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Le Mans vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 100-106 (OT)
17-26 27-19 20-16 30-33 6-12
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.3
FranceLNBRound 4
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Le Mans v Pau-Orthez
31 Oct 2026
LMA106
POR97
28 Jan 2023
LMA97
POR75
16 Oct 2021
LMA100
POR106
01 May 2021
LMA88
POR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
92avg 83
A03/06
LNB
Boulazac
#18
W
98-83
98
83
+15
102avg 83
H06/06
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 83
A09/06
LNB
Nanterre
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 83
H12/06
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
92avg 83
A15/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 83
A21/06
LNB
Parma Perm
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H16/09
Champions League
Levallois
#3
W
83-65
83
65
+18
106avg 83
H02/10
LNB
Nanterre
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
103avg 83
H05/10
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
84avg 83
A10/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
26-20
16-29
25-14
26-23
25-19
22-23
25-18
19-21
20-24
23-14
24-31
17-18
23-25
27-20
28-23
15-30
24-20
29-19
20-15
16-25
19-22
20-22
24-28
13-20
23-18
16-21
17-23
22-18
16-12
30-14
15-21
18-14
17-28
23-19
28-14
18-23
23-18
16-24
13-16
166.8Avg total
84.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.773.7153.3+6.067%
Season at home (2)84.570.0154.5+14.5100%
Season away (1)70.081.0151.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)84.282.6166.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)77.480.0157.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.188.1167.2-9.012%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.584.2171.6+3.369%
vs Weaker (8)85.181.9167.0+3.262%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#13
W
72-58
72
58
+14
76avg 76
A25/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
80-64
80
64
+16
77avg 76
H29/05
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 76
H03/06
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
99-86
99
86
+13
101avg 76
H06/06
LNB
Boulazac
#18
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 76
A09/06
LNB
Cholet
#14
W
73-62
73
62
+11
70avg 76
H12/06
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
100-80
100
80
+20
99avg 76
A15/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
71-79
71
79
-8
78avg 76
H02/10
LNB
Cholet
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
92avg 76
A05/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H09/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
13-14
19-12
18-22
21-24
16-16
25-12
18-12
18-15
15-16
20-26
25-13
22-17
22-19
27-23
28-27
31-14
8-21
27-21
20-22
15-15
27-9
19-18
12-20
20-23
22-15
33-11
25-31
20-19
16-24
20-12
15-24
23-14
16-19
15-17
26-27
24-21
23-16
29-16
16-14
155.2Avg total
83.1Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.074.3155.3+6.767%
Season at home (2)81.573.0154.5+8.550%
Season away (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.172.1155.2+11.090%
Last 5 (5)83.273.0156.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.188.5167.6-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.984.2164.1-4.350%
vs Weaker (6)86.769.2155.8+17.5100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
Le MansPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A03/06
LNB
Boulazac
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H06/06
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A09/06
LNB
Nanterre
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/06
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A21/06
LNB
Parma Perm
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/09
Champions League
Levallois
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H02/10
LNB
Nanterre
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H05/10
LNB
Monaco
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/10
LNB
81.9Avg total
40.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.284.8+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.940.083.9+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.485.7-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.881.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.543.482.9-3.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.441.885.2+1.646%-
vs Weaker (8)45.242.287.5+3.038%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#13
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A25/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H29/05
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/06
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H06/06
LNB
Boulazac
#18
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/06
LNB
Cholet
#14
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H12/06
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/10
LNB
Cholet
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/10
LNB
73.5Avg total
39.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.280.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.277.8+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.682.6-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.173.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.076.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.942.180.0-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.540.781.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (6)41.336.077.3+5.383%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.3
57.2%
53.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.2
37.6%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
74.1%14.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.3
55.8%
53.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.612.2
41.2%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws13.911.5
82.7%
74.1%11.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
LWWLLWWLWW
Pau-Orthez
WWLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#6
+1.6
Net rating
+16.1
110.3
Offensive rating
114.5
108.7
Defensive rating
98.5
56.9%
Effective FG%
58.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.0%
Turnover %
20.6%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.6%
3-point %
41.2%
65.9%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 114.5Defence108.7 · 98.5Shooting56.9% · 58.7%3-point %37.6% · 41.2%Ball care20.0% · 20.6%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Le Mans   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Le Mans wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
01/05/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez88-78
28/10/20Pau-Orthez v Le Mans90-81 OT
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21AMonaco70-81
05/10/21HNanterre86-75
02/10/21HLevallois83-65
16/09/21HParma Perm69-82
21/06/21ALyon-Villeurbanne79-97
15/06/21ALimoges88-84
12/06/21HNanterre95-86
09/06/21ADijon86-90
06/06/21HBoulazac98-83
03/06/21AStrasbourg88-83
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/21HChalons-Reims92-67
05/10/21ACholet80-77
02/10/21HJL Bourg71-79
15/06/21AGravelines-Dunkerque100-80
12/06/21HCholet73-62
09/06/21ABoulazac86-78
06/06/21HChalon/Saone99-86
03/06/21HLimoges78-70
29/05/21HGravelines-Dunkerque80-64
25/05/21ALe Portel72-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.784.570.0
Allowed / game73.770.081.0
Point differential+6.0+14.5-11.0
Avg total153.3154.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game81.081.580.0
Allowed / game74.373.077.0
Point differential+6.7+8.5+3.0
Avg total155.3154.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lyon-Villeurbanne330100%83.366.3+17.0
2 Chalons-Reims43175%91.576.8+14.8
3 Levallois43175%87.276.2+11.0
4 JL Bourg43175%70.867.2+3.5
5 Pau-Orthez32167%81.074.3+6.7
6 Le Mans32167%79.773.7+6.0
7 Monaco32167%80.784.3-3.7
8 Limoges42250%77.870.2+7.5
9 Gravelines-Dunkerque42250%77.577.2+0.2
10 Dijon21150%71.575.5-4.0
11 Nanterre42250%81.589.2-7.8
12 Fos-sur-Mer31233%71.071.3-0.3
13 Orleans31233%70.784.3-13.7
14 Cholet41325%78.881.5-2.8
15 Paris41325%85.591.2-5.8
16 Roanne41325%81.893.8-12.0
17 Le Portel41325%73.887.2-13.5
18 Strasbourg2020%65.069.5-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Le Mans172720306100
Pau-Orthez2619163312106
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