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Lancut vs Dabrowa Gornicza Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-98 (OT)
22-18 25-30 20-11 20-28 9-11
Position#16
Record3-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#9
Record5-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game95.6
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 13· MOSiR Lancut
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lancut v Dabrowa Gornicza
15 Dec 2023
LANC96
DABR98
30 Oct 2022
LANC60
DABR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dabrowa Gornicza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
L
83-99
83
99
-16
80avg 74
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
no box
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
88-74
88
74
+14
84avg 74
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 74
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 74
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 74
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 74
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 74
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
118-115
118
115
+3
116avg 74
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
23-26
20-31
20-23
16-28
26-16
18-18
21-19
19-19
22-17
19-18
14-20
9-13
21-19
24-26
34-16
12-25
16-18
27-21
18-22
21-17
23-26
19-16
22-21
19-15
20-29
15-23
24-20
21-17
11-26
17-20
20-18
17-29
33-22
12-21
16-22
34-16
29-26
28-32
27-41
174.3Avg total
84.5Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.389.2171.6-6.925%
Season at home (5)79.683.4163.0-3.840%
Season away (7)84.393.4177.7-9.114%
Last 10 (10)84.589.8174.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)85.691.4177.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.083.0161.0-5.136%
vs Similar (8)87.687.9175.5-0.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dabrowa Gornicza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dabrowa GorniczaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGornicza
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
79avg 84
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
W
112-87
112
87
+25
112avg 84
H12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
95avg 84
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
116-83
116
83
+33
124avg 84
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
98-106
98
106
-8
90avg 84
H10/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
102-103 OT
102
103
-1
no box
A19/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
86-103
86
103
-17
82avg 84
H25/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 84
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
86avg 84
A05/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
102-110 OT
102
110
-8
no box
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
17-26
26-26
29-13
31-24
27-25
28-19
26-19
24-30
24-18
32-20
20-25
40-24
22-18
25-14
29-27
26-27
25-31
18-25
29-23
23-25
27-23
19-26
25-20
26-23
21-28
21-16
18-36
27-26
23-19
16-15
19-32
22-23
25-31
26-25
17-13
24-26
20-27
25-20
22-18
194.8Avg total
98.2Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)97.295.6192.8+1.742%
Season at home (8)97.893.1190.9+4.662%
Season away (4)96.2100.5196.8-4.20%
Last 10 (10)98.296.6194.8+1.630%
Last 5 (5)93.0100.0193.0-7.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.490.2172.6-7.817%
vs Similar (13)93.894.2188.0-0.346%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)94.688.0182.6+6.660%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
LancutDabrowa Gornicza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
83.5Avg total
41.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.381.6-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.838.976.7-1.242%-
Last 30 away (18)42.042.984.9-0.939%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.383.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.690.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.141.081.1-0.945%-
vs Similar (8)40.942.283.1-1.425%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dabrowa Gornicza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dabrowa GorniczaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H10/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H25/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A05/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga
99.9Avg total
49.3Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.988.9-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.145.691.7+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.946.286.1-6.333%-
Last 10 (10)49.350.699.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.650.297.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.744.981.6-8.217%-
vs Similar (13)46.547.393.8-0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)49.244.693.8+4.660%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.0
54.7%
53.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.2
24.9%
34.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
73.2%17.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dabrowa Gorniczatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dabrowa Gornicza: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.8
55.7%
53.6%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.9
40.2%
34.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
73.2%15.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
WLLLWLWLLL
Dabrowa Gornicza
LLLLLLWWWL
#16
League position
#9
-10.3
Net rating
+5.6
104.6
Offensive rating
120.9
114.9
Defensive rating
115.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
57.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
24.9%
3-point %
40.2%
59.2%
Assist %
64.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 120.9Defence114.9 · 115.3Shooting48.1% · 57.5%3-point %24.9% · 40.2%Ball care16.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Lancut   ■ Dabrowa Gornicza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lancut wins
2
Dabrowa Gornicza wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23Dabrowa Gornicza v Lancut103-102 OT
30/10/22Lancut v Dabrowa Gornicza60-68
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AGdynia118-115
02/12/23ATrefl Sopot78-94
24/11/23ATorun69-81
18/11/23ALegia78-87
09/11/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-80
05/11/23HSpojnia Stargard73-86
28/10/23HCzarni Slupsk88-74
19/10/23ADziki Warszawa85-93 OT
15/10/23HZielona Gora88-89 OT
08/10/23ALublin83-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23ATrefl Sopot102-110 OT
05/12/23ACzarni Slupsk90-92
01/12/23HTorun85-92
25/11/23HLegia86-103
19/11/23AOstrow Wielkopolski102-103 OT
10/11/23HSpojnia Stargard98-106
26/10/23HDziki Warszawa116-83
21/10/23HZielona Gora100-93
12/10/23HLublin112-87
08/10/23AAnwil Wloclawek91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%40%14%
Points / game82.379.684.3
Allowed / game89.283.493.4
Point differential-6.9-3.8-9.1
Avg total171.6163.0177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%20%14%
Dabrowa Gornicza
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%62%0%
Points / game97.297.896.2
Allowed / game95.693.1100.5
Point differential+1.7+4.6-4.2
Avg total192.8190.9196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek11110100%87.274.4+12.8
2 Lublin128467%89.188.2+0.9
3 Trefl Sopot138562%85.181.4+3.7
4 Ostrow Wielkopolski127558%83.775.2+8.4
5 Szczecin127558%89.382.0+7.3
6 Legia127558%81.178.2+2.8
7 Spojnia Stargard126650%79.177.6+1.5
8 Torun126650%81.281.5-0.2
9 Dziki Warszawa126650%81.082.1-1.1
10 Slask Wroclaw126650%74.981.3-6.4
11 Dabrowa Gornicza125742%97.295.6+1.7
12 Czarni Slupsk125742%78.084.0-6.0
13 GTK Gliwice135838%84.888.5-3.7
14 Gdynia113827%83.991.3-7.4
15 Lancut123925%82.389.2-6.9
16 Zielona Gora123925%82.589.5-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Lancut22252020996
Dabrowa Gornicza183011281198
← all games of the day
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