PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-72
19-19 24-15 27-14 24-24
Position#1
Record10-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 15
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 78
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
74-100
74
100
-26
65avg 78
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 78
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 78
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 78
A24/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
66-76
66
76
-10
54avg 78
A27/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 78
H29/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
77avg 78
H31/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#12
W
88-77
88
77
+11
87avg 78
A05/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
65-74
65
74
-9
62avg 78
A26/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
20-21
25-18
18-11
12-31
22-17
21-26
19-26
23-20
24-16
25-25
21-14
23-20
23-13
24-18
24-27
23-25
33-24
18-17
24-23
12-25
15-24
23-15
16-12
22-20
26-14
20-18
23-20
16-14
20-29
22-12
20-25
21-18
17-17
23-19
27-23
17-11
17-17
19-22
12-24
162.7Avg total
83.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.071.2156.2+13.883%
Season at home (7)85.068.6153.6+16.486%
Season away (5)85.075.0160.0+10.080%
Last 10 (10)83.579.2162.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.283.9164.1-3.733%
vs Similar (9)77.981.3159.2-3.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.172.8159.8+14.383%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 64
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 64
A13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 64
A16/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
67-84
67
84
-17
57avg 64
A20/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
68avg 64
H26/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
64-68
64
68
-4
54avg 64
A03/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
26avg 64
H09/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 64
H17/01
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
77-48
77
48
+29
77avg 64
H23/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
78avg 64
H06/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
14-31
19-15
20-24
24-27
11-20
11-16
18-12
23-21
19-26
24-21
22-16
16-15
15-27
17-21
19-21
20-22
15-21
14-18
25-23
14-18
20-16
17-19
13-15
10-23
25-23
22-21
14-17
20-23
16-24
25-25
14-21
19-13
23-16
23-9
12-10
18-17
25-28
17-22
29-27
154.6Avg total
74.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.879.8155.5-4.031%
Season at home (7)80.180.1160.3+0.043%
Season away (6)70.779.3150.0-8.717%
Last 10 (10)74.080.6154.6-6.620%
Last 5 (5)75.277.4152.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.685.6163.2-8.031%
vs Similar (13)76.679.4156.0-2.831%
vs Weaker (3)75.769.0144.7+6.733%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A27/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H31/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A26/02
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
41.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.436.978.3+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.977.3-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.780.8+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.874.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.040.877.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (9)35.640.175.7-4.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.235.279.4+8.992%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A16/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A20/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/01
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/02
Basket League
79.8Avg total
36.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.578.6-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.477.3+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.342.779.9-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.379.8-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.541.779.2-4.223%-
vs Similar (13)37.640.177.7-2.531%-
vs Weaker (3)43.038.381.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.1
53.8%
51.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
35.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.8
80.2%
74.2%15.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.0
47.5%
51.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLWLWWWLW
Aris
LWLLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#9
+5.2
Net rating
-10.2
115.2
Offensive rating
102.9
110.0
Defensive rating
113.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
44.8%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.2%
3-point %
37.1%
66.4%
Assist %
54.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 102.9Defence110.0 · 113.1Shooting52.3% · 51.1%3-point %33.2% · 37.1%Ball care20.1% · 19.7%Off. rebounds44.8% · 26.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Panathinaikos wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
17/01/21Aris v Panathinaikos75-93
15/02/20Aris v Panathinaikos81-88
26/10/19Panathinaikos v Aris108-86
28/01/19Panathinaikos v Aris85-65
13/10/18Aris v Panathinaikos70-84
02/04/18Panathinaikos v Aris84-63
10/12/17Aris v Panathinaikos70-88
05/03/17Panathinaikos v Aris70-54
18/02/17Panathinaikos v Aris68-59
21/11/16Aris v Panathinaikos59-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/21AAlba Berlin65-74
05/02/21AOlympiacos88-77
31/01/21HPromitheas78-80
29/01/21HValencia91-72
27/01/21AReal Madrid66-76
24/01/21ALarisa98-89
21/01/21HKhimki M.94-78
17/01/21AAris93-75
15/01/21AFenerbahce74-100
13/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21HLavrio89-94
23/01/21HHarilaos Trikoupis77-48
17/01/21HPanathinaikos75-93
09/01/21HPeristeri71-84
03/01/21AIonikos64-68
26/12/20HKolossos Rhodes74-84
20/12/20AAEK Athens67-84
16/12/20ALarisa88-84
13/12/20APAOK64-75
09/12/20ALavrio71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL83%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%86%80%
Points / game85.085.085.0
Allowed / game71.268.675.0
Point differential+13.8+16.4+10.0
Avg total156.2153.6160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game75.880.170.7
Allowed / game79.880.179.3
Point differential-4.0+0.0-8.7
Avg total155.5160.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1210283%85.071.2+13.8
2 AEK Athens1511473%80.170.9+9.1
3 Lavrio1410471%79.975.7+4.2
4 Promitheas139469%80.576.3+4.2
5 Peristeri159660%72.874.3-1.5
6 PAOK157847%78.380.8-2.5
7 Kolossos Rhodes146843%77.774.8+2.9
8 Ionikos156940%76.780.1-3.3
9 Iraklis145936%70.276.4-6.2
10 Aris134931%75.879.8-4.0
11 Larisa1541127%75.781.8-6.1
12 Harilaos Trikoupis1541127%72.179.7-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1924272494
Aris1915142472
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.