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Lahti Basketball vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 107-86
30-19 29-24 21-15 27-28
Position#10
Record8-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#5
Record11-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game86.1
FinlandKorisliigaRound 22· Luhta Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lahti Basketball v Kataja
07 Feb 2027
LAHT v KAT
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
LAHT91
KAT85
11 Feb 2026
LAHT94
KAT90
24 Jan 2026
LAHT107
KAT86
29 Nov 2023
LAHT96
KAT103
15 Oct 2022
LAHT78
KAT96
08 Mar 2022
LAHT60
KAT76
06 Nov 2021
LAHT84
KAT80
22 Nov 2020
LAHT92
KAT109
01 Apr 2020
LAHT v KAT
upcoming
22 Dec 2019
LAHT86
KAT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lahti Basketball winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lahti BasketballFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
81-73
81
73
+8
55avg 82
A05/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 82
H10/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 82
A17/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 82
H19/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
82avg 82
A28/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
78avg 82
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
99-85
99
85
+14
91avg 82
H07/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
82-101
82
101
-19
74avg 82
A09/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
107-96
107
96
+11
no box
H14/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
94-106
94
106
-12
81avg 82
A21/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-22
27-15
19-20
22-19
21-18
17-23
17-18
28-22
14-22
24-17
14-16
29-22
29-25
24-19
14-21
23-18
29-24
27-14
10-34
20-28
20-17
28-21
21-31
22-26
28-26
25-17
24-16
23-22
22-30
18-24
19-25
35-33
19-30
29-16
24-17
27-28
22-26
23-28
22-24
178.4Avg total
89.4Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.590.9179.3-2.438%
Season at home (10)90.087.9177.9+2.150%
Season away (11)87.193.5180.6-6.527%
Last 10 (10)89.489.0178.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)94.297.0191.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)86.497.9184.3-11.40%
vs Similar (12)88.686.9175.5+1.758%
vs Weaker (11)90.976.2167.1+14.782%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
83-94
83
94
-11
68avg 80
H06/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
108-90
108
90
+18
99avg 80
A09/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 80
H17/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 80
A20/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
94avg 80
A28/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 80
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
82avg 80
A07/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 80
H10/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A14/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
60avg 80
H21/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-22
17-28
18-24
34-14
27-30
22-29
25-17
30-9
15-24
25-24
27-32
18-17
23-12
25-19
28-29
26-19
28-22
23-31
23-20
22-16
22-22
24-20
23-14
20-25
25-29
27-15
19-16
22-25
16-22
20-20
16-12
21-18
22-28
23-21
26-22
15-23
28-16
15-14
18-9
173.5Avg total
90.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.186.1174.2+2.052%
Season at home (11)85.683.5169.1+2.245%
Season away (10)90.889.1179.9+1.760%
Last 10 (10)90.682.9173.5+7.780%
Last 5 (5)84.877.4162.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.393.0186.3+0.367%
vs Similar (13)84.788.7173.4-4.031%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.384.6176.9+7.657%
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
Lahti BasketballKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A05/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A17/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H19/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A28/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H07/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A09/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H14/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A21/01
Korisliiga
94.2Avg total
46.8Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.044.591.6+2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.743.590.3+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)47.345.592.9+1.833%-
Last 10 (10)46.847.494.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)47.653.2100.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.947.791.6-3.929%-
vs Similar (12)45.443.689.0+1.833%-
vs Weaker (11)50.843.594.4+7.364%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A09/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H17/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A20/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A28/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A07/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/01
Korisliiga
87.5Avg total
46.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.687.5+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.739.284.9+6.581%-
Last 30 away (14)44.046.690.6-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)46.241.387.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.887.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.045.093.0+3.067%-
vs Similar (13)44.242.386.5+1.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.942.487.3+2.457%-
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.824.3
53.1%
2.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.9%
33.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.210.0
58.1%
74.0%10.0
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.9
56.4%
2.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.69.9
31.3%
33.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.517.2
80.0%
74.0%17.2
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lahti Basketball
LWLWLLWWLW
Kataja
WWLWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#5
-1.8
Net rating
+8.4
104.6
Offensive rating
113.4
106.4
Defensive rating
105.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
20.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
42.9%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
31.3%
52.9%
Assist %
51.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.4Defence106.4 · 105.0Shooting52.8% · 52.2%3-point %34.9% · 31.3%Ball care20.3% · 13.8%Off. rebounds42.9% · 34.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Lahti Basketball   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lahti Basketball wins
7
Kataja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki94-106
14/01/26HKouvot Kouvola107-96
09/01/26AKTP Kotka Basket82-101
07/01/26HKobrat99-85
30/12/25HKarhu Basket89-97
28/12/25ASalon Vilpas89-90
19/12/25HHonka96-87
17/12/25ABisons Loimaa80-77
10/12/25HPyrinto Tampere77-78
05/12/25AHelsinki Seagulls81-73
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HKarhu Basket76-62
14/01/26ASalon Vilpas92-89
10/01/26HHonka74-79
07/01/26ABisons Loimaa91-85
30/12/25HPyrinto Tampere91-72
28/12/25AHelsinki Seagulls100-92
20/12/25AKobrat94-77
17/12/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki97-89
09/12/25AKouvot Kouvola108-90
06/12/25HKTP Kotka Basket83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lahti Basketball
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game88.590.087.1
Allowed / game90.987.993.5
Point differential-2.4+2.1-6.5
Avg total179.3177.9180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeLWWLW45%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%45%60%
Points / game88.185.690.8
Allowed / game86.183.589.1
Point differential+2.0+2.2+1.7
Avg total174.2169.1179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket2116576%84.279.9+4.4
2 Honka2116576%91.188.2+2.9
3 Salon Vilpas2114767%92.584.3+8.2
4 Helsinki Seagulls2112957%85.081.4+3.6
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki2112957%89.686.8+2.8
6 KTP Kotka Basket21111052%83.780.2+3.4
7 Kataja21111052%88.186.1+2.0
8 Pyrinto Tampere2191243%84.285.0-0.8
9 Lahti Basketball2181338%88.590.9-2.4
10 Bisons Loimaa2181338%85.087.4-2.5
11 Kouvot Kouvola2161529%88.596.2-7.7
12 Kobrat2131814%80.094.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lahti Basketball30292127107
Kataja1924152886
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