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Lancut vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-70
20-26 16-21 22-12 19-11
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game85.7
Poland1 LigaRound 7· MOSiR Lancut
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lancut v Pelplin
06 Mar 2027
LANC v PELP
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
LANC77
PELP70
21 Dec 2024
LANC91
PELP92
22 Jan 2022
LANC86
PELP80
23 Jan 2021
LANC98
PELP91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
63-99
63
99
-36
55avg 78
H04/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
84avg 78
A07/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
100-95
100
95
+5
103avg 78
A10/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 78
H14/05
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 78
H20/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
64-91
64
91
-27
53avg 78
A27/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
94-80
94
80
+14
92avg 78
H01/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
94-82
94
82
+12
101avg 78
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 78
H12/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
104-106
104
106
-2
96avg 78
A18/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-33
13-19
12-27
24-16
23-19
19-23
15-23
30-19
24-31
25-22
21-23
21-22
19-17
24-19
18-13
20-12
8-15
22-17
25-26
11-25
18-25
13-23
22-18
24-18
18-18
26-19
26-25
26-24
20-20
28-17
20-21
15-13
17-13
10-20
19-31
39-24
28-35
20-28
17-19
168.8Avg total
82.6Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.084.3166.3-2.350%
Season at home (3)76.775.7152.3+1.067%
Season away (3)87.393.0180.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)82.686.2168.8-3.650%
Last 5 (5)83.487.2170.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.179.3147.4-11.129%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.580.3166.8+6.269%
vs Weaker (7)87.080.3167.3+6.786%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 78
A05/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 78
A12/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
78-114
78
114
-36
73avg 78
A13/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 78
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
82-59
82
59
+23
78avg 78
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
103avg 78
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 78
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
38avg 78
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
89-105
89
105
-16
77avg 78
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
H19/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
25-28
17-19
24-23
17-30
17-28
22-22
21-18
29-31
19-27
13-31
17-25
31-21
19-30
21-24
24-32
16-17
25-14
18-10
23-18
26-27
18-23
27-24
36-28
24-24
21-24
28-29
18-19
29-20
14-18
16-17
25-25
21-26
24-28
29-24
15-27
17-11
19-22
21-26
26-13
180.8Avg total
87.3Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.385.7175.0+3.767%
Season at home (3)91.384.7176.0+6.7100%
Season away (3)87.386.7174.0+0.733%
Last 10 (10)87.393.5180.8-6.240%
Last 5 (5)90.891.0181.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.593.0174.5-11.538%
vs Similar ◀ (18)88.786.3175.0+2.456%
vs Weaker (4)78.868.0146.8+10.875%
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
LancutPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H04/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A07/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A10/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/05
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H20/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A27/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H12/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A18/10
1 Liga
84.2Avg total
42.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.981.9+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.536.575.1+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)45.543.288.7+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.984.2+0.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.738.173.9-2.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.142.187.1+3.062%-
vs Weaker (7)41.436.678.0+4.986%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A05/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A12/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A13/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/10
1 Liga
91.3Avg total
43.2Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.886.9-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.942.287.1+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.645.186.7-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.248.191.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.687.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.447.291.6-2.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.544.087.5-0.544%-
vs Weaker (4)39.035.874.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.515.7
48.3%
52.0%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.5
33.5%
31.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.819.1
74.0%
70.0%19.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.5
57.6%
52.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.1
33.3%
31.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws26.118.3
70.1%
70.0%18.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LLWWLWWWLL
Pelplin
WLWLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#7
-4.8
Net rating
-8.7
107.0
Offensive rating
111.1
111.8
Defensive rating
119.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.5%
3-point %
33.3%
70.2%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 111.1Defence111.8 · 119.8Shooting49.3% · 55.0%3-point %33.5% · 33.3%Ball care17.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lancut   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lancut wins
2
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
30/03/25Pelplin v Lancut87-88
21/12/24Lancut v Pelplin91-92
22/01/22Lancut v Pelplin86-80
09/10/21Pelplin v Lancut79-91
23/01/21Lancut v Pelplin98-91
17/10/20Pelplin v Lancut94-92
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AGKS Tychy104-106
12/10/25HStarogard Gdanski61-77
04/10/25AMiners Katowice94-82
01/10/25HR. Rzeszow94-80
27/09/25APoznan64-91
20/09/25HZubry Bialystok75-70
14/05/25HWKK Wroclaw82-71
10/05/25AWKK Wroclaw100-95
07/05/25ABydgoszcz89-91 OT
04/05/25HBydgoszcz63-99
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HLKS Lodz83-72
11/10/25AGKS Tychy89-105
04/10/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg84-80
01/10/25AStarogard Gdanski91-96
27/09/25HSpojnia Stargard107-102
21/09/25AMiners Katowice82-59
16/04/25HBydgoszcz95-107
13/04/25ABydgoszcz78-114
12/04/25ABydgoszcz77-98
05/04/25APoli. Opolska87-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.076.787.3
Allowed / game84.375.793.0
Point differential-2.3+1.0-5.7
Avg total166.3152.3180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game89.391.387.3
Allowed / game85.784.786.7
Point differential+3.7+6.7+0.7
Avg total175.0176.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz660100%91.375.3+16.0
2 Starogard Gdanski660100%88.575.8+12.7
3 GKS Tychy65183%92.086.5+5.5
4 Pelplin64267%89.385.7+3.7
5 Polonia Warszawa64267%86.284.7+1.5
6 LKS Lodz53260%82.274.6+7.6
7 Spojnia Stargard53260%82.883.4-0.6
8 WKK Wroclaw74357%79.076.6+2.4
9 Lancut63350%82.084.3-2.3
10 R. Rzeszow73443%78.379.6-1.3
11 Inowroclaw73443%77.785.3-7.6
12 Poznan62433%79.574.7+4.8
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg62433%76.878.3-1.5
14 Poli. Opolska51420%79.486.6-7.2
15 Leszno61517%72.385.7-13.3
16 Miners Katowice71614%76.985.6-8.7
17 Zubry Bialystok5050%75.086.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut2016221977
Pelplin2621121170
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