Leiden vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 May 2021

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 97-71

26-22 28-17 17-14 26-18

Position#1

Record18-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game79.6

Leiden 🏆

BAL Weert

Position#6

Record12-10

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game76.0

DBLDBL - Quarter-finals

Other2020-21

Meetings · Leiden v BAL Weert

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BAL Weert winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

96-91

H20/03

DBL

Den Bosch

90-106

106

-16

A27/03

DBL

Zwolle

96-93

H31/03

DBL

Feyenoord

96-92

A03/04

DBL

Den Helder

90-81

H07/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

96-72

+24

A10/04

DBL

Den Bosch

78-86

-8

H17/04

DBL

Zwolle

79-58

+21

A22/04

DBL

BAL Weert

87-90

-3

A28/04

DBL Cup

BAL Weert

86-77

A08/05

DBL

26-28

29-16

20-24

21-23

18-27

22-23

23-30

27-26

24-24

21-24

25-19

26-26

19-30

26-19

26-15

25-28

24-26

20-20

21-21

25-14

33-15

25-18

26-17

12-22

21-27

22-20

17-16

18-23

20-16

31-7

8-19

19-24

22-22

23-18

23-26

26-23

22-17

21-17

17-20

174.0Avg total

89.4Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	91.0	79.6	170.6	+11.4	82%
Season at home (11)	91.7	78.4	170.1	+13.4	82%
Season away (11)	90.3	80.8	171.1	+9.5	82%
Last 10 (10)	89.4	84.6	174.0	+4.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	76.6	161.8	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	83.8	83.0	166.8	+0.8	50%
vs Similar (3)	96.7	76.7	173.3	+20.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	88.3	80.0	168.3	+8.3	73%

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BAL Weert

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almere

#12

96-58

+38

H03/04

DBL

Amsterdam

64-59 OT

A07/04

DBL

LWD Basket

#11

72-57

+15

A10/04

DBL

Hague

#10

75-49

+26

H17/04

DBL

QSTA Utd

79-86

-7

A21/04

DBL

Almere

#11

114-51

114

+63

H24/04

DBL Cup

Leiden

90-87

H28/04

DBL Cup

Feyenoord

84-79

H30/04

DBL Cup

QSTA Utd

98-88

+10

A02/05

DBL Cup

Leiden

77-86

-9

H08/05

DBL

22-13

30-7

24-23

20-15

12-15

4-7

17-16

17-12

8-16

23-9

15-19

26-13

16-18

22-11

13-12

24-8

20-24

22-23

20-17

17-22

32-5

33-19

24-10

25-17

24-19

22-22

18-23

26-23

18-18

19-21

24-18

23-22

26-22

23-21

24-28

25-17

23-26

17-22

17-21

20-17

154.9Avg total

84.9Scored

70.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	80.0	76.0	156.0	+4.0	55%
Season at home (11)	81.8	73.5	155.3	+8.4	55%
Season away (11)	78.1	78.5	156.6	-0.5	55%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	70.0	154.9	+14.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	92.6	78.2	170.8	+14.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.0	87.1	159.1	-15.1	0%
vs Similar (5)	73.6	76.2	149.8	-2.6	40%
vs Weaker (15)	84.0	69.7	153.7	+14.3	87%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LeidenBAL Weert

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.6	43.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	20.1	43.1	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	26.0	20.3	46.3	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	15.0	34.1	+4.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.7	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.1	39.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.5	42.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	17.0	41.3	+7.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.7	37.9	+2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	16.2	37.7	+5.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.8	15.2	37.0	+6.6	67%	-

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

55-44

+11

H20/03

DBL

Den Bosch

40-50

-10

A27/03

DBL

Zwolle

45-48

-3

H31/03

DBL

Feyenoord

45-49

-4

A03/04

DBL

Den Helder

44-46

-2

H07/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

58-33

+25

A10/04

DBL

Den Bosch

43-47

-4

H17/04

DBL

Zwolle

40-32

A22/04

DBL

BAL Weert

41-46

-5

A28/04

DBL Cup

BAL Weert

48-40

A08/05

DBL

89.4Avg total

45.9Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	39.9	84.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	40.8	85.2	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.8	39.2	83.0	+4.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	43.5	89.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	39.6	85.6	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.5	38.8	83.2	+5.8	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	50.3	37.3	87.7	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.3	40.2	83.5	+3.1	50%	-

