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Latvia vs Israel Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-70
21-22 20-19 26-17 18-12
Position#40
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.9
Latvia 🏆
vs
Position#67
Record2-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Xiaomi Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latvia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
W
78-62
78
62
+16
79avg 86
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
109-75
109
75
+34
113avg 86
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 86
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
72-92
72
92
-20
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
112-66
112
66
+46
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
80-115
80
115
-35
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
27-7
15-15
13-19
30-24
28-20
28-12
23-19
18-28
19-19
17-19
25-22
12-26
17-22
21-17
28-21
20-24
20-13
29-17
17-14
23-21
25-21
14-24
20-18
16-23
20-31
18-16
18-22
18-26
23-7
11-21
20-15
22-22
32-20
30-9
28-15
14-23
27-37
16-25
23-30
165.3Avg total
84.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.182.9166.0+0.343%
Season at home (3)90.778.7169.3+12.033%
Season away (4)77.586.0163.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)84.880.5165.3+4.350%
Last 5 (5)83.685.2168.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.094.8171.8-17.80%
vs Similar (9)81.679.8161.3+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.367.4153.7+18.9100%
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Belgium
#16
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 76
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
96-106
96
106
-10
85avg 76
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 76
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
94-54
94
54
+40
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
83-54
83
54
+29
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
75-103
75
103
-28
no box
A06/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
28-21
20-18
21-35
22-26
21-30
22-23
31-27
22-28
19-22
18-17
20-17
22-26
9-24
22-19
16-20
25-25
17-22
14-24
15-14
32-15
26-8
13-16
23-15
24-12
21-17
23-13
15-12
15-23
22-22
18-31
31-16
12-25
19-22
20-27
24-29
15-23
27-32
18-25
26-26
169.3Avg total
83.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.683.3163.9-2.729%
Season at home (4)84.284.2168.5+0.025%
Season away (3)75.782.0157.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)83.186.2169.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)84.881.8166.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.788.3166.0-10.610%
vs Similar (11)80.581.7162.2-1.345%
vs Weaker (9)83.772.9156.6+10.878%
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
LatviaIsrael
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/03
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A03/07
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H06/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A27/08
World Cup
86.9Avg total
43.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.181.8+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.637.879.4+3.867%-
Last 30 away (18)41.741.783.3+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.586.9-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.290.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.748.088.7-7.317%-
vs Similar (9)38.041.879.8-3.822%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.236.080.2+8.293%-
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H27/08
World Cup
85.9Avg total
42.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.979.6-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.880.9-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.178.2-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.885.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.882.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.646.984.5-9.310%-
vs Similar (11)38.739.177.8-0.445%-
vs Weaker (9)39.736.676.2+3.144%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.4
51.9%
-30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.6
35.9%
-34.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
-15.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.5
51.6%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.0
38.8%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
-17.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latvia
LWWLLWLLWW
Israel
LLLWWLLLLW
#40
League position
#67
+7.8
Net rating
+7.7
113.6
Offensive rating
111.7
105.8
Defensive rating
104.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.9%
3-point %
38.8%
72.6%
Assist %
67.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Latvia   ■ Israel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Latvia wins
1
Israel wins
DateGameScore
03/08/14Israel v Latvia94-86
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26ACroatia80-115
06/07/26HAustria112-66
03/07/26ANetherlands72-69
01/03/26APoland72-92
27/02/26HPoland82-84
01/12/25AAustria86-68
28/11/25HNetherlands78-86
06/09/25ALithuania79-88
03/09/25ACzech Republic109-75
01/09/25APortugal78-62
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26HPoland86-106
06/07/26ACroatia75-103
03/07/26HGermany86-92
01/03/26ACyprus83-54
27/02/26HCyprus94-54
01/12/25HCroatia71-85
28/11/25AGermany69-89
07/09/25AGreece79-84
04/09/25HSlovenia96-106
02/09/25ABelgium92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latvia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game83.190.777.5
Allowed / game82.978.786.0
Point differential+0.3+12.0-8.5
Avg total166.0169.3163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Israel
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game80.684.275.7
Allowed / game83.384.282.0
Point differential-2.7+0.0-6.3
Avg total163.9168.5157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
11 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
12 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
13 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
14 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
15 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
16 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
17 South Sudan86275%82.467.8+14.6
18 Senegal86275%85.070.5+14.5
19 Mali86275%82.875.6+7.1
20 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
21 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
24 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
25 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
26 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
27 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
28 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
29 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
30 Tunisia85362%71.268.8+2.5
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
38 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
39 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
40 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
41 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
42 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
43 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
46 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
47 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
48 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
49 Bosnia & Herzegovina73443%78.977.0+1.9
50 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
51 Lithuania73443%87.086.3+0.7
52 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
55 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
56 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
57 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
58 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
59 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
60 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
67 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
68 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
69 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latvia2120261885
Israel2219171270
← all games of the day
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