Leiden vs BAL Weert Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 19:00

Postponed

Position#4

Record12-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game77.3

Leiden

BAL Weert

Position#6

Record9-15

FormWLLLW

Points / game67.0

Allowed / game76.2

DBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Leiden v BAL Weert

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

BAL Weert win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

90-79

+11

H21/12

DBL

Feyenoord

96-81

+15

H04/01

DBL

BAL Weert

77-84

-7

A11/01

DBL

Zwolle

92-98

-6

H18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

81-73

H01/02

DBL

LWD Basket

60-64

-4

A08/02

DBL

Den Bosch

78-69

H29/02

DBL

Den Helder

75-91

-16

A05/03

DBL

Zwolle

84-92

-8

A08/03

DBL

Amsterdam

95-84

+11

A11/03

DBL

15-28

18-26

30-13

27-12

36-12

21-23

20-14

19-32

26-20

19-22

16-26

16-16

25-17

28-25

23-30

16-26

18-14

23-21

15-17

25-21

14-15

10-10

15-22

21-17

19-19

20-18

19-12

20-20

20-16

18-26

19-23

18-26

22-23

23-18

19-20

20-31

24-22

32-16

24-23

15-23

164.3Avg total

82.8Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	79.3	77.3	156.6	+2.0	57%
Season at home (11)	84.9	75.3	160.2	+9.6	82%
Season away (10)	73.1	79.6	152.7	-6.5	30%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	81.5	164.3	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	80.0	158.4	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.7	84.9	166.6	-3.2	44%
vs Similar (8)	78.4	76.8	155.1	+1.6	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	79.2	70.0	149.2	+9.2	67%

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BAL Weert

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

54-91

-37

A04/01

DBL

Leiden

84-77

H11/01

DBL

LWD Basket

48-60

-12

A18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

48-97

-49

H25/01

DBL

Feyenoord

77-61

+16

H01/02

DBL

Den Bosch

83-76

A08/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

53-76

-23

H27/02

DBL

Amsterdam

75-76

-1

A29/02

DBL

LWD Basket

59-60

-1

H05/03

DBL

Den Helder

76-73

H07/03

DBL

16-19

6-29

13-24

19-19

20-26

22-19

26-16

16-16

15-13

14-8

12-15

7-24

8-22

13-22

11-27

16-26

24-20

20-13

18-13

15-15

24-8

14-24

21-20

24-24

17-14

15-22

5-23

16-17

24-14

18-21

23-19

10-22

14-18

14-16

13-14

18-12

15-13

17-20

25-15

19-25

140.4Avg total

65.7Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	67.0	76.2	143.1	-9.2	38%
Season at home (12)	66.9	75.7	142.6	-8.8	42%
Season away (12)	67.0	76.7	143.7	-9.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	65.7	74.7	140.4	-9.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	72.2	141.4	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	66.5	81.0	147.5	-14.5	25%
vs Similar (10)	70.2	68.8	139.0	+1.4	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LeidenBAL Weert

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	18.4	39.9	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.5	41.4	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.7	34.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	13.4	32.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.6	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	14.8	34.3	+4.7	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.7	38.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.4	20.3	42.8	+2.1	78%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.7	17.8	39.5	+3.9	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	19.0	34.5	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.6	18.9	34.5	-3.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.5	19.0	34.5	-3.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	19.4	34.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.6	36.2	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.4	19.8	35.2	-4.3	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	15.8	17.4	33.2	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

33-54

-21

H21/12

DBL

Feyenoord

57-35

+22

H04/01

DBL

BAL Weert

45-42

A11/01

DBL

Zwolle

53-42

+11

H18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

41-35

H01/02

DBL

LWD Basket

24-25

-1

A08/02

DBL

Den Bosch

39-37

H29/02

DBL

Den Helder

38-42

-4

A05/03

DBL

Zwolle

45-41

A08/03

DBL

Amsterdam

56-38

+18

A11/03

DBL

82.2Avg total

43.1Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.4	37.3	79.8	+5.1	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	36.1	79.7	+7.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	38.6	79.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.1	82.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.6	77.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.4	39.7	83.1	+3.8	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.0	34.6	75.6	+6.4	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.7	36.5	80.2	+7.3	73%	-

