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Leiden vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-64
15-13 16-16 23-20 18-15
Position#5
Record10-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game69.7
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record6-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game71.7
EuropeBNXT League· Vijf Meihal (Leiden)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leiden v BAL Weert
31 Jan 2026
LEI80
BAL 65
05 Apr 2025
LEI85
BAL 81
27 Jan 2024
LEI72
BAL 64
19 Nov 2022
LEI99
BAL 43
05 Jan 2022
LEI94
BAL 68
11 May 2021
LEI97
BAL 71
20 Jan 2021
LEI96
BAL 69
14 Mar 2020
LEI v BAL
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
LEI93
BAL 70
02 Apr 2019
LEI103
BAL 84
24 Nov 2018
LEI100
BAL 73
03 Feb 2018
LEI74
BAL 70
14 Oct 2017
LEI101
BAL 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
74avg 69
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A16/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
55-70
55
70
-15
47avg 69
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
78-58
78
58
+20
76avg 69
H06/01
BNXT League
Chemnitz
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
46avg 69
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
75avg 69
A14/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
W
70-58
70
58
+12
no box
H18/01
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-87 OT
72
87
-15
no box
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
77-90
77
90
-13
76avg 69
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
20-27
19-21
24-13
18-13
21-14
28-15
14-23
10-17
12-13
22-15
20-29
13-18
10-11
16-19
16-22
17-14
29-11
12-19
20-14
13-17
7-27
20-24
18-20
22-15
10-14
22-23
22-19
21-12
15-22
13-16
21-8
21-21
10-17
14-21
21-19
27-21
16-24
13-20
21-25
145.3Avg total
71.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.169.7147.8+8.477%
Season at home (6)77.765.8143.5+11.883%
Season away (7)78.473.0151.4+5.471%
Last 10 (10)71.374.0145.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)70.678.8149.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.878.8144.5-13.025%
vs Similar (10)74.872.3147.1+2.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.867.2152.0+17.689%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 62
H04/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 62
H18/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
85-68
85
68
+17
80avg 62
H25/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
55-80
55
80
-25
44avg 62
A29/11
BNXT League
De Groene Uilen
#12
W
78-43
78
43
+35
no box
A02/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
H16/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
56-82
56
82
-26
no box
A17/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
L
59-64
59
64
-5
45avg 62
H23/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
82-68
82
68
+14
75avg 62
A06/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
58avg 62
H13/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-21
15-29
17-18
25-23
17-26
18-16
13-14
22-15
22-17
19-14
22-22
13-16
9-13
20-31
13-20
–
–
–
–
13-21
14-19
20-22
15-13
22-26
17-13
9-22
8-21
20-23
12-16
5-11
22-14
25-10
17-20
27-23
13-15
21-13
17-11
16-15
6-26
139.3Avg total
68.1Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.271.7142.8-0.550%
Season at home (6)70.772.2142.8-1.533%
Season away (6)71.771.2142.8+0.567%
Last 10 (10)68.171.2139.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)63.870.8134.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.479.1145.5-12.722%
vs Similar (4)79.273.8153.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (2)79.064.5143.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
LeidenBAL Weert
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A16/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H06/01
BNXT League
Chemnitz
#2
L
20-44
20
44
-24
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A14/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/01
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
67.7Avg total
33.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.034.471.4+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.933.969.9+2.064%-
Last 30 away (15)38.034.872.8+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)33.134.667.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.070.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.239.570.8-8.225%-
vs Similar (10)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.831.974.7+10.989%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H18/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A29/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H16/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H23/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H13/01
BNXT League
72.0Avg total
36.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.039.274.2-4.234%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.336.973.2-0.643%-
Last 30 away (15)33.741.375.1-7.627%-
Last 10 (9)36.135.972.0+0.233%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.470.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.139.472.6-6.326%-
vs Similar (4)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)39.531.070.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.1
47.0%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.0
37.0%
33.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.58.9
65.9%
71.4%8.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.1
50.5%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.3
30.7%
33.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.99.8
61.6%
71.4%9.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LLWWLWLLWW
BAL Weert
LWLLLWLWLL
#5
League position
#15
-4.3
Net rating
-2.6
101.0
Offensive rating
95.1
105.3
Defensive rating
97.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.0%
3-point %
30.7%
68.3%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 95.1Defence105.3 · 97.7Shooting49.8% · 49.0%3-point %37.0% · 30.7%Ball care15.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Leiden   ■ BAL Weert
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Leiden wins
2
BAL Weert wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23BAL Weert v Leiden71-88
04/02/23BAL Weert v Leiden58-72
19/11/22Leiden v BAL Weert99-43
05/01/22Leiden v BAL Weert94-68
06/11/21BAL Weert v Leiden59-85
11/05/21Leiden v BAL Weert97-71
08/05/21BAL Weert v Leiden77-86
28/04/21BAL Weert v Leiden90-87
20/01/21Leiden v BAL Weert96-69
11/01/20BAL Weert v Leiden84-77
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ACSM Oradea77-90
21/01/24ADen Bosch72-87 OT
18/01/24HDen Bosch70-58
14/01/24AZwolle76-71
10/01/24HChemnitz58-88
06/01/24HFeyenoord78-58
23/12/23HDen Bosch55-70
20/12/23HQSTA Utd64-74
16/12/23AQSTA Utd81-65
13/12/23AVarese82-79
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HDen Bosch60-65
06/01/24ALWD Basket82-68
23/12/23HDonar Groningen59-64
17/12/23ADen Bosch56-82
16/12/23HDen Bosch62-75
02/12/23ADe Groene Uilen78-43
29/11/23ADen Bosch55-80
25/11/23HDen Helder85-68
18/11/23HFeyenoord73-79
04/11/23HLeiden71-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW77%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game78.177.778.4
Allowed / game69.765.873.0
Point differential+8.4+11.8+5.4
Avg total147.8143.5151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BAL Weert
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game71.270.771.7
Allowed / game71.772.271.2
Point differential-0.5-1.5+0.5
Avg total142.8142.8142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1312192%80.066.1+13.9
2 Oostende1513287%77.570.4+7.1
3 Antwerp Giants1613381%82.671.9+10.7
4 Leiden1310377%78.169.7+8.4
5 Limburg1612475%78.270.4+7.8
6 Zwolle128467%78.068.1+9.9
7 Donar Groningen138562%72.665.5+7.1
8 Liege169756%77.077.2-0.2
9 Circus Brussels168850%78.277.4+0.9
10 Mechelen168850%75.975.1+0.8
11 Kortrijk168850%79.579.9-0.4
12 BAL Weert126650%71.271.7-0.5
13 Spirou Charleroi178947%72.274.9-2.8
14 Feyenoord135838%74.181.4-7.3
15 Belfius Mons1851328%73.380.8-7.5
16 Leuven Bears1641225%74.478.7-4.3
17 QSTA Utd1331023%71.882.7-10.8
18 Den Helder1331023%65.678.4-12.8
19 LWD Basket1221017%72.079.8-7.8
20 Okapi Aalst161156%75.285.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1516231872
BAL Weert1316201564
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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