43

H07/03

NBL

Alvark

29-46

-17

H08/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

16-48

-32

A14/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

21-49

-28

A15/03

NBL

Chiba

32-44

-12

H21/03

NBL

Chiba

34-36

-2

H22/03

NBL

Trians

#13

37-39

-2

A25/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

33-33

A28/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

33-28

A29/03

NBL

Tochigi Brex

28-43

-15

H04/04

NBL

72.2Avg total

28.8Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.2	41.5	72.7	-10.3	10%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.2	41.3	73.5	-9.1	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	30.4	41.7	72.1	-11.3	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.8	43.4	72.2	-14.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	35.8	68.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	29.4	43.2	72.6	-13.8	4%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.8	35.0	74.8	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	33.7	37.7	71.3	-4.0	0%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobe

#10

45-28

+17

A22/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

39-38

A07/03

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

55-33

+22

A08/03

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

36-35

H14/03

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

40-42

-2

H15/03

NBL

Hiroshima D.

26-44

-18

A21/03

NBL

Hiroshima D.

50-34

+16

A22/03

NBL

Trians

#13

49-24

+25

H28/03

NBL

Trians

#13

42-30

+12

H29/03

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

43-28

+15

A04/04

NBL

76.1Avg total

42.5Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	33.5	73.5	+6.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	33.6	75.0	+7.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	33.4	72.1	+5.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	33.6	76.1	+8.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	32.0	74.0	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	37.4	36.9	74.2	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.9	32.3	73.2	+8.5	77%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-3.0	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.3	13.0	39.3	+13.3	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	16.9	40.3	+6.5	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	17.9	40.4	+4.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.2	15.9	40.2	+8.3	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	15.8	39.8	+8.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	15.4	42.0	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.4	16.1	40.5	+8.3	91%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.9	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	21.1	41.5	-0.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.8	42.1	-5.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	25.2	44.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.1	21.7	41.9	-1.6	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	20.9	44.1	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.2	22.1	43.4	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+4.9	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.9	80.9	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.3	43.8	82.2	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.5	40.5	79.9	-1.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	44.1	82.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.0	81.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	38.8	43.3	82.1	-4.6	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.2	41.2	79.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	32.0	73.3	+9.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	35.6	81.2	+9.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	38.9	84.4	+6.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.5	32.8	78.3	+12.7	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	33.0	77.3	+11.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	30.2	78.0	+17.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	42.0	41.1	83.1	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.8	33.6	80.5	+13.2	91%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kumamoto wins

Tochigi Brex wins

Date	Game	Score
04/04/15	Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex	61-94
15/02/15	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	106-80
14/02/15	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	84-71
23/02/14	Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex	71-91
22/02/14	Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex	60-79
15/12/13	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	91-71
14/12/13	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	87-77

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/15	H	Tochigi Brex	61-94
29/03/15	A	Tsukuba	67-77
28/03/15	A	Tsukuba	79-70
25/03/15	A	Trians	81-73
22/03/15	H	Chiba	71-80
21/03/15	H	Chiba	71-87
15/03/15	A	Sun Rockers	62-94
14/03/15	A	Sun Rockers	56-90
08/03/15	H	Alvark	76-105
07/03/15	H	Alvark	52-105

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/15	A	Kumamoto	94-61
29/03/15	H	Trians	95-61
28/03/15	H	Trians	100-57
22/03/15	A	Hiroshima D.	91-67
21/03/15	A	Hiroshima D.	69-65
15/03/15	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	73-88
14/03/15	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	68-65
08/03/15	A	Diamond Dolphins	93-64
07/03/15	A	Diamond Dolphins	88-70
22/02/15	A	Kobe	97-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	13%
Home	LLLLL	9%
Away	LLWWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	45	22	23
Win %	13%	9%	17%
Points / game	68.9	70.7	67.2
Allowed / game	85.0	86.6	83.3
Point differential	-16.0	-15.9	-16.2
Avg total	153.9	157.4	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	5%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	WWLWW	68%
Away	WWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	46	22	24
Win %	78%	68%	88%
Points / game	84.5	83.6	85.4
Allowed / game	72.2	75.1	69.6
Point differential	+12.3	+8.5	+15.8
Avg total	156.8	158.7	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	55%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sun Rockers	46	39	7	85%	84.1	71.7	+12.4
2	SeaHorses Mikawa	45	38	7	84%	83.6	70.1	+13.5
3	Tochigi Brex	46	36	10	78%	84.5	72.2	+12.3
4	Brave Thunders	45	32	13	71%	83.4	73.9	+9.5
5	Alvark	44	30	14	68%	85.4	73.4	+12.0
6	Chiba	45	28	17	62%	76.4	72.1	+4.3
7	Diamond Dolphins	46	26	20	57%	80.5	77.1	+3.5
8	Hiroshima D.	46	19	27	41%	72.3	74.0	-1.7
9	Hokkaido	48	17	31	35%	74.4	77.0	-2.6
10	Kobe	46	16	30	35%	72.9	78.7	-5.8
11	Kumamoto	45	6	39	13%	68.9	85.0	-16.0
12	Tsukuba	48	6	42	12%	66.5	83.4	-16.9
13	Trians	46	5	41	11%	64.9	87.7	-22.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kumamoto	11	19	11	25	66
Tochigi Brex	14	27	17	16	74

← all games of the day

Kumamoto vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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