PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leiden vs Belfius Mons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-70
16-21 24-15 17-19 28-15
Position#12
Record8-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game80.7
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record8-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Belfius Mons
17 Apr 2027
LEI v BMO
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
LEI107
BMO89
18 Jan 2025
LEI85
BMO70
13 Apr 2022
LEI74
BMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belfius Mons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 69
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
66-75
66
75
-9
49avg 69
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
84avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 69
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
116-57
116
57
+59
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 69
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 69
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
66avg 69
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
A11/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
24-14
31-21
14-17
15-17
21-13
16-25
14-20
11-20
21-18
21-22
28-21
8-19
24-23
18-24
19-15
28-14
37-12
23-16
28-15
26-25
18-28
19-20
20-18
18-17
20-21
13-21
15-12
26-19
14-15
17-16
16-19
17-21
21-11
17-24
20-18
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
155.6Avg total
80.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.480.7157.1-4.344%
Season at home (10)73.779.6153.3-5.930%
Season away (8)79.882.0161.8-2.262%
Last 10 (10)80.075.6155.6+4.450%
Last 5 (5)73.277.2150.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.782.2151.9-12.617%
vs Similar (8)84.080.1164.1+3.975%
vs Weaker (8)76.670.6147.2+6.088%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
113-111 OT
113
111
+2
118avg 77
A27/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
80avg 77
H02/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
63avg 77
A09/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A13/11
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 77
H16/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
62avg 77
A29/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
70-60
70
60
+10
62avg 77
A07/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 77
A13/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
101-72
101
72
+29
100avg 77
H20/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
80-93
80
93
-13
65avg 77
A11/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
25-30
24-25
24-22
19-19
21-26
22-24
20-22
18-17
16-20
17-20
17-22
–
–
–
–
22-16
24-17
23-24
22-20
16-29
21-24
14-18
26-20
15-21
21-12
19-12
15-15
19-25
16-11
19-17
16-22
22-19
24-18
31-17
24-18
16-29
17-31
22-20
25-13
167.2Avg total
83.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.679.2159.8+1.350%
Season at home (7)83.678.4162.0+5.157%
Season away (9)78.279.9158.1-1.744%
Last 10 (10)83.084.2167.2-1.240%
Last 5 (5)79.678.2157.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.081.2153.2-9.217%
vs Similar (12)80.878.2159.0+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.276.6164.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
LeidenBelfius Mons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
65-26
65
26
+39
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
76.1Avg total
40.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.475.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.636.176.7+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.236.774.9+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.576.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.478.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.841.278.1-4.425%-
vs Similar (8)41.536.878.2+4.875%-
vs Weaker (8)36.832.669.4+4.175%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A27/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H02/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A29/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A07/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A13/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A11/01
BNXT League
82.9Avg total
39.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.639.179.6+1.559%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.537.680.1+4.971%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.479.1-1.747%-
Last 10 (9)39.943.082.9-3.133%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.881.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.242.578.7-6.317%-
vs Similar (12)39.238.477.6+0.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.537.982.4+6.573%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
52.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.1
33.8%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.19.2
65.2%
71.9%9.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.723.7
50.7%
52.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.45.4
37.5%
34.1%16.2
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
71.9%18.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWLLWLWLW
Belfius Mons
LWLWLWLLLW
#12
League position
#9
-6.1
Net rating
+1.1
102.1
Offensive rating
110.1
108.2
Defensive rating
109.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.8%
3-point %
37.5%
70.1%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 110.1Defence108.2 · 109.0Shooting51.9% · 52.0%3-point %33.8% · 37.5%Ball care19.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Leiden   ■ Belfius Mons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leiden wins
0
Belfius Mons wins
DateGameScore
13/04/22Leiden v Belfius Mons74-66
12/03/22Belfius Mons v Leiden74-80
13/09/21Belfius Mons v Leiden74-76
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
05/01/25AQSTA Utd75-74
26/12/24ADen Bosch73-69
21/12/24HCircus Brussels66-71
14/12/24AOostende83-91
11/12/24AVoorburg116-57
07/12/24HMechelen69-81
01/12/24ALWD Basket95-92 OT
29/11/24HDen Helder66-75
16/11/24ABAL Weert88-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AOkapi Aalst80-93
20/12/24HLWD Basket101-72
13/12/24AAntwerp Giants70-75
07/12/24ALeuven Bears70-60
29/11/24AOostende77-91
16/11/24HDen Helder91-77
13/11/24AMechelen78-93
09/11/24AMechelen68-79
02/11/24HKortrijk82-91
27/10/24AQSTA Utd113-111 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%30%62%
Points / game76.473.779.8
Allowed / game80.779.682.0
Point differential-4.3-5.9-2.2
Avg total157.1153.3161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game80.683.678.2
Allowed / game79.278.479.9
Point differential+1.3+5.1-1.7
Avg total159.8162.0158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1715288%91.677.1+14.5
2 Kortrijk1814478%97.479.1+18.3
3 Limburg1712571%82.173.9+8.1
4 Mechelen1712571%80.675.0+5.6
5 Circus Brussels1811761%76.475.8+0.6
6 Antwerp Giants159660%79.378.5+0.9
7 Leuven Bears1710759%79.073.0+6.0
8 LWD Basket1710759%81.880.9+0.9
9 Spirou Charleroi169756%80.474.2+6.2
10 Okapi Aalst1810856%80.978.6+2.4
11 Belfius Mons168850%80.679.2+1.3
12 Leiden1881044%76.480.7-4.3
13 Den Bosch167944%79.681.8-2.2
14 Zwolle1771041%81.885.7-3.9
15 Donar Groningen1651131%75.284.0-8.8
16 Feyenoord1751229%81.089.2-8.2
17 Den Helder1851328%71.283.9-12.7
18 QSTA Utd1721512%77.387.8-10.5
19 BAL Weert1721512%68.883.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1624172885
Belfius Mons2115191570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.