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Belfius Mons vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-72
23-10 21-16 14-19 19-27
Position#16
Record7-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position#10
Record13-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 21
Other2025-26
Meetings · Belfius Mons v Leiden
07 Nov 2026
BMO v LEI
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
BMO77
LEI72
12 Apr 2025
BMO71
LEI77
12 Mar 2022
BMO74
LEI80
13 Sep 2021
BMO74
LEI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belfius Mons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
82avg 76
A14/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
88-93
88
93
-5
80avg 76
H19/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
91-96
91
96
-5
85avg 76
A23/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
63-93
63
93
-30
55avg 76
H26/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
95-115
95
115
-20
86avg 76
H10/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
64-86
64
86
-22
50avg 76
A24/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
76avg 76
H31/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
96avg 76
H14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
60avg 76
A18/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
22-28
23-18
15-17
30-23
22-22
27-19
9-29
18-27
23-20
20-22
30-27
22-16
10-30
10-26
21-21
29-33
30-27
14-29
22-26
18-28
14-14
16-23
16-12
16-16
20-27
10-25
18-18
18-19
22-19
12-21
20-13
17-29
20-16
26-27
30-16
15-20
13-18
27-16
11-22
169.8Avg total
80.2Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.592.5178.0-7.035%
Season at home (10)89.293.5182.7-4.340%
Season away (10)81.891.5173.3-9.730%
Last 10 (10)80.289.6169.8-9.430%
Last 5 (5)73.881.0154.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)83.691.7175.4-8.135%
vs Similar (4)79.589.8169.2-10.20%
vs Weaker (8)86.082.2168.2+3.862%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 76
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 76
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 76
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 76
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 76
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 76
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 76
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 76
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
103avg 76
H18/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
21-25
22-23
15-34
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
26-17
24-16
13-19
17-13
14-19
17-28
22-15
20-28
23-19
21-31
22-23
36-23
163.7Avg total
81.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.780.6168.2+7.165%
Season at home (10)96.181.3177.4+14.880%
Season away (10)79.279.9159.1-0.750%
Last 10 (10)81.582.2163.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)78.280.0158.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.486.8161.1-12.412%
vs Similar (7)88.484.3172.7+4.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.676.4167.0+14.287%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Belfius MonsLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A14/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H19/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A23/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H26/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H10/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A24/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H31/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A18/02
BNXT League
85.6Avg total
40.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.784.9-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.144.787.8-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.581.5-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)40.345.385.6-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.641.275.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.844.985.8-4.129%-
vs Similar (4)40.547.588.0-7.025%-
vs Weaker (8)43.140.183.2+3.062%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H18/02
BNXT League
84.6Avg total
41.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.686.9+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.342.989.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)42.742.284.9+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.884.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.445.985.2-6.525%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.785.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.840.788.5+7.167%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.3
55.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.6
36.3%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.617.5
77.4%
72.4%17.5
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.3
58.4%
54.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
72.4%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belfius Mons
LWWLLLLLLW
Leiden
WLWWLLLWWL
#16
League position
#10
-12.2
Net rating
+3.4
99.3
Offensive rating
104.6
111.5
Defensive rating
101.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.8%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
16.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.3%
3-point %
34.3%
65.2%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 104.6Defence111.5 · 101.1Shooting55.2% · 55.8%3-point %36.3% · 34.3%Ball care19.1% · 18.0%Off. rebounds16.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Belfius Mons   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belfius Mons wins
6
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Leiden v Belfius Mons107-89
12/04/25Belfius Mons v Leiden71-77
18/01/25Leiden v Belfius Mons85-70
13/04/22Leiden v Belfius Mons74-66
12/03/22Belfius Mons v Leiden74-80
13/09/21Belfius Mons v Leiden74-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AMechelen66-76
14/02/26HDen Helder93-88
31/01/26HRotterdam82-78 OT
24/01/26ABAL Weert64-86
18/01/26ALWD Basket64-77
10/01/26HOostende95-115
26/12/25HLeuven Bears63-93
23/12/25ASpirou Charleroi91-96
19/12/25HDen Bosch88-93
14/12/25AZwolle96-94 OT
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HBrussels Basketball102-96
14/02/26ALeuven Bears73-90
31/01/26HBAL Weert80-65
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
23/12/25AZwolle90-81
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
12/12/25ABrussels Basketball80-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game85.589.281.8
Allowed / game92.593.591.5
Point differential-7.0-4.3-9.7
Avg total178.0182.7173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %15%10%20%
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game87.796.179.2
Allowed / game80.681.379.9
Point differential+7.0+14.8-0.7
Avg total168.2177.4159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1916384%96.577.1+19.4
2 Oostende2016480%89.080.0+9.1
3 Kortrijk2014670%88.179.8+8.3
4 Okapi Aalst2014670%94.386.6+7.8
5 Leiden2013765%87.780.6+7.0
6 Den Bosch1912763%86.882.8+3.9
7 Mechelen2012860%77.379.5-2.1
8 Donar Groningen1710759%82.383.4-1.1
9 Limburg2011955%90.081.3+8.7
10 Brussels Basketball2011955%86.282.0+4.2
11 Leuven Bears20101050%80.578.8+1.6
12 Spirou Charleroi1981142%83.589.1-5.5
13 Belfius Mons2071335%85.592.5-7.0
14 Zwolle2061430%78.082.8-4.8
15 Den Helder2061430%79.986.3-6.4
16 LWD Basket2061430%85.094.9-9.9
17 Rotterdam1931616%77.691.2-13.6
18 BAL Weert2121910%69.487.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belfius Mons2321141977
Leiden1016192772
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