PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leiden vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-71
18-17 20-21 13-21 15-12
Position#12
Record7-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#5
Record9-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 68
A20/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
50-73
50
73
-23
34avg 68
H26/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 68
H02/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
74-108
74
108
-34
66avg 68
A08/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 68
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
66-75
66
75
-9
49avg 68
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
84avg 68
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 68
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
116-57
116
57
+59
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 68
A14/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
21-15
18-19
16-23
12-15
17-18
12-18
9-22
30-20
20-21
14-25
28-20
21-24
17-27
25-24
11-33
19-13
24-14
31-21
14-17
15-17
21-13
16-25
14-20
11-20
21-18
21-22
28-21
8-19
24-23
18-24
19-15
28-14
37-12
23-16
28-15
26-25
18-28
19-20
20-18
160.8Avg total
80.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.882.1159.9-4.347%
Season at home (9)74.680.6155.1-6.033%
Season away (6)82.784.3167.0-1.767%
Last 10 (10)80.979.9160.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.879.2165.0+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.685.2154.8-15.610%
vs Similar (8)83.579.0162.5+4.575%
vs Weaker (10)78.369.9148.2+8.490%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
93-73
93
73
+20
91avg 74
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 74
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 74
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 74
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 74
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 74
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 74
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
90avg 74
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
59avg 74
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 74
H15/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
32-12
22-24
21-23
23-27
19-12
15-17
21-20
17-20
14-23
26-15
23-21
19-14
9-14
25-8
20-25
9-26
23-20
24-14
10-22
15-21
19-24
21-20
21-24
18-17
16-21
25-19
15-16
17-33
23-23
30-17
19-22
14-21
19-14
23-16
17-20
19-10
24-20
20-10
16-21
154.1Avg total
78.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.376.2153.5+1.164%
Season at home (7)72.771.4144.1+1.371%
Season away (7)81.981.0162.9+0.957%
Last 10 (10)78.176.0154.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)78.277.8156.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar (14)77.777.3155.0+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.974.7154.6+5.264%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
LeidenCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A20/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A08/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
65-26
65
26
+39
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/12
BNXT League
78.1Avg total
41.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.976.4+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.236.878.0+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)37.436.974.3+0.531%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.078.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.879.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.443.680.0-7.210%-
vs Similar (8)40.636.677.2+4.062%-
vs Weaker (10)38.133.571.6+4.670%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/12
BNXT League
75.3Avg total
36.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.778.8+1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.137.777.8+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.139.679.7+0.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.675.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.877.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (14)40.439.479.8+0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.137.478.6+3.743%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.8
53.9%
52.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.29.1
64.1%
71.9%9.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.922.4
59.1%
52.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.5
31.4%
34.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.312.8
66.3%
71.9%12.8
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLWLWLWLW
Circus Brussels
WWLWLLWWWW
#12
League position
#5
-6.8
Net rating
+2.6
101.4
Offensive rating
106.0
108.2
Defensive rating
103.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.3%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
31.4%
63.0%
Assist %
56.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 106.0Defence108.2 · 103.4Shooting52.3% · 54.9%3-point %33.3% · 31.4%Ball care19.0% · 19.3%Off. rebounds26.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Leiden   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
0
Circus Brussels wins
No previous meetings.
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AOostende83-91
11/12/24AVoorburg116-57
07/12/24HMechelen69-81
01/12/24ALWD Basket95-92 OT
29/11/24HDen Helder66-75
16/11/24ABAL Weert88-65
08/11/24AKortrijk74-108
02/11/24HFeyenoord92-86
26/10/24HSpirou Charleroi50-73
20/10/24AQSTA Utd76-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HBAL Weert79-61
08/12/24ADonar Groningen73-71
29/11/24ALimburg89-95
17/11/24HDen Bosch74-73
11/11/24AAntwerp Giants76-89
03/11/24HLWD Basket66-82
27/10/24HFeyenoord73-61
20/10/24AKortrijk80-79
18/10/24HLeuven Bears78-76
12/10/24ADen Helder93-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%33%67%
Points / game77.874.682.7
Allowed / game82.180.684.3
Point differential-4.3-6.0-1.7
Avg total159.9155.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %13%0%33%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game77.372.781.9
Allowed / game76.271.481.0
Point differential+1.1+1.3+0.9
Avg total153.5144.1162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1412286%89.777.1+12.6
2 Kortrijk1512380%96.979.7+17.1
3 Limburg1410471%82.974.6+8.3
4 Mechelen149564%79.974.9+5.1
5 Circus Brussels149564%77.376.2+1.1
6 Antwerp Giants138562%79.677.5+2.1
7 LWD Basket159660%82.582.0+0.5
8 Spirou Charleroi158753%81.175.2+5.9
9 Leuven Bears158753%78.574.6+3.9
10 Belfius Mons158753%80.678.3+2.3
11 Leiden157847%77.882.1-4.3
12 Den Bosch136746%81.284.3-3.2
13 Okapi Aalst146843%79.778.6+1.1
14 Zwolle146843%82.786.8-4.1
15 Feyenoord135838%81.488.5-7.1
16 Den Helder1651131%71.782.8-11.1
17 Donar Groningen123925%73.980.8-6.8
18 BAL Weert1421214%71.486.1-14.7
19 QSTA Utd1521313%78.488.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1820131566
Circus Brussels1721211271
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.