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Legia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-64
20-15 21-14 19-20 23-15
Position#6
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game79.6
Legia 🏆
vs
Position#3
Record11-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game69.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Bemowo
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Legia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LegiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 79
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
89-78
89
78
+11
82avg 79
H28/01
Energa Basket Liga
Jonava
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
102avg 79
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 79
H04/02
Energa Basket Liga
Sporting CP
#29
W
99-86
99
86
+13
96avg 79
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
L
102-104
102
104
-2
90avg 79
A11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
112-83
112
83
+29
116avg 79
A15/02
Polish Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 79
H17/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
W
94-71
94
71
+23
89avg 79
H18/02
Polish Cup
Torun
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 79
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
12-19
18-31
24-13
19-14
19-28
22-19
29-17
18-25
29-18
31-14
23-20
20-25
20-20
19-25
29-26
19-30
25-23
31-19
24-14
28-30
26-26
25-31
23-17
30-29
26-26
30-10
26-18
20-22
31-25
21-17
24-17
18-20
22-21
25-14
29-16
22-15
15-22
18-17
28-16
175.3Avg total
93.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.279.6167.8+8.675%
Season at home (6)86.572.8159.3+13.783%
Season away (6)89.886.3176.2+3.567%
Last 10 (10)93.082.3175.3+10.770%
Last 5 (5)97.481.8179.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.383.7161.0-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.688.7174.3-3.129%
vs Weaker (19)90.680.4171.1+10.284%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Balkan
#35
W
94-62
94
62
+32
90avg 74
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 74
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 74
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 74
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 74
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
89avg 74
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
68avg 74
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
90-63
90
63
+27
94avg 74
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
92avg 74
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 74
A02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-17
32-15
19-15
25-19
19-21
12-26
22-21
22-30
16-18
14-28
28-19
18-22
16-23
27-14
19-23
25-19
20-13
16-25
25-26
21-23
17-16
12-23
27-15
19-18
13-32
18-26
26-20
24-23
18-15
34-13
14-12
28-18
14-15
28-25
23-20
23-25
22-17
19-29
20-30
168.4Avg total
85.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.169.8153.8+14.392%
Season at home (6)87.769.2156.8+18.5100%
Season away (6)80.570.3150.8+10.283%
Last 10 (10)85.183.3168.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)86.684.8171.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.587.1166.6-7.620%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (11)83.869.5153.4+14.382%
This opponent (Legia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +8.5+8.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +8.5+8.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
LegiaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H28/01
Energa Basket Liga
Jonava
#33
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/02
Energa Basket Liga
Sporting CP
#29
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A15/02
Polish Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/02
Polish Cup
Torun
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
88.3Avg total
43.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.888.1+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.840.584.3+3.453%-
Last 30 away (13)44.848.293.1-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.288.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.647.294.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.344.081.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.747.389.0-5.614%-
vs Weaker (19)45.741.987.6+3.758%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#35
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A02/03
ACB
80.2Avg total
40.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.977.8+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.737.176.8+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.340.478.8-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.980.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.742.780.4-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.836.176.9+4.778%-
vs Weaker (11)38.637.676.3+1.045%-
This opponent (Legia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.7
55.0%
52.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.2
37.3%
33.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.519.4
82.6%
73.0%19.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.6
58.1%
52.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
33.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.3%
73.0%11.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Legia
WWWWLWLWWL
Bilbao
LWWLWWLLLW
#6
League position
#3
+14.1
Net rating
+1.9
122.5
Offensive rating
114.2
108.5
Defensive rating
112.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
11.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.3%
3-point %
34.6%
65.0%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.5 · 114.2Defence108.5 · 112.3Shooting55.5% · 55.8%3-point %37.3% · 34.6%Ball care11.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Legia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Legia wins
0
Bilbao wins
No previous meetings.
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ATorun83-70
18/02/24HOstrow Wielkopolski94-71
17/02/24HTrefl Sopot96-81
15/02/24ALublin112-83
11/02/24AGdynia102-104
07/02/24ASporting CP99-86
04/02/24HOstrow Wielkopolski88-96
31/01/24AJonava101-77
28/01/24HSpojnia Stargard89-78
24/01/24HBahcesehir Kol.66-77
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AUnicaja84-101
11/02/24HValencia93-78
07/02/24HBalkan90-63
03/02/24AMurcia76-96
31/01/24HFC Porto90-86 OT
27/01/24HBasket Zaragoza86-83
24/01/24AGottingen80-82
21/01/24AReal Madrid80-95
13/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra78-87
10/01/24ABalkan94-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Legia
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game88.286.589.8
Allowed / game79.672.886.3
Point differential+8.6+13.7+3.5
Avg total167.8159.3176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game84.187.780.5
Allowed / game69.869.270.3
Point differential+14.3+18.5+10.2
Avg total153.8156.8150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1211192%91.072.5+18.5
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%92.976.7+16.2
4 Bilbao1211192%84.169.8+14.3
5 Nymburk129375%82.772.2+10.5
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Legia129375%88.279.6+8.6
8 Basket Zaragoza129375%81.575.6+5.9
9 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
10 Varese128467%93.188.0+5.1
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto149564%84.177.5+6.6
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Legia2021192383
Bilbao1514201564
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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