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Latvia vs Turkey Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-93
21-24 18-23 16-25 18-21
Position#11
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Latvia
vs
Turkey 🏆
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Latvia v Turkey
27 Aug 2025
LATV73
TURK93
25 Aug 2022
LATV111
TURK85
26 Feb 2018
LATV79
TURK70
22 Aug 2015
LATV81
TURK79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latvia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
W
104-84
104
84
+20
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 78
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 78
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
79avg 78
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 78
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
23-22
36-21
23-21
16-13
18-23
25-26
20-19
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
17-25
25-19
17-13
16-15
16-20
20-21
22-25
27-17
20-17
21-17
22-16
20-16
20-15
19-18
30-18
20-17
156.9Avg total
84.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.372.6156.9+11.790%
Last 5 (5)79.268.2147.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.0101.0176.0-26.00%
vs Similar (10)84.677.8162.4+6.880%
vs Weaker (19)84.868.3153.2+16.5100%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
82-54
82
54
+28
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Italy
#9
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 72
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 72
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 72
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
71-83
71
83
-12
66avg 72
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
64avg 72
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 72
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-23
7-21
21-13
22-14
23-17
19-14
18-9
24-24
15-26
17-18
24-19
16-16
19-14
19-17
22-28
27-20
16-17
19-12
30-17
21-14
19-17
14-23
27-22
12-17
19-31
19-12
17-20
16-26
22-20
16-23
17-14
25-17
10-11
16-21
20-24
23-13
18-16
19-12
19-24
151.5Avg total
77.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.374.2151.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)73.875.4149.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.681.8156.3-7.211%
vs Similar (12)77.873.0150.8+4.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.775.4161.1+10.278%
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
LatviaTurkey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
40.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.178.4+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.234.876.0+6.585%-
Last 30 away (17)43.137.180.2+6.065%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.477.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.873.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.043.085.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (19)43.333.276.5+10.295%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A27/02
World Cup
Italy
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/08
DBB Supercup
77.2Avg total
39.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.076.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.636.974.6+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)39.739.479.1+0.346%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.977.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.744.280.9-7.611%-
vs Similar (12)38.535.373.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.435.375.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.0
54.5%
52.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.0
38.2%
33.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.2
69.7%
73.1%14.2
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.4
26.9%
33.4%22.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.8
81.4%
73.1%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/8 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latvia
WWWWWWWWLW
Turkey
WLLLWWWLWL
#11
League position
#2
+13.5
Net rating
+1.8
110.7
Offensive rating
109.5
97.3
Defensive rating
107.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
47.7%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.2%
3-point %
26.9%
67.3%
Assist %
58.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 109.5Defence97.3 · 107.7Shooting55.8% · 47.7%3-point %38.2% · 26.9%Ball care18.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.3% · 36.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Latvia   ■ Turkey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Latvia wins
1
Turkey wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Turkey v Latvia74-83
25/08/22Latvia v Turkey111-85
26/02/18Latvia v Turkey79-70
24/11/17Turkey v Latvia85-73
22/08/15Latvia v Turkey81-79
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ASlovakia89-68
20/02/25HSpain83-66
25/11/24ABelgium85-83
22/11/24HBelgium75-72
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
06/09/23AGermany79-81
03/09/23ABrazil104-84
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HCzech Republic79-65
15/08/25AGermany71-73
23/02/25AIceland71-83
20/02/25HItaly67-80
25/11/24AHungary81-76
22/11/24HHungary92-66
25/02/24HIceland76-75
22/02/24AItaly80-87
27/02/23ABelgium82-54
24/02/23HLatvia74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latvia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Turkey
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany110100%106.076.0+30.0
2 Lithuania110100%94.070.0+24.0
3 Portugal110100%62.050.0+12.0
4 Czech Republic1010%50.062.0-12.0
5 Great Britain1010%70.094.0-24.0
6 Montenegro1010%76.0106.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latvia2118161873
Turkey2423252193
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