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Lamar vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-51
28-19 35-32
Position#286
Record7-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game68.2
Lamar 🏆
USA
vs
Position#287
Record8-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lamar v Incarnate Word
10 Jan 2026
LAMA63
INCA51
06 Jan 2025
LAMA72
INCA58
08 Jan 2024
LAMA75
INCA59
21 Jan 2023
LAMA64
INCA70
03 Feb 2021
LAMA58
INCA67
20 Jan 2021
LAMA v INCA
upcoming
26 Feb 2020
LAMA86
INCA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lamar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Our Lady Of The Lake
#584
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H30/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A11/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H17/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A30/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A31/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A03/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
58-15
32-31
27-29
38-26
26-21
23-36
41-51
30-38
34-49
38-34
32-43
44-33
44-25
32-36
25-34
44-28
34-39
36-43
24-36
28-24
137.6Avg total
69.6Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.368.2139.5+3.147%
Season at home (7)74.166.0140.1+8.143%
Season away (8)68.870.1138.9-1.450%
Last 10 (10)69.668.0137.6+1.640%
Last 5 (5)69.870.0139.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.272.0136.2-7.812%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.369.0139.3+1.364%
vs Weaker (10)69.359.0128.3+10.390%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-46
40-45
65-23
52-32
34-32
37-35
33-34
34-40
26-38
57-46
37-31
28-38
39-33
51-33
39-32
40-38
36-32
37-24
29-44
38-36
150.4Avg total
79.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.172.7153.8+8.553%
Season at home (8)91.265.6156.9+25.6100%
Season away (7)69.680.7150.3-11.10%
Last 10 (10)79.271.2150.4+8.050%
Last 5 (5)74.868.2143.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.076.2142.2-10.212%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.473.5142.9-4.130%
vs Weaker (12)85.064.5149.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +4.7+4.7
LamarIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Our Lady Of The Lake
#584
W
58-15
58
15
+43
H30/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H17/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H21/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A30/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A31/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A06/01
NCAA
68.7Avg total
34.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.265.2+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.430.864.1+2.643%-
Last 30 away (16)32.733.466.1-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.268.7+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.467.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.636.169.8-2.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.134.664.7-4.518%-
vs Weaker (10)33.228.061.2+5.260%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
65-23
65
23
+42
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A06/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
37.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.367.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.031.971.9+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)30.034.564.5-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)37.834.572.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.470.4+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.836.566.2-6.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.132.563.6-1.430%-
vs Weaker (12)40.931.872.7+9.283%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lamar wins
4
Incarnate Word wins
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26ASE Louisiana52-60
03/01/26AMcNeese State70-82
31/12/25AEast Texas A&M69-62
30/12/25ANorthwestern St.76-61
21/12/25HNebraska O.82-85 OT
17/12/25HUTRGV72-83
11/12/25ASan Diego State71-89
07/12/25HTexas A&M-CC49-57
04/12/25HLouisiana Lafayette65-55
30/11/25HOur Lady Of The Lake90-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26AUTRGV67-80
03/01/26HHouston Christian73-56
30/12/25HSE Louisiana79-70
21/12/25HNorthern Arizona90-66
16/12/25ATCU65-69
09/12/25ANew Orleans83-84
06/12/25ANicholls State67-74
02/12/25HMcNeese State71-67
26/11/25HTexas Lutheran117-55
23/11/25AHigh Point80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lamar
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game71.374.168.8
Allowed / game68.266.070.1
Point differential+3.1+8.1-1.4
Avg total139.5140.1138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%100%0%
Points / game81.191.269.6
Allowed / game72.765.680.7
Point differential+8.5+25.6-11.1
Avg total153.8156.9150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1613381%84.268.4+15.9
2 Stephen F. Austin1613381%79.065.1+13.9
3 Incarnate Word158753%81.172.7+8.5
4 Texas A&M-CC168850%76.068.2+7.8
5 Nicholls State168850%76.475.2+1.1
6 Lamar157847%71.368.2+3.1
7 UTRGV145936%74.370.6+3.7
8 New Orleans1761135%75.881.4-5.6
9 SE Louisiana1651131%65.169.4-4.4
10 Northwestern St.1651131%72.978.0-5.1
11 Houston Christian1651131%69.175.4-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lamar283563
Incarnate Word193251
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