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Leiden vs Belfius Mons Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
7.0/10
🔥 Hot
Position#16
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game89.4
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Belfius Mons
17 Apr 2027
LEI v BMO
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
LEI107
BMO89
18 Jan 2025
LEI85
BMO70
13 Apr 2022
LEI74
BMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Belfius Mons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 79
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 79
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 79
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 79
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 79
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 79
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 79
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 79
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
17-20
20-23
17-24
11-15
164.3Avg total
84.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.178.4155.6-1.343%
Season at home (4)75.283.0158.2-7.825%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.380.0164.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.986.1160.0-12.210%
vs Similar (9)85.485.3170.8+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.276.0158.2+6.273%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
76-116
76
116
-40
71avg 57
H02/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
79-101
79
101
-22
70avg 57
H06/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
57-107
57
107
-50
48avg 57
A09/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
63-100
63
100
-37
43avg 57
H03/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
60-98
60
98
-38
43avg 57
A09/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
57-74
57
74
-17
44avg 57
H17/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
77-89
77
89
-12
68avg 57
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 57
A31/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
79-99
79
99
-20
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
63-83
63
83
-20
no box
A13/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
15-39
18-17
15-31
20-32
19-26
20-18
20-25
17-27
15-19
6-24
19-37
5-22
19-26
23-27
16-25
22-26
8-24
15-25
15-23
15-24
15-15
15-17
12-18
19-20
17-15
22-30
19-24
21-22
23-22
5-25
20-14
21-27
26-20
22-21
10-31
14-16
14-24
22-18
13-25
163.0Avg total
68.0Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.989.4156.3-22.60%
Season at home (3)66.391.0157.3-24.70%
Season away (4)67.288.2155.5-21.00%
Last 10 (10)68.095.0163.0-27.00%
Last 5 (5)69.085.6154.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.692.9168.5-17.211%
vs Similar (1)64.077.0141.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (2)73.082.0155.0-9.050%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -9.4-9.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -9.4-9.4
LeidenBelfius Mons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/11
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (9)40.242.782.9-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.540.079.5-0.555%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H02/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H06/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H03/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A09/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H17/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A31/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H07/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A13/11
BNXT League
82.8Avg total
35.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.244.482.6-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.345.586.9-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)35.043.378.3-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)35.347.582.8-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.078.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.444.883.2-6.422%-
vs Similar (1)32.042.074.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (2)38.040.578.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.1
51.5%
53.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.9
30.3%
32.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.411.8
64.1%
71.0%11.8
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLLWLWWWW
Belfius Mons
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#16
+2.4
Net rating
-30.8
96.4
Offensive rating
77.2
94.0
Defensive rating
108.0
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
22.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.0%
3-point %
30.3%
61.3%
Assist %
54.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 77.2Defence94.0 · 108.0Shooting52.5% · 49.0%3-point %33.0% · 30.3%Ball care15.8% · 22.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Leiden   ■ Belfius Mons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leiden wins
1
Belfius Mons wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Belfius Mons v Leiden79-99
21/02/26Belfius Mons v Leiden77-72
06/12/25Leiden v Belfius Mons107-89
12/04/25Belfius Mons v Leiden71-77
18/01/25Leiden v Belfius Mons85-70
13/04/22Leiden v Belfius Mons74-66
12/03/22Belfius Mons v Leiden74-80
13/09/21Belfius Mons v Leiden74-76
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOostende65-82
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AKortrijk63-83
07/11/26HLeiden79-99
31/10/26AOkapi Aalst69-83
25/10/26ARotterdam77-89
17/10/26HZwolle57-74
09/10/26ASpirou Charleroi60-98
03/10/26HAntwerp Giants63-100
09/05/26ADen Bosch57-107
06/05/26HSpirou Charleroi79-101
02/05/26HAntwerp Giants76-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game77.175.279.7
Allowed / game78.483.072.3
Point differential-1.3-7.8+7.3
Avg total155.6158.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.966.367.2
Allowed / game89.491.088.2
Point differential-22.6-24.7-21.0
Avg total156.3157.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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