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Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-62
15-23 28-16 15-14 18-9
Position#5
Record10-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game87.3
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game80.0
FinlandKorisliigaRound 21· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v Karhu Basket
05 Dec 2026
KAT v KAH
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
KAT101
KAH80
02 Apr 2026
KAT92
KAH71
27 Mar 2026
KAT85
KAH60
21 Jan 2026
KAT76
KAH62
15 Apr 2025
KAT87
KAH99
09 Apr 2025
KAT82
KAH96
08 Mar 2025
KAT82
KAH75
08 Jan 2025
KAT92
KAH90
02 Mar 2024
KAT84
KAH92
03 Jan 2024
KAT78
KAH73
01 Mar 2023
KAT75
KAH79
19 Nov 2022
KAT71
KAH81
19 Jan 2022
KAT78
KAH106
31 Oct 2020
KAT82
KAH77
26 Feb 2020
KAT89
KAH95
09 Nov 2019
KAT80
KAH106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
107-93
107
93
+14
no box
H22/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
83-94
83
94
-11
68avg 81
H06/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
108-90
108
90
+18
99avg 81
A09/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 81
H17/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 81
A20/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
94avg 81
A28/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 81
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
82avg 81
A07/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 81
H10/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A14/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
18-18
25-25
33-29
21-20
27-22
17-28
18-24
34-14
27-30
22-29
25-17
30-9
15-24
25-24
27-32
18-17
23-12
25-19
28-29
26-19
28-22
23-31
23-20
22-16
22-22
24-20
23-14
20-25
25-29
27-15
19-16
22-25
16-22
20-20
16-12
21-18
22-28
23-21
26-22
179.7Avg total
93.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.787.3176.1+1.450%
Season at home (10)86.685.6172.2+1.040%
Season away (10)90.889.1179.9+1.760%
Last 10 (10)93.786.0179.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)89.683.4173.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.393.0186.3+0.367%
vs Similar (14)85.489.6174.9-4.229%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.586.4179.9+7.254%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 75
A21/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 75
A06/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
79avg 75
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
66avg 75
A16/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 75
H20/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
69avg 75
H27/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 75
A30/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 75
H03/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 75
A10/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
H14/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
27-15
11-16
23-13
25-16
24-22
13-14
26-20
26-20
15-28
24-15
21-15
18-31
32-23
12-19
17-24
25-18
15-22
16-14
23-20
22-15
17-18
16-15
23-17
28-20
17-20
21-28
31-21
25-20
10-19
28-12
16-23
27-16
17-14
18-28
22-17
21-24
20-19
15-11
24-26
162.8Avg total
85.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.380.0165.4+5.380%
Season at home (10)88.576.3164.8+12.2100%
Season away (10)82.283.8166.0-1.660%
Last 10 (10)85.177.7162.8+7.490%
Last 5 (5)87.078.6165.6+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.985.8164.7-6.945%
vs Similar (13)88.578.7167.2+9.885%
vs Weaker (5)88.273.4161.6+14.8100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
KatajaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A09/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H17/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A20/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A28/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A07/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/01
Korisliiga
88.1Avg total
46.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.888.3+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.839.686.3+7.281%-
Last 30 away (14)44.046.690.6-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)46.841.388.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.290.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.045.093.0+3.067%-
vs Similar (14)45.442.587.9+2.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.042.787.7+2.354%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A21/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A16/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H27/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A30/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H03/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A10/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/01
Korisliiga
83.3Avg total
43.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.083.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.039.582.5+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)42.842.785.5+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.983.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.540.780.3-1.227%-
vs Similar (13)44.241.785.9+2.562%-
vs Weaker (5)46.638.084.6+8.680%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.3
55.9%
2.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.7
32.5%
33.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.819.1
80.3%
74.0%19.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.8
51.5%
2.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.7
34.0%
33.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.3
74.3%
74.0%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WLWWWWWWLW
Karhu Basket
WWWWWWLWWW
#5
League position
#3
+7.5
Net rating
+9.5
116.4
Offensive rating
108.9
109.0
Defensive rating
99.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
34.0%
54.2%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 108.9Defence109.0 · 99.4Shooting52.5% · 51.2%3-point %32.5% · 34.0%Ball care14.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.6% · 35.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Kataja   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kataja wins
7
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Karhu Basket v Kataja106-99
15/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket87-99
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
05/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja93-79
08/03/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-75
01/02/25Karhu Basket v Kataja85-69
08/01/25Kataja v Karhu Basket92-90
09/11/24Karhu Basket v Kataja78-101
11/05/24Karhu Basket v Kataja97-73
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ASalon Vilpas92-89
10/01/26HHonka74-79
07/01/26ABisons Loimaa91-85
30/12/25HPyrinto Tampere91-72
28/12/25AHelsinki Seagulls100-92
20/12/25AKobrat94-77
17/12/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki97-89
09/12/25AKouvot Kouvola108-90
06/12/25HKTP Kotka Basket83-94
22/11/25HLahti Basketball107-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki97-90 OT
10/01/26AKouvot Kouvola84-75
03/01/26HKTP Kotka Basket79-74
30/12/25ALahti Basketball97-89
27/12/25HKobrat78-65
20/12/25HSalon Vilpas79-74
16/12/25AHonka79-97
10/12/25HBisons Loimaa86-78
06/12/25APyrinto Tampere88-72
21/11/25AHelsinki Seagulls84-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWLWWL40%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game88.786.690.8
Allowed / game87.385.689.1
Point differential+1.4+1.0+1.7
Avg total176.1172.2179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game85.388.582.2
Allowed / game80.076.383.8
Point differential+5.3+12.2-1.6
Avg total165.4164.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket2016480%85.380.0+5.3
2 Honka2116576%91.188.2+2.9
3 Salon Vilpas2114767%92.584.3+8.2
4 Helsinki Seagulls2112957%85.081.4+3.6
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki2011955%88.886.5+2.4
6 KTP Kotka Basket21111052%83.780.2+3.4
7 Kataja20101050%88.787.3+1.4
8 Pyrinto Tampere2191243%84.285.0-0.8
9 Lahti Basketball2081240%88.290.1-1.9
10 Bisons Loimaa2081240%84.987.2-2.2
11 Kouvot Kouvola2161529%88.596.2-7.7
12 Kobrat2021810%79.394.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja1528151876
Karhu Basket231614962
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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