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

22-48

-26

A04/01

DBL

Leiden

42-45

-3

H11/01

DBL

LWD Basket

29-21

A18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

21-44

-23

H25/01

DBL

Feyenoord

44-33

+11

H01/02

DBL

Den Bosch

38-32

A08/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

32-36

-4

H27/02

DBL

Amsterdam

42-35

A29/02

DBL

LWD Basket

28-34

-6

H05/03

DBL

Den Helder

32-33

-1

H07/03

DBL

69.1Avg total

33.0Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.7	37.3	71.0	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.6	35.3	69.9	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.0	38.8	71.8	-5.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	36.1	69.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	34.0	68.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	32.9	39.8	72.7	-6.9	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.3	32.2	67.5	+3.1	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	21.0	40.5	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.5	38.7	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.7	42.4	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	23.4	43.6	-3.3	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.4	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.7	20.6	37.2	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	16.9	35.7	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.7	40.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	21.8	39.9	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	21.1	40.4	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	20.3	37.0	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.8	21.4	38.1	-4.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.9	20.6	37.5	-3.8	15%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.1	19.7	35.8	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	39.1	79.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	42.9	81.4	-4.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	42.4	82.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	43.4	81.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.2	45.2	83.4	-7.0	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	41.5	78.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.7	38.1	80.8	+4.6	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.0	39.7	73.7	-5.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.2	39.5	72.8	-6.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.6	39.8	74.4	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.7	38.6	71.3	-5.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	38.2	73.0	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	33.6	41.2	74.8	-7.6	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	34.9	36.6	71.5	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leiden wins

BAL Weert wins

Date	Game	Score
11/01/20	BAL Weert v Leiden	84-77
19/10/19	Leiden v BAL Weert	93-70
02/04/19	Leiden v BAL Weert	103-84
27/01/19	BAL Weert v Leiden	55-97
24/11/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	100-73
14/10/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	65-82
03/04/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	46-75
03/02/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	74-70
16/12/17	BAL Weert v Leiden	73-76
14/10/17	Leiden v BAL Weert	101-78

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/20	A	Amsterdam	95-84
08/03/20	A	Zwolle	84-92
05/03/20	A	Den Helder	75-91
29/02/20	H	Den Bosch	78-69
08/02/20	A	LWD Basket	60-64
01/02/20	H	Donar Groningen	81-73
18/01/20	H	Zwolle	92-98
11/01/20	A	BAL Weert	77-84
04/01/20	H	Feyenoord	96-81
21/12/19	H	Den Helder	90-79

BAL Weertlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	H	Den Helder	76-73
05/03/20	H	LWD Basket	59-60
29/02/20	A	Amsterdam	75-76
27/02/20	H	Donar Groningen	53-76
08/02/20	A	Den Bosch	83-76
01/02/20	H	Feyenoord	77-61
25/01/20	H	Donar Groningen	48-97
18/01/20	A	LWD Basket	48-60
11/01/20	H	Leiden	84-77
04/01/20	A	Donar Groningen	54-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	57%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	LLLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	57%	82%	30%
Points / game	79.3	84.9	73.1
Allowed / game	77.3	75.3	79.6
Point differential	+2.0	+9.6	-6.5
Avg total	156.6	160.2	152.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	55%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BAL Weert

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	38%
Home	LWLLW	42%
Away	WLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	38%	42%	33%
Points / game	67.0	66.9	67.0
Allowed / game	76.2	75.7	76.7
Point differential	-9.2	-8.8	-9.7
Avg total	143.1	142.6	143.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	20	17	3	85%	87.2	74.2	+13.0
2	Donar Groningen	22	17	5	77%	85.4	68.6	+16.7
3	Den Bosch	23	16	7	70%	84.0	70.4	+13.6
4	Leiden	21	12	9	57%	79.3	77.3	+2.0
5	Feyenoord	22	12	10	55%	78.0	77.0	+1.0
6	BAL Weert	24	9	15	38%	67.0	76.2	-9.2
7	Den Helder	23	7	16	30%	70.1	80.0	-9.8
8	LWD Basket	24	7	17	29%	64.5	75.2	-10.8
9	Amsterdam	23	4	19	17%	70.3	83.3	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Leiden vs BAL Weert Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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