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Le Mans vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-78
23-19 29-20 20-24 16-15
Position#8
Record12-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game83.8
Le Mans 🏆
France
vs
Position#11
Record7-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game86.3
FranceLNBRound 33
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Le Mans v Pau-Orthez
31 Oct 2026
LMA106
POR97
28 Jan 2023
LMA97
POR75
16 Oct 2021
LMA100
POR106
01 May 2021
LMA88
POR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
74avg 83
H12/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
105-96 OT
105
96
+9
no box
H16/03
LNB
Orleans
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H20/03
French Cup
Boulazac
#18
W
105-99 OT
105
99
+6
no box
A07/04
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
72-90
72
90
-18
68avg 83
A09/04
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
90-61
90
61
+29
96avg 83
H13/04
LNB
Cholet
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 83
H15/04
LNB
Orleans
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
89avg 83
A17/04
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
106avg 83
H20/04
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
no box
A23/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
18-26
23-23
17-21
13-21
21-20
19-19
30-23
23-18
21-28
14-24
20-14
18-26
25-23
25-25
25-19
20-22
23-22
17-29
12-17
27-17
26-11
23-17
14-16
20-24
22-21
22-23
21-16
23-17
21-24
12-23
31-15
27-19
20-18
24-19
27-22
17-20
20-20
21-20
18-16
175.5Avg total
89.7Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.183.8171.8+4.363%
Season at home (11)90.579.5170.1+11.082%
Season away (8)84.689.6174.2-5.038%
Last 10 (10)89.785.8175.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)90.480.6171.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.493.2179.6-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.383.3170.5+4.064%
vs Weaker (14)89.578.5168.0+11.064%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Orleans
#7
L
72-101
72
101
-29
68avg 74
H13/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
58-88
58
88
-30
49avg 74
A16/03
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
60-81
60
81
-21
51avg 74
H20/03
LNB
Nanterre
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 74
H27/03
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
86-102
86
102
-16
75avg 74
A02/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
71avg 74
H10/04
LNB
Roanne
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
84avg 74
A13/04
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
93-98
93
98
-5
88avg 74
H17/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
90-106
90
106
-16
80avg 74
A20/04
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
90-68
90
68
+22
89avg 74
H27/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
26-23
13-28
17-23
14-17
16-22
16-26
12-23
20-18
11-25
12-17
17-21
13-19
33-21
20-21
20-18
24-19
19-32
12-24
31-27
20-19
11-15
26-13
16-22
23-13
20-15
21-25
16-19
22-25
22-20
23-34
26-19
26-28
22-28
28-22
14-28
25-21
23-21
21-7
21-19
165.2Avg total
78.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.486.3166.7-5.932%
Season at home (11)81.982.5164.4-0.545%
Season away (11)78.990.2169.1-11.318%
Last 10 (10)78.886.4165.2-7.640%
Last 5 (5)85.282.6167.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.190.6168.7-12.58%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.685.5167.1-3.950%
vs Weaker (2)89.564.0153.5+25.5100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
Le MansPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H16/03
LNB
Orleans
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/03
French Cup
Boulazac
#18
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A07/04
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A09/04
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/04
LNB
Cholet
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H15/04
LNB
Orleans
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A17/04
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/04
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/04
LNB
84.5Avg total
43.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.983.6+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.239.885.9+6.476%-
Last 30 away (13)40.640.080.6+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.384.5+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.282.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.642.883.4-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.440.682.0+0.764%-
vs Weaker (14)46.838.285.0+8.671%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A16/03
LNB
Roanne
#15
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/03
LNB
Nanterre
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/03
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A02/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H10/04
LNB
Roanne
#15
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A13/04
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A20/04
LNB
Le Portel
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/04
LNB
83.4Avg total
40.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)39.340.779.9-1.430%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.539.378.7+0.236%-
Last 30 away (12)39.141.981.0-2.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.883.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.083.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.841.379.1-3.617%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.041.580.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (2)46.035.581.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.1
58.5%
54.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.4
38.5%
36.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
75.1%16.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.7
53.9%
54.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.0
32.7%
36.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.815.6
78.8%
75.1%15.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
LWWWWLWLWL
Pau-Orthez
WLLWWLWLLL
#8
League position
#11
+10.9
Net rating
-9.5
115.8
Offensive rating
102.9
104.9
Defensive rating
112.4
58.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
22.9%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.5%
3-point %
32.7%
69.8%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 102.9Defence104.9 · 112.4Shooting58.2% · 52.2%3-point %38.5% · 32.7%Ball care20.4% · 22.9%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Le Mans   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Le Mans wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
28/10/20Pau-Orthez v Le Mans90-81 OT
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/21ALevallois92-101 OT
20/04/21HChalon/Saone98-78
17/04/21AOrleans87-79
15/04/21HCholet85-84
13/04/21HLe Portel90-61
09/04/21ARoanne72-90
07/04/21ABoulazac105-99 OT
20/03/21HOrleans78-84
16/03/21HLyon-Villeurbanne105-96 OT
12/03/21HJL Bourg85-86
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/21HLe Portel90-68
20/04/21ALyon-Villeurbanne90-106
17/04/21HLevallois93-98
13/04/21ARoanne80-72
10/04/21HStrasbourg73-69
02/04/21AChalons-Reims86-102
27/03/21HNanterre86-79
20/03/21HRoanne60-81
16/03/21AJL Bourg58-88
13/03/21HOrleans72-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL63%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%82%38%
Points / game88.190.584.6
Allowed / game83.879.589.6
Point differential+4.3+11.0-5.0
Avg total171.8170.1174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %21%9%38%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW32%
HomeLWWLW45%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game80.481.978.9
Allowed / game86.382.590.2
Point differential-5.9-0.5-11.3
Avg total166.7164.4169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1816289%84.174.3+9.8
2 Dijon2218482%81.774.0+7.8
3 Strasbourg2216673%83.579.9+3.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1812667%91.080.6+10.4
5 Levallois2416867%81.175.5+5.6
6 JL Bourg2315865%86.780.0+6.7
7 Le Mans1912763%88.183.8+4.3
8 Limoges20101050%74.778.4-3.8
9 Orleans21101148%86.282.8+3.4
10 Le Portel2291341%73.983.5-9.7
11 Roanne2391439%80.082.6-2.5
12 Nanterre2181338%82.882.7+0.0
13 Cholet2181338%81.582.1-0.7
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque2281436%76.781.7-5.0
15 Chalon/Saone2381535%79.485.0-5.5
16 Chalons-Reims2171433%81.086.9-6.0
17 Pau-Orthez2271532%80.486.3-5.9
18 Boulazac2021810%76.386.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans2329201688
Pau-Orthez1920241578
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