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Lancut vs Legia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 71-82
20-27 19-23 16-17 16-15
Position#16
Record4-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Legia 🏆
Poland
Position#5
Record12-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game82.0
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 24· MOSiR Lancut
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lancut v Legia
17 Mar 2024
LANC71
LEG82
22 Sep 2022
LANC72
LEG83
18 Feb 2017
LANC80
LEG73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Legia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
96avg 70
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
82avg 70
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
74-96
74
96
-22
70avg 70
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
57avg 70
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 70
H19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 70
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
44avg 70
H02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 70
A10/02
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
56-77
56
77
-21
44avg 70
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
48avg 70
A10/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
15-24
24-24
29-23
20-22
15-23
20-19
29-27
19-23
16-21
16-24
23-28
7-24
29-25
11-14
24-25
16-20
11-26
21-26
30-16
20-25
21-22
26-22
17-17
12-10
11-18
17-20
18-20
21-25
22-20
24-17
23-30
12-25
16-24
11-11
17-17
18-19
19-24
23-19
17-27
163.4Avg total
77.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.788.3169.0-7.617%
Season at home (10)78.885.8164.6-7.020%
Season away (13)82.290.2172.4-8.115%
Last 10 (10)77.286.2163.4-9.010%
Last 5 (5)73.082.4155.4-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.685.3162.9-7.721%
vs Similar (6)92.891.3184.2+1.533%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 77
H04/02
Energa Basket Liga
Sporting CP
#29
W
99-86
99
86
+13
96avg 77
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
L
102-104
102
104
-2
90avg 77
A11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
112-83
112
83
+29
116avg 77
A15/02
Polish Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 77
H17/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
W
94-71
94
71
+23
89avg 77
H18/02
Polish Cup
Torun
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 77
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Bilbao
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
83avg 77
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
55avg 77
H09/03
Energa Basket Liga
Bilbao
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
38avg 77
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
20-20
19-25
29-26
19-30
25-23
31-19
24-14
28-30
26-26
25-31
23-17
30-29
26-26
30-10
26-18
20-22
31-25
21-17
24-17
18-20
22-21
25-14
29-16
22-15
15-22
18-17
28-16
20-15
21-14
19-20
23-15
24-19
13-20
13-20
20-26
17-29
15-19
10-11
11-22
170.1Avg total
88.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.382.0165.3+1.452%
Season at home (13)83.582.5166.1+1.054%
Season away (10)83.181.2164.3+1.950%
Last 10 (10)88.082.1170.1+5.960%
Last 5 (5)76.674.2150.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.383.7161.0-6.333%
vs Similar (10)80.585.1165.6-4.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.981.1172.0+9.881%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +5.0+5.0
LancutLegia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A10/02
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/03
Energa Basket Liga
78.8Avg total
35.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.282.6-3.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.140.876.9-4.823%-
Last 30 away (17)41.945.086.9-3.124%-
Last 10 (10)35.243.678.8-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.476.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.842.980.8-5.121%-
vs Similar (6)45.544.389.8+1.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/02
Energa Basket Liga
Sporting CP
#29
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A15/02
Polish Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/02
Polish Cup
Torun
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Bilbao
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/03
Energa Basket Liga
Bilbao
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
88.2Avg total
43.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.587.9-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.284.2+1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)43.948.292.1-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)43.245.088.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.344.081.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (10)40.244.784.9-4.520%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.843.889.6+1.950%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.115.8
49.2%
53.6%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.2
32.4%
34.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
73.2%14.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.2
50.3%
53.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.0
35.0%
34.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.420.0
82.0%
73.2%20.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LLLLLLLLLW
Legia
LLWWWWWLWL
#16
League position
#5
-12.2
Net rating
+7.0
101.1
Offensive rating
113.5
113.3
Defensive rating
106.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
12.6%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.4%
3-point %
35.0%
63.8%
Assist %
68.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 113.5Defence113.3 · 106.5Shooting48.9% · 51.4%3-point %32.4% · 35.0%Ball care17.3% · 12.6%Off. rebounds24.6% · 25.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Lancut   ■ Legia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lancut wins
3
Legia wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Legia v Lancut87-78
15/01/23Legia v Lancut75-61
22/09/22Lancut v Legia72-83
18/02/17Lancut v Legia80-73
05/11/16Legia v Lancut60-65
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AOstrow Wielkopolski77-89
02/03/24ASpojnia Stargard56-77
10/02/24ACzarni Slupsk90-92
02/02/24HDziki Warszawa58-68
25/01/24AZielona Gora84-86
19/01/24HLublin78-88
14/01/24AAnwil Wloclawek71-88
07/01/24HSzczecin74-96
30/12/23HSlask Wroclaw84-91
22/12/23AGTK Gliwice100-87
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24ABilbao53-81
09/03/24HTrefl Sopot70-85
06/03/24HBilbao83-64
02/03/24ATorun83-70
18/02/24HOstrow Wielkopolski94-71
17/02/24HTrefl Sopot96-81
15/02/24ALublin112-83
11/02/24AGdynia102-104
07/02/24ASporting CP99-86
04/02/24HOstrow Wielkopolski88-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %17%20%15%
Points / game80.778.882.2
Allowed / game88.385.890.2
Point differential-7.6-7.0-8.1
Avg total169.0164.6172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %13%20%8%
Legia
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL52%
HomeLWWLL54%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game83.383.583.1
Allowed / game82.082.581.2
Point differential+1.4+1.0+1.9
Avg total165.3166.1164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek2318578%86.377.6+8.7
2 Trefl Sopot2316770%85.378.0+7.3
3 Szczecin2416867%89.983.4+6.5
4 Ostrow Wielkopolski2415962%85.679.1+6.5
5 Lublin23131057%89.188.9+0.2
6 Slask Wroclaw23131057%78.980.9-2.0
7 Spojnia Stargard24131154%80.276.8+3.4
8 Dziki Warszawa24131154%79.479.5-0.1
9 Legia23121152%83.382.0+1.4
10 Dabrowa Gornicza24121250%95.692.8+2.8
11 Torun24121250%81.582.9-1.4
12 Czarni Slupsk24121250%78.380.3-2.0
13 GTK Gliwice2471729%85.791.4-5.7
14 Gdynia2471729%83.092.8-9.8
15 Zielona Gora2461825%83.791.5-7.8
16 Lancut2341917%80.788.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut2019161671
Legia2723171582
← all games of the day
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