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almere

#12

52-20

+32

H03/04

DBL

Amsterdam

16-22

-6

A07/04

DBL

LWD Basket

#11

31-25

A10/04

DBL

Hague

#10

38-29

H17/04

DBL

QSTA Utd

42-47

-5

A21/04

DBL

Almere

#11

65-24

+41

H24/04

DBL Cup

Leiden

46-41

H28/04

DBL Cup

Feyenoord

37-39

-2

H30/04

DBL Cup

QSTA Utd

49-43

A02/05

DBL Cup

Leiden

40-48

-8

H08/05

DBL

75.4Avg total

41.6Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	35.3	74.7	+4.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.2	32.5	72.7	+7.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	39.0	77.2	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	33.8	75.4	+7.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	39.0	86.4	+8.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.3	31.9	72.2	+8.3	67%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.1	41.4	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.4	41.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	15.0	38.6	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	19.7	43.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	18.6	42.1	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.7	42.9	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	22.0	37.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	24.5	44.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	16.6	38.9	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.2	43.0	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.1	25.1	42.2	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.3	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.1	84.2	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	37.9	83.5	+7.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	42.1	84.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	41.1	84.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.0	76.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	44.2	83.5	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	46.3	39.3	85.7	+7.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.5	39.3	83.9	+5.2	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.1	39.4	79.5	+0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	35.3	77.2	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.2	84.4	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.2	45.5	80.8	-10.2	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	36.6	73.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.8	37.2	80.0	+5.6	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leiden wins

BAL Weert wins

Date	Game	Score
08/05/21	BAL Weert v Leiden	77-86
28/04/21	BAL Weert v Leiden	90-87
20/01/21	Leiden v BAL Weert	96-69
11/01/20	BAL Weert v Leiden	84-77
19/10/19	Leiden v BAL Weert	93-70
02/04/19	Leiden v BAL Weert	103-84
27/01/19	BAL Weert v Leiden	55-97
24/11/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	100-73
14/10/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	65-82
03/04/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	46-75

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/05/21	A	BAL Weert	86-77
28/04/21	A	BAL Weert	87-90
22/04/21	A	Zwolle	79-58
17/04/21	H	Den Bosch	78-86
10/04/21	A	Donar Groningen	96-72
07/04/21	H	Den Helder	90-81
03/04/21	A	Feyenoord	96-92
31/03/21	H	Zwolle	96-93
27/03/21	A	Den Bosch	90-106
20/03/21	H	Donar Groningen	96-91

BAL Weertlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/05/21	H	Leiden	77-86
02/05/21	A	QSTA Utd	98-88
30/04/21	H	Feyenoord	84-79
28/04/21	H	Leiden	90-87
24/04/21	H	Almere	114-51
21/04/21	A	QSTA Utd	79-86
17/04/21	H	Hague	75-49
10/04/21	A	LWD Basket	72-57
07/04/21	A	Amsterdam	64-59 OT
03/04/21	H	Almere	96-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden

DBL 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	WWWWL	82%
Away	LWWWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	82%	82%	82%
Points / game	91.0	91.7	90.3
Allowed / game	79.6	78.4	80.8
Point differential	+11.4	+13.4	+9.5
Avg total	170.6	170.1	171.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	45%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

BAL Weert

DBL 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	55%
Home	WLWWL	55%
Away	WLWWL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	55%	55%	55%
Points / game	80.0	81.8	78.1
Allowed / game	76.0	73.5	78.5
Point differential	+4.0	+8.4	-0.5
Avg total	156.0	155.3	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	55%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leiden	22	18	4	82%	91.0	79.6	+11.4
2	QSTA Utd	23	17	6	74%	83.4	75.6	+7.9
3	Donar Groningen	25	18	7	72%	87.5	74.1	+13.4
4	Den Bosch	24	17	7	71%	88.3	78.2	+10.1
5	Zwolle	23	15	8	65%	83.4	76.4	+7.0
6	BAL Weert	22	12	10	55%	80.0	76.0	+4.0
7	Feyenoord	24	11	13	46%	82.1	76.7	+5.4
8	Den Helder	23	9	14	39%	81.0	87.7	-6.7
9	Amsterdam	22	6	16	27%	71.6	80.7	-9.1
10	Hague	22	6	16	27%	65.4	78.6	-13.3
11	LWD Basket	22	5	17	23%	66.7	76.9	-10.2
12	Almere	22	3	19	14%	71.2	94.7	-23.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leiden	26	28	17	26	97
BAL Weert	22	17	14	18	71

← all games of the day

Leiden vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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