PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leicester Riders vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-78
15-16 21-23 13-17 24-22
Position#10
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.0
United KingdomSLB· Mattioli Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers
12 Feb 2027
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
09 Oct 2026
LRI73
BRIS78
05 Apr 2026
LRI85
BRIS78
30 Dec 2025
LRI85
BRIS73
05 May 2025
LRI86
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
LRI94
BRIS59
27 Dec 2024
LRI83
BRIS74
27 Sep 2024
LRI91
BRIS69
04 Apr 2024
LRI77
BRIS89
05 Jan 2024
LRI95
BRIS74
28 Dec 2023
LRI81
BRIS87
07 May 2023
LRI75
BRIS79
31 Mar 2023
LRI106
BRIS89
28 Oct 2022
LRI91
BRIS73
25 Mar 2022
LRI87
BRIS82
24 Sep 2021
LRI84
BRIS85
05 May 2021
LRI92
BRIS79
03 May 2021
LRI85
BRIS56
30 Mar 2021
LRI54
BRIS80
18 Dec 2020
LRI85
BRIS73
08 Apr 2020
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
LRI64
BRIS63
13 May 2018
LRI76
BRIS68
20 Jan 2018
LRI86
BRIS57
06 Oct 2017
LRI79
BRIS59
25 Nov 2016
LRI79
BRIS65
26 Mar 2016
LRI90
BRIS52
22 Dec 2015
LRI76
BRIS64
26 Oct 2014
LRI83
BRIS54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leicester Riders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
88avg 79
A19/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
78avg 79
H21/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
93avg 79
A24/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
61avg 79
A26/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 79
H01/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
97-87
97
87
+10
90avg 79
A03/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 79
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 79
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
92avg 79
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 79
A02/10
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
21-24
20-19
21-21
19-25
28-22
14-21
26-17
16-17
18-14
13-17
20-19
17-29
19-20
24-22
17-27
18-27
23-24
22-10
15-20
20-15
27-20
29-21
21-31
17-25
11-24
25-11
17-29
24-16
21-23
13-19
7-20
18-30
19-25
23-28
34-25
10-20
17-23
16-14
23-14
168.3Avg total
82.0Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.089.5169.5-9.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)80.089.5169.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)82.086.3168.3-4.340%
Last 5 (5)78.486.6165.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.488.4170.8-6.129%
vs Similar (9)87.687.3174.9+0.267%
vs Weaker (3)86.792.7179.3-6.033%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Surrey 89ers
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 74
H19/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 74
A24/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
101avg 74
H26/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
95-98
95
98
-3
95avg 74
A30/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 74
H03/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
65avg 74
H18/09
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
101-92
101
92
+9
91avg 74
A20/09
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
61avg 74
A25/09
SLB
Tindastoll
#2
L
68-85
68
85
-17
51avg 74
H30/09
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#5
W
76-58
76
58
+18
65avg 74
H02/10
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
12-16
26-26
20-29
16-24
27-18
26-20
22-20
32-21
17-23
20-12
25-19
23-21
27-26
22-26
23-25
12-23
34-22
17-15
22-30
18-17
20-28
23-18
17-17
33-29
21-23
26-22
21-18
16-29
15-26
18-22
19-17
20-22
8-23
19-23
21-17
20-15
16-20
30-7
10-16
167.8Avg total
83.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.881.0161.8-0.250%
Season at home (2)77.069.0146.0+8.050%
Season away (2)84.593.0177.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)83.584.3167.8-0.840%
Last 5 (5)78.281.8160.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.490.0163.4-16.60%
vs Similar (20)84.084.1168.1-0.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)86.586.5173.0+0.050%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Leicester RidersBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A19/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A26/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H01/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A03/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/10
SLB
83.2Avg total
39.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.186.1-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.645.388.9-1.721%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.183.8-2.556%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.983.2-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.281.0-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.646.487.1-5.824%-
vs Similar (9)42.742.084.7+0.756%-
vs Weaker (3)42.739.081.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Surrey 89ers
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H19/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A24/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H26/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A30/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H18/09
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A20/09
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/09
SLB
Tindastoll
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H30/09
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
SLB
85.2Avg total
40.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.481.9-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.179.8-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.344.784.0-5.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.485.2-3.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.483.8-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.145.681.7-9.429%-
vs Similar (20)41.041.282.3-0.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.540.580.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.1
54.5%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.2
33.3%
34.8%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.0
74.4%
70.7%18.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.7
51.4%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.3
36.2%
34.8%33.9
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
70.7%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leicester Riders
LLLLWLLWWW
Bristol Flyers
WLLWLLLWWL
#10
League position
#4
-5.1
Net rating
-0.7
92.2
Offensive rating
94.5
97.2
Defensive rating
95.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.3%
3-point %
36.2%
54.8%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 94.5Defence97.2 · 95.2Shooting52.9% · 52.7%3-point %33.3% · 36.2%Ball care17.3% · 14.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Leicester Riders   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26ALondon Lions66-71
27/09/26ACheshire Phoenix94-108
10/05/26ALondon Lions65-78
07/05/26HLondon Lions70-89
03/05/26ASheffield Sharks97-87
01/05/26HSheffield Sharks78-81
26/04/26ACheshire Phoenix77-98
24/04/26ANewcastle Eagles94-86 OT
21/04/26HSheffield Sharks87-85
19/04/26ASheffield Sharks92-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26HManchester Basketball76-58
30/09/26HTindastoll68-85
25/09/26ANewcastle Eagles68-94
20/09/26ACheshire Phoenix101-92
18/09/26HLondon Lions78-80
03/05/26HManchester Basketball85-90
30/04/26AManchester Basketball95-98
26/04/26HNewcastle Eagles94-75
24/04/26ACaledonia Gladiators91-82
19/04/26HSurrey 89ers79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leicester Riders
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game89.5-89.5
Point differential-9.5--9.5
Avg total169.5-169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Bristol Flyers
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.877.084.5
Allowed / game81.069.093.0
Point differential-0.2+8.0-8.5
Avg total161.8146.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sheffield Sharks110100%98.076.0+22.0
2 London Lions550100%80.870.0+10.8
3 Newcastle Eagles32167%87.073.0+14.0
4 Bristol Flyers42250%80.881.0-0.2
5 Cheshire Phoenix31233%93.795.3-1.7
6 Manchester Basketball31233%67.072.0-5.0
7 Liverpool31233%65.073.3-8.3
8 Caledonia Gladiators31233%73.787.3-13.7
9 Leicester Riders2020%80.089.5-9.5
10 Surrey 89ers1010%67.079.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leicester Riders1521132473
Bristol Flyers1623172278
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.