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Leicester Riders vs Bristol Flyers Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.5
United KingdomSLB· Mattioli Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers
12 Feb 2027
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
09 Oct 2026
LRI73
BRIS78
05 Apr 2026
LRI85
BRIS78
30 Dec 2025
LRI85
BRIS73
05 May 2025
LRI86
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
LRI94
BRIS59
27 Dec 2024
LRI83
BRIS74
27 Sep 2024
LRI91
BRIS69
04 Apr 2024
LRI77
BRIS89
05 Jan 2024
LRI95
BRIS74
28 Dec 2023
LRI81
BRIS87
07 May 2023
LRI75
BRIS79
31 Mar 2023
LRI106
BRIS89
28 Oct 2022
LRI91
BRIS73
25 Mar 2022
LRI87
BRIS82
24 Sep 2021
LRI84
BRIS85
05 May 2021
LRI92
BRIS79
03 May 2021
LRI85
BRIS56
30 Mar 2021
LRI54
BRIS80
18 Dec 2020
LRI85
BRIS73
08 Apr 2020
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
LRI64
BRIS63
13 May 2018
LRI76
BRIS68
20 Jan 2018
LRI86
BRIS57
06 Oct 2017
LRI79
BRIS59
25 Nov 2016
LRI79
BRIS65
26 Mar 2016
LRI90
BRIS52
22 Dec 2015
LRI76
BRIS64
26 Oct 2014
LRI83
BRIS54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leicester Riders win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 75
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
92avg 75
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 75
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 75
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 75
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
94avg 75
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 75
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
75avg 75
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A06/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-23
13-19
7-20
18-30
19-25
23-28
34-25
10-20
17-23
16-14
23-14
15-16
21-23
13-17
24-22
22-30
19-13
21-19
13-23
23-18
24-33
23-22
23-20
28-31
20-17
20-25
19-16
17-26
21-22
20-23
22-30
20-22
21-17
29-18
27-19
25-24
25-14
23-25
18-17
170.3Avg total
83.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.088.3173.3-3.322%
Season at home (3)80.089.3169.3-9.30%
Season away (6)87.587.8175.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)83.087.3170.3-4.320%
Last 5 (5)91.490.6182.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.187.1168.2-5.927%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.791.2178.9-3.536%
vs Weaker (4)87.889.5177.2-1.850%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 74
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
68avg 74
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 74
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 74
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 74
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 74
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
53-68
53
68
-15
no box
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
23-21
17-13
22-24
26-24
13-21
22-34
23-27
25-22
18-27
28-15
19-25
8-17
20-20
17-24
31-21
19-20
21-8
18-28
27-16
23-24
12-11
18-24
21-19
28-12
15-27
17-17
21-9
17-20
19-13
4-17
13-18
21-18
21-25
25-8
14-15
25-20
16-26
23-25
22-13
157.1Avg total
78.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.378.5156.7-0.255%
Season at home (5)74.274.6148.8-0.440%
Season away (6)81.781.7163.3+0.067%
Last 10 (10)78.878.3157.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)75.072.2147.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.588.3163.8-12.810%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.782.6164.3-0.947%
vs Weaker (3)85.773.3159.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Leicester RidersBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A15/11
SLB
85.3Avg total
41.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.4-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.446.587.8-5.18%-
Last 30 away (17)40.942.583.5-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.385.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.745.685.3-5.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.944.486.3-2.527%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.883.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
SLB
77.7Avg total
38.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.1-2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.380.3-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.843.181.9-4.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.177.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.344.080.3-7.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.941.181.9-0.259%-
vs Weaker (3)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
70.8%16.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.1
48.7%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.8
34.1%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.6
74.6%
70.8%12.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leicester Riders
WWLLLLLLLL
Bristol Flyers
WWLWLWLWLW
#10
League position
#3
-10.6
Net rating
-3.9
92.7
Offensive rating
89.2
103.4
Defensive rating
93.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.0%
3-point %
34.1%
57.0%
Assist %
52.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 89.2Defence103.4 · 93.1Shooting52.6% · 49.9%3-point %35.0% · 34.1%Ball care16.5% · 15.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Leicester Riders   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACaledonia Gladiators91-80
06/11/26ALondon Lions97-76
30/10/26HNewcastle Eagles80-101
23/10/26HManchester Basketball87-89
17/10/26ASurrey 89ers102-107 OT
11/10/26ASheffield Sharks75-85
09/10/26HBristol Flyers73-78
02/10/26ALondon Lions66-71
27/09/26ACheshire Phoenix94-108
10/05/26ALondon Lions65-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AManchester Basketball86-84
11/11/26HDubrava81-66
08/11/26HSurrey 89ers53-68
06/11/26ANewcastle Eagles81-65
30/10/26HManchester Basketball74-78
27/10/26ABK Liepaja85-72
24/10/26ALondon Lions76-82
18/10/26HLiverpool90-89
13/10/26ASyntainics MBC84-106
09/10/26ALeicester Riders78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leicester Riders
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW22%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %22%0%33%
Points / game85.080.087.5
Allowed / game88.389.387.8
Point differential-3.3-9.3-0.3
Avg total173.3169.3175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%17%
Bristol Flyers
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game78.374.281.7
Allowed / game78.574.681.7
Point differential-0.2-0.4+0.0
Avg total156.7148.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions109190%81.475.9+5.5
2 Newcastle Eagles117464%85.175.2+9.9
3 Bristol Flyers116555%78.378.5-0.2
4 Liverpool105550%83.982.7+1.2
5 Sheffield Sharks84450%81.881.4+0.4
6 Manchester Basketball115645%81.583.5-1.9
7 Cheshire Phoenix104640%91.594.4-2.9
8 Surrey 89ers83538%78.981.6-2.8
9 Caledonia Gladiators83538%83.492.8-9.4
10 Leicester Riders92722%85.088.3-3.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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