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Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-73
15-18 12-16 22-23 19-16
Position#9
Record6-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#3
Record14-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game73.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Aris v AEK Athens
10 Oct 2026
ARI88
AAT58
17 May 2026
ARI90
AAT81
04 Apr 2026
ARI82
AAT78
05 Oct 2024
ARI59
AAT70
29 Oct 2023
ARI75
AAT64
04 Feb 2023
ARI74
AAT64
13 Mar 2022
ARI91
AAT73
27 Mar 2021
ARI68
AAT73
04 Apr 2020
ARI v AAT
upcoming
08 Dec 2018
ARI77
AAT81
14 Oct 2017
ARI64
AAT62
31 May 2017
ARI85
AAT91
13 Apr 2017
ARI81
AAT77
14 Jan 2017
ARI77
AAT76
07 Oct 2015
ARI64
AAT61
19 May 2015
ARI79
AAT68
13 May 2015
ARI71
AAT69
06 Dec 2014
ARI86
AAT75
13 Apr 2011
ARI78
AAT74
20 Mar 2010
ARI79
AAT76
29 Nov 2008
ARI77
AAT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
68avg 64
H26/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
64-68
64
68
-4
54avg 64
A03/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
26avg 64
H09/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 64
H17/01
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
77-48
77
48
+29
77avg 64
H23/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
78avg 64
H06/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
68avg 64
A28/02
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
69avg 64
H06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
76-54
76
54
+22
68avg 64
A10/03
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 64
H20/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
15-21
14-18
25-23
14-18
20-16
17-19
13-15
10-23
25-23
22-21
14-17
20-23
16-24
25-25
14-21
19-13
23-16
23-9
12-10
18-17
25-28
17-22
29-27
19-19
15-24
14-27
24-24
22-22
18-7
16-8
14-15
20-13
18-16
21-5
17-20
18-26
19-11
24-14
10-26
148.7Avg total
73.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.977.3152.2-2.435%
Season at home (9)78.076.7154.7+1.344%
Season away (8)71.578.0149.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)73.974.8148.7-0.930%
Last 5 (5)75.674.2149.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.586.8165.4-8.327%
vs Similar (15)75.275.2150.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (3)75.769.0144.7+6.733%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Larisa
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 73
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
91-59
91
59
+32
no box
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
71avg 73
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
no box
H20/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
L
73-91
73
91
-18
59avg 73
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
no box
A25/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-30
17-13
15-12
19-17
25-11
23-14
24-17
24-16
13-19
21-17
16-22
27-24
25-16
24-20
22-16
16-12
22-19
19-15
17-19
19-17
18-19
20-16
17-22
15-22
24-14
17-20
21-12
21-17
15-26
27-17
22-25
18-31
27-21
13-21
15-18
15-25
15-21
12-25
18-17
161.5Avg total
82.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.673.4156.0+9.178%
Season at home (10)86.673.5160.1+13.190%
Season away (8)77.573.4150.9+4.162%
Last 10 (10)82.079.5161.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)79.485.8165.2-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.382.3151.7-13.00%
vs Similar (11)80.379.6159.9+0.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.472.1156.5+12.393%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
ArisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/01
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A10/03
Basket League
PAOK
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/03
Basket League
75.6Avg total
37.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.878.2-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.177.6+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.578.9-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.275.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.675.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.541.979.4-4.518%-
vs Similar (15)38.338.777.0-0.340%-
vs Weaker (3)43.038.381.3+4.767%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larisa
#11
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A25/03
Champions League
79.9Avg total
40.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.379.2+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.437.781.1+5.781%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.077.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.879.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.044.081.0-7.033%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.979.5+1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.336.979.2+5.373%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.2
46.6%
51.8%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
35.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
74.2%14.9
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.8
51.0%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.0
36.2%
35.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.8
76.3%
74.2%15.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWWLLWLLLL
AEK Athens
LLWWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#3
-1.0
Net rating
+9.0
105.7
Offensive rating
114.0
106.7
Defensive rating
105.0
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.9%
3-point %
36.2%
57.0%
Assist %
61.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 114.0Defence106.7 · 105.0Shooting50.4% · 52.2%3-point %36.9% · 36.2%Ball care18.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 36.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Aris   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aris wins
8
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
20/12/20AEK Athens v Aris84-67
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
30/03/19AEK Athens v Aris81-73
08/12/18Aris v AEK Athens77-81
03/02/18AEK Athens v Aris73-64
14/10/17Aris v AEK Athens64-62
03/06/17AEK Athens v Aris71-60
31/05/17Aris v AEK Athens85-91
28/05/17AEK Athens v Aris90-74
13/04/17Aris v AEK Athens81-77
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21HPAOK71-77
10/03/21AIraklis76-54
06/03/21HLarisa70-52
28/02/21APanathinaikos72-94
06/02/21HLavrio89-94
23/01/21HHarilaos Trikoupis77-48
17/01/21HPanathinaikos75-93
09/01/21HPeristeri71-84
03/01/21AIonikos64-68
26/12/20HKolossos Rhodes74-84
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/21ANizhny Novgorod60-88
23/03/21AStrasbourg73-91
20/03/21HIraklis100-97 OT
16/03/21HStrasbourg77-68
13/03/21APAOK87-85 OT
10/03/21HTurk Telekom74-65
06/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis98-76
10/02/21ALavrio85-90 OT
06/02/21HPeristeri91-59
30/01/21ALarisa75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game74.978.071.5
Allowed / game77.376.778.0
Point differential-2.4+1.3-6.5
Avg total152.2154.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%90%62%
Points / game82.686.677.5
Allowed / game73.473.573.4
Point differential+9.1+13.1+4.1
Avg total156.0160.1150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1614288%86.371.9+14.4
2 AEK Athens1814478%82.673.4+9.1
3 Lavrio1814478%81.076.2+4.8
4 Promitheas149564%80.376.6+3.6
5 PAOK189950%78.780.4-1.7
6 Peristeri189950%72.375.3-3.0
7 Ionikos1871139%77.681.3-3.8
8 Iraklis1871139%72.977.4-4.5
9 Kolossos Rhodes1761135%77.676.9+0.8
10 Aris1761135%74.977.3-2.4
11 Larisa1851328%74.780.7-6.0
12 Harilaos Trikoupis1841422%72.881.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1512221968
AEK Athens1816231673
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