PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bilbao vs Legia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-53
29-17 19-15 11-10 22-11
Position#3
Record11-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game70.8
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Bilbao Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Legia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 74
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 74
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 74
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
89avg 74
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
68avg 74
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
90-63
90
63
+27
94avg 74
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
92avg 74
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 74
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 74
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 74
A10/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
16-18
14-28
28-19
18-22
16-23
27-14
19-23
25-19
20-13
16-25
25-26
21-23
17-16
12-23
27-15
19-18
13-32
18-26
26-20
24-23
18-15
34-13
14-12
28-18
14-15
28-25
23-20
23-25
22-17
19-29
20-30
15-20
14-21
20-19
15-23
15-17
18-27
22-16
24-27
167.6Avg total
82.2Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.570.8153.3+11.885%
Season at home (6)87.769.2156.8+18.5100%
Season away (7)78.172.1150.3+6.071%
Last 10 (10)82.285.4167.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.082.4164.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.286.7165.9-7.422%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.677.3151.9-2.740%
vs Weaker (11)83.869.5153.4+14.382%
This opponent (Legia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Jonava
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
102avg 78
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 78
H04/02
Energa Basket Liga
Sporting CP
#29
W
99-86
99
86
+13
96avg 78
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
L
102-104
102
104
-2
90avg 78
A11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
112-83
112
83
+29
116avg 78
A15/02
Polish Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 78
H17/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
W
94-71
94
71
+23
89avg 78
H18/02
Polish Cup
Torun
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 78
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Bilbao
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
83avg 78
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
55avg 78
H09/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
29-18
31-14
23-20
20-25
20-20
19-25
29-26
19-30
25-23
31-19
24-14
28-30
26-26
25-31
23-17
30-29
26-26
30-10
26-18
20-22
31-25
21-17
24-17
18-20
22-21
25-14
29-16
22-15
15-22
18-17
28-16
20-15
21-14
19-20
23-15
24-19
13-20
13-20
20-26
174.5Avg total
92.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.878.4166.2+9.477%
Season at home (7)86.071.6157.6+14.486%
Season away (6)89.886.3176.2+3.567%
Last 10 (10)92.881.7174.5+11.170%
Last 5 (5)85.274.2159.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.383.7161.0-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.685.6169.1-2.033%
vs Weaker (17)90.981.3172.2+9.682%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
BilbaoLegia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/03
ACB
79.0Avg total
37.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.577.0-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.737.176.8+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.877.1-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.279.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.677.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.642.279.8-4.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.136.175.2+3.070%-
vs Weaker (11)38.637.676.3+1.045%-
This opponent (Legia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#33
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/02
Energa Basket Liga
Sporting CP
#29
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A15/02
Polish Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/02
Polish Cup
Torun
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Bilbao
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/03
Energa Basket Liga
89.2Avg total
44.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.987.7-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.940.683.6+2.347%-
Last 30 away (13)44.848.293.1-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.589.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.679.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.344.081.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.144.385.4-3.222%-
vs Weaker (17)45.643.188.6+2.553%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.7
52.8%
52.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.7
33.8%
33.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
73.0%12.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.4
53.5%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.6
37.1%
33.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.920.6
82.7%
73.0%20.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLLWWLWWLL
Legia
LWWWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#6
-4.6
Net rating
+13.7
108.9
Offensive rating
119.1
113.5
Defensive rating
105.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
11.9%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.8%
3-point %
37.1%
60.9%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 119.1Defence113.5 · 105.5Shooting52.1% · 54.5%3-point %33.8% · 37.1%Ball care16.2% · 11.9%Off. rebounds30.2% · 25.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Bilbao   ■ Legia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
1
Legia wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Legia v Bilbao83-64
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AGranada79-87
06/03/24ALegia64-83
02/03/24AUnicaja84-101
11/02/24HValencia93-78
07/02/24HBalkan90-63
03/02/24AMurcia76-96
31/01/24HFC Porto90-86 OT
27/01/24HBasket Zaragoza86-83
24/01/24AGottingen80-82
21/01/24AReal Madrid80-95
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HTrefl Sopot70-85
06/03/24HBilbao83-64
02/03/24ATorun83-70
18/02/24HOstrow Wielkopolski94-71
17/02/24HTrefl Sopot96-81
15/02/24ALublin112-83
11/02/24AGdynia102-104
07/02/24ASporting CP99-86
04/02/24HOstrow Wielkopolski88-96
31/01/24AJonava101-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%100%71%
Points / game82.587.778.1
Allowed / game70.869.272.1
Point differential+11.8+18.5+6.0
Avg total153.3156.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Legia
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%86%67%
Points / game87.886.089.8
Allowed / game78.471.686.3
Point differential+9.4+14.4+3.5
Avg total166.2157.6176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1413193%92.372.9+19.4
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1412286%91.675.9+15.8
4 Bilbao1311285%82.570.8+11.8
5 Legia1310377%87.878.4+9.4
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Nymburk139469%81.372.8+8.5
8 Varese139469%92.186.2+5.8
9 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
10 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
11 Basket Zaragoza149564%80.679.1+1.5
12 FC Porto1610662%82.578.3+4.2
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2919112281
Legia1715101153
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.