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Le Mans vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-87
26-15 14-24 15-24 19-24
Position#19
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Aris 🏆
Position#1
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· Antares
European cup2026
Meetings · Le Mans v Aris
29 Sep 2026
LMA74
ARI87
25 Jan 2011
LMA85
ARI70
09 Mar 2010
LMA79
ARI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H04/04
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A11/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A18/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H25/04
French Cup
Nancy
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H30/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A09/05
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H16/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A25/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H27/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
A26/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
29-27
18-19
22-20
24-20
28-20
20-14
22-18
29-17
28-20
24-21
15-25
19-21
10-24
28-19
26-23
22-18
29-18
33-23
18-15
21-14
20-20
19-27
28-24
25-20
16-25
36-11
24-28
15-26
21-22
23-23
15-19
12-15
15-15
10-16
18-18
22-28
19-15
16-23
29-20
171.5Avg total
88.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.583.0171.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)84.284.0168.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)92.0110.0202.0-18.00%
vs Similar (14)81.484.9166.3-3.436%
vs Weaker (15)98.584.2182.7+14.393%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-92
96
92
+4
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
99-102
99
102
-3
A25/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
25-12
19-7
14-19
29-36
17-18
26-12
24-26
22-21
22-18
24-18
14-21
19-29
25-20
15-21
18-18
23-15
17-25
18-31
23-21
18-21
21-24
22-18
14-15
19-15
12-16
20-18
24-16
17-17
23-29
14-20
27-21
25-23
27-26
19-19
19-13
25-32
21-20
22-24
31-26
165.2Avg total
83.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.481.8165.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.082.6166.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.295.6180.8-10.420%
vs Similar (9)82.781.8164.4+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.781.0171.7+9.7100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
Le MansAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H04/04
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A11/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A18/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H25/04
French Cup
Nancy
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/05
LNB
Limoges
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H16/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A25/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H27/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/09
LNB
83.7Avg total
42.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.288.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.342.687.9+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)44.443.888.1+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.383.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.077.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.048.091.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.644.885.4-4.129%-
vs Weaker (15)48.841.490.2+7.480%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/05
Basket League
86.1Avg total
42.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.386.4-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.839.782.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.546.990.4-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.486.1-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.345.586.8-4.230%-
vs Similar (9)42.242.985.1-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.641.587.2+4.164%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.3
51.6%
54.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.1
37.3%
34.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.713.4
68.0%
75.6%13.4
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.1
35.7%
34.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
75.6%15.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WLLWWWLWWL
Aris
LWLWLLLWWW
#19
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+2.1
98.0
Offensive rating
96.7
91.9
Defensive rating
94.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.3%
3-point %
35.7%
57.7%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 96.7Defence91.9 · 94.6Shooting53.3% · 52.2%3-point %37.3% · 35.7%Ball care13.5% · 15.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Le Mans   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Le Mans wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
01/03/11Aris v Le Mans73-78
25/01/11Le Mans v Aris85-70
09/03/10Le Mans v Aris79-75
02/02/10Aris v Le Mans71-72
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26AGravelines-Dunkerque103-97 OT
27/05/26HNanterre55-64
25/05/26ANanterre74-90
16/05/26HLimoges101-84
09/05/26ASaint Quentin88-85
30/04/26HNancy102-74
25/04/26HMonaco83-87
18/04/26AGravelines-Dunkerque96-83
11/04/26ALe Portel94-72
04/04/26HCholet89-94
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/26AAEK Athens99-102
17/05/26HAEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AAEK Athens81-87
25/04/26HPanionios75-65
22/04/26APeristeri75-78
19/04/26AOlympiacos81-92
15/04/26APAOK77-88
04/04/26HAEK Athens82-78
28/03/26AKolossos Rhodes96-92
21/03/26HAS Karditsas78-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Aris
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Tofas110100%82.069.0+13.0
3 Trento110100%76.073.0+3.0
4 Neptunas1010%73.076.0-3.0
5 Chemnitz1010%69.082.0-13.0
6 Rostock1010%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans2614151974
Aris1524242487
← all games of the day
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