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Stephen F. Austin vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 49-55
18-26 31-29
Position#244
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#190
Record8-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Incarnate Word
12 Jan 2026
STEP56
INCA46
04 Jan 2025
STEP49
INCA55
18 Jan 2020
STEP80
INCA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A16/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
L
55-58 OT
55
58
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A15/12
NCAA
Texas Wesleyan
#395
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-30
25-29
30-22
22-30
28-32
44-35
30-24
34-33
30-27
38-33
22-24
43-44
22-32
26-35
23-37
38-42
34-24
48-32
29-25
33-32
125.4Avg total
62.6Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.362.5127.8+2.854%
Season at home (6)74.259.5133.7+14.783%
Season away (7)57.765.1122.9-7.429%
Last 10 (10)62.662.8125.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)63.665.4129.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)55.865.2121.0-9.411%
vs Similar (11)68.874.2143.0-5.445%
vs Weaker (10)79.165.2144.3+13.990%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A27/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H06/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
46-72
46
72
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
53-28
32-42
42-33
30-39
33-45
35-32
51-43
29-42
41-30
39-25
26-28
21-28
25-44
48-30
45-39
50-23
51-34
52-21
47-27
145.8Avg total
78.9Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.668.2148.8+12.562%
Season at home (8)87.662.1149.8+25.588%
Season away (5)69.477.8147.2-8.420%
Last 10 (10)78.966.9145.8+12.060%
Last 5 (5)80.859.8140.6+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.577.7142.2-13.39%
vs Similar (9)72.780.2152.9-7.611%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.967.6154.4+19.389%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +6.3+6.3
Stephen F. AustinIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A16/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A15/12
NCAA
Texas Wesleyan
#395
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A31/12
NCAA
54.9Avg total
27.2Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.630.261.8+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.228.164.3+8.193%-
Last 30 away (15)27.032.259.2-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)27.227.754.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)26.028.454.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)25.228.954.1-3.744%-
vs Similar (11)30.832.263.0-1.445%-
vs Weaker (10)38.229.167.3+9.190%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H06/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H29/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
37.5Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.069.6-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.971.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)30.437.467.9-7.021%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.869.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.025.467.4+16.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.236.663.8-9.518%-
vs Similar (9)33.937.271.1-3.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.131.174.2+12.089%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stephen F. Austin wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24AAbilene Christian62-57
21/12/24HTexas Wesleyan82-56
15/12/24AOregon61-79
07/12/24ATexas A&M-CC48-67
06/12/24AUTRGV65-68
30/11/24ALouisiana Monroe68-60
24/11/24HYoungstown State64-57
22/11/24HMonmouth72-67
22/11/24HPresbyterian55-58 OT
16/11/24AArkansas State49-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HTexas Lutheran99-48
19/12/24HSchreiner Mountaineers101-57
15/12/24HOur Lady Of The Lake93-69
11/12/24ADuke46-72
07/12/24HTX A&M Commerce65-53
06/12/24HNorthwestern St.70-72
27/11/24AWestern Illinois86-75
26/11/24ASouth Alabama63-84
23/11/24ANorthern Arizona74-75
16/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game65.374.257.7
Allowed / game62.559.565.1
Point differential+2.8+14.7-7.4
Avg total127.8133.7122.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%88%20%
Points / game80.687.669.4
Allowed / game68.262.177.8
Point differential+12.5+25.5-8.4
Avg total148.8149.8147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTRGV139469%82.871.2+11.6
2 McNeese State149564%76.564.4+12.1
3 Incarnate Word138562%80.668.2+12.5
4 Texas A&M-CC159660%82.067.7+14.3
5 Nicholls State148657%73.569.2+4.3
6 Lamar137654%75.568.3+7.2
7 Stephen F. Austin137654%65.362.5+2.8
8 Northwestern St.147750%72.469.5+2.9
9 SE Louisiana146843%70.569.1+1.4
10 Houston Christian134931%65.471.4-6.0
11 New Orleans1321115%65.686.1-20.5
12 TX A&M Commerce1421214%63.578.8-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin183149
Incarnate Word262955